Integrated oil Companies

ConocoPhillips vs Chevron Corporation

Measured twinCOP / CVXPrices through Nov 10, 2026

Why these are rivals: #2 and #3 by market value ($445B vs $173B) in Nasdaq's "Integrated oil Companies" industry; SEC SIC 2911 / 2911 (same major group); #2 and #3 by market value ($445B vs $173B) with SEC SIC 2911 (Petroleum Refining).

The price gap between these two has a measured habit of closing. A 2 standard deviation gap becomes a paired paper idea.

  • no divergence: z = 0.90 (needs |z| >= 2.0)
Business leadership

CVX is the larger business

Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.

YearCOPCVXLarger
2025$58.9B$189.0BCVX
2024$54.7B$202.8BCVX
2023$56.1B$200.9BCVX
2022$78.5B$246.3BCVX
2021$45.8B$162.5BCVX
2020$18.8B$94.7BCVX

CVX led in every year with figures for both. Market value: COP $173.5B, CVX $445.1B.

Stock leadership

COP is ahead now

Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.

COP leads CVX by 0.90 standard deviations: +3.1% over its usual price ratio. 3 lead switches in the last year.

Price change3 mo6 mo12 mo
COP+6.5%+15.0%+56.2%
CVX+7.4%+13.6%+36.3%
Relationship

The gap has closed before

Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.

Pass
Aligned sessions: 2533 (needs >= 254)
Pass
Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.84 (needs >= 0.60)
Pass
Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -3.10 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Pass
Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 10.11 (needs <= 63)
Data
Both stocks current
The twins over two years

Prices side by side, and the gap between them

COP ConocoPhillips CVX Chevron CorporationPrice index, 100 = 2024-11-06. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
100150Nov 2024Nov 2025Nov 2026COP 119CVX 134
Spread z-score: COP relative to CVX, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: COP ahead; below 0: CVX ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
-4stop-2idea0+2idea+4stopNov 2024Nov 2025Nov 2026
Data table (504 sessions)
DateCOP indexCVX indexzAhead
2026-11-10119.33133.92+0.90COP ahead
2026-11-09118.34133.64+0.72COP ahead
2026-11-06119.92134.80+0.86COP ahead
2026-11-05119.21135.01+0.65COP ahead
2026-11-04120.51137.56+0.44near the usual relationship
2026-11-03127.08142.83+0.87COP ahead
2026-11-02129.23144.41+1.03COP ahead
2026-10-30135.55149.33+1.43COP ahead
2026-10-29132.03146.75+1.19COP ahead
2026-10-28131.18145.32+1.29COP ahead
2026-10-27130.21144.71+1.21COP ahead
2026-10-26133.21147.10+1.38COP ahead
2026-10-23132.71147.86+1.15COP ahead
2026-10-22128.16143.72+0.99COP ahead
2026-10-21128.20143.79+0.99COP ahead
2026-10-20128.44143.11+1.16COP ahead
2026-10-19127.82142.26+1.19COP ahead
2026-10-16128.94142.65+1.35COP ahead
2026-10-15124.73139.06+1.17COP ahead
2026-10-14125.27140.78+0.97COP ahead
2026-10-13124.00138.05+1.22COP ahead
2026-10-12121.06136.32+0.94COP ahead
2026-10-09118.01134.40+0.66COP ahead
2026-10-08118.09134.13+0.73COP ahead
2026-10-07114.27130.07+0.68COP ahead
2026-10-06113.83131.61+0.29near the usual relationship
2026-10-05113.00130.91+0.24near the usual relationship
2026-10-02111.55131.05-0.11near the usual relationship
2026-10-01111.82131.31-0.10near the usual relationship
2026-09-30110.14129.48-0.12near the usual relationship
2026-09-29110.39129.58-0.09near the usual relationship
2026-09-28110.92130.85-0.21near the usual relationship
2026-09-25112.03129.63+0.28near the usual relationship
2026-09-24113.83130.39+0.54COP ahead
2026-09-23112.73130.30+0.31near the usual relationship
2026-09-22110.24128.34+0.14near the usual relationship
2026-09-21112.23129.13+0.44near the usual relationship
2026-09-18116.02132.84+0.57COP ahead
2026-09-17117.21134.14+0.58COP ahead
2026-09-16116.64134.12+0.47near the usual relationship
2026-09-15124.28138.07+1.34COP ahead
2026-09-14120.28134.52+1.18COP ahead
2026-09-11120.87135.72+1.09COP ahead
2026-09-10120.60134.90+1.20COP ahead
2026-09-09120.15135.56+0.99COP ahead
2026-09-08118.84133.02+1.20COP ahead
2026-09-04118.16132.26+1.20COP ahead
2026-09-03119.44133.98+1.16COP ahead
2026-09-02120.74134.28+1.39COP ahead
2026-09-01119.85133.81+1.30COP ahead
2026-08-31116.60130.70+1.20COP ahead
2026-08-28114.71127.99+1.33COP ahead
2026-08-27113.98126.66+1.44COP ahead
2026-08-26114.94126.94+1.62COP ahead
2026-08-25116.03126.74+1.92COP ahead
2026-08-24117.35128.77+1.82COP ahead
2026-08-21118.69130.15+1.86COP ahead
2026-08-20118.71130.47+1.82COP ahead
2026-08-19114.92130.46+0.97COP ahead
2026-08-18114.16130.45+0.80COP ahead
2026-08-17112.26128.52+0.75COP ahead
2026-08-14111.57126.81+0.95COP ahead
2026-08-13109.58125.35+0.78COP ahead
2026-08-12112.03124.65+1.53COP ahead
2026-08-11110.82124.69+1.24COP ahead
2026-08-10108.27123.58+0.87COP ahead
2026-08-07103.50118.29+0.84COP ahead
2026-08-06102.75119.98+0.26near the usual relationship
2026-08-05101.24118.19+0.27near the usual relationship
2026-08-04103.79120.72+0.37near the usual relationship
2026-08-03104.87122.48+0.25near the usual relationship
2026-07-31106.03124.80+0.04near the usual relationship
2026-07-30104.75121.93+0.34near the usual relationship
2026-07-29103.90121.65+0.18near the usual relationship
2026-07-28100.41118.93-0.13near the usual relationship
2026-07-27101.72120.47-0.13near the usual relationship
2026-07-24105.83123.50+0.27near the usual relationship
2026-07-23105.78123.27+0.31near the usual relationship
2026-07-22104.54122.36+0.19near the usual relationship
2026-07-21103.41121.15+0.17near the usual relationship
2026-07-20101.80120.28-0.06near the usual relationship
2026-07-17100.95118.81+0.04near the usual relationship
2026-07-1699.30116.57+0.11near the usual relationship
2026-07-1598.09115.14+0.11near the usual relationship
2026-07-1498.45115.24+0.19near the usual relationship
2026-07-1399.31115.52+0.36near the usual relationship
2026-07-1095.96111.84+0.30near the usual relationship
2026-07-0995.06110.35+0.41near the usual relationship
2026-07-0897.44111.57+0.78COP ahead
2026-07-0795.43110.33+0.52COP ahead
2026-07-0691.16106.58+0.21near the usual relationship
2026-07-0292.17107.28+0.33near the usual relationship
2026-07-0190.84105.05+0.50COP ahead
2026-06-3091.49105.10+0.68COP ahead
2026-06-2991.70106.82+0.31near the usual relationship
2026-06-2693.25108.46+0.35near the usual relationship
2026-06-2593.65109.21+0.27near the usual relationship
2026-06-2494.09108.71+0.52COP ahead
2026-06-2396.78111.58+0.58COP ahead
2026-06-2296.54110.99+0.65COP ahead
2026-06-1894.82110.09+0.38near the usual relationship
2026-06-1797.87112.59+0.62COP ahead
2026-06-1697.98114.20+0.27near the usual relationship
2026-06-1598.79114.38+0.43near the usual relationship
2026-06-12102.95118.70+0.53COP ahead
2026-06-11101.52117.82+0.36near the usual relationship
2026-06-10105.54120.34+0.82COP ahead
2026-06-09102.78118.41+0.55COP ahead
2026-06-08104.63119.98+0.67COP ahead
2026-06-05103.09118.76+0.56COP ahead
2026-06-04104.93119.42+0.87COP ahead
2026-06-03104.77120.28+0.65COP ahead
2026-06-02102.85118.91+0.46near the usual relationship
2026-06-01101.72117.82+0.42near the usual relationship
2026-05-29100.31115.69+0.53COP ahead
2026-05-28101.20116.05+0.68COP ahead
2026-05-27101.32115.65+0.80COP ahead
2026-05-26102.59117.11+0.79COP ahead
2026-05-22106.01121.37+0.72COP ahead
2026-05-21106.09121.11+0.78COP ahead
2026-05-20107.68121.31+1.12COP ahead
2026-05-19110.10125.06+0.90COP ahead
2026-05-18109.60124.35+0.93COP ahead
2026-05-15107.73121.16+1.14COP ahead
2026-05-14104.70118.34+1.01COP ahead
2026-05-13103.32117.93+0.75COP ahead
2026-05-12103.73117.90+0.86COP ahead
2026-05-11101.69117.13+0.52COP ahead
2026-05-08100.21115.15+0.57COP ahead
2026-05-07101.10115.71+0.67COP ahead
2026-05-06104.64117.40+1.16COP ahead
2026-05-05108.53122.14+1.08COP ahead
2026-05-04109.93121.91+1.43COP ahead
2026-05-01108.41120.87+1.30COP ahead
2026-04-30110.69122.57+1.47COP ahead
2026-04-29112.87121.87+2.08COP ahead
2026-04-28109.41119.43+1.82COP ahead
2026-04-27107.08117.16+1.76COP ahead
2026-04-24107.15117.43+1.72COP ahead
2026-04-23109.45118.94+1.93COP ahead
2026-04-22107.89118.13+1.75COP ahead
2026-04-21105.83117.92+1.32COP ahead
2026-04-20102.48116.19+0.89COP ahead
2026-04-17102.12116.66+0.70COP ahead
2026-04-16106.99119.29+1.30COP ahead
2026-04-15104.66117.24+1.19COP ahead
2026-04-14104.54118.58+0.88COP ahead
2026-04-13108.79121.60+1.25COP ahead
2026-04-10107.85119.55+1.47COP ahead
2026-04-09108.66120.69+1.43COP ahead
2026-04-08110.20122.30+1.47COP ahead
2026-04-07115.96127.78+1.66COP ahead
2026-04-06115.85126.08+1.99COP ahead
2026-04-02114.86126.15+1.77COP ahead
2026-04-01112.98125.16+1.56COP ahead
2026-03-31116.17131.18+1.08COP ahead
2026-03-30116.95133.60+0.79COP ahead
2026-03-27117.75133.88+0.91COP ahead
2026-03-26117.27131.75+1.23COP ahead
2026-03-25113.46130.07+0.71COP ahead
2026-03-24113.83131.11+0.59COP ahead
2026-03-23111.93130.11+0.35near the usual relationship
2026-03-20111.70127.90+0.74COP ahead
2026-03-19110.90127.72+0.59COP ahead
2026-03-18108.82125.93+0.47near the usual relationship
2026-03-17108.13125.52+0.39near the usual relationship
2026-03-16106.77124.80+0.20near the usual relationship
2026-03-13107.27124.79+0.32near the usual relationship
2026-03-12105.83124.89-0.05near the usual relationship
2026-03-11102.99121.60-0.06near the usual relationship
2026-03-10100.46118.11+0.06near the usual relationship
2026-03-09102.99120.11+0.27near the usual relationship
2026-03-06103.03120.43+0.22near the usual relationship
2026-03-05102.81120.40+0.17near the usual relationship
2026-03-04101.78117.95+0.44near the usual relationship
2026-03-03104.30119.69+0.69COP ahead
2026-03-02104.06120.21+0.52COP ahead
2026-02-2799.85118.41-0.15near the usual relationship
2026-02-2697.42116.76-0.42near the usual relationship
2026-02-2596.81116.80-0.59CVX ahead
2026-02-2497.32117.51-0.62CVX ahead
2026-02-2396.70117.24-0.73CVX ahead
2026-02-2097.27116.62-0.45near the usual relationship
2026-02-1998.20117.16-0.33near the usual relationship
2026-02-1897.26116.58-0.45near the usual relationship
2026-02-1795.73114.48-0.39near the usual relationship
2026-02-1398.06116.50-0.23near the usual relationship
2026-02-1297.54115.65-0.19near the usual relationship
2026-02-1197.87117.82-0.58CVX ahead
2026-02-1094.61115.56-0.95CVX ahead
2026-02-0995.66115.77-0.72CVX ahead
2026-02-0694.71114.67-0.74CVX ahead
2026-02-0592.39113.64-1.14CVX ahead
2026-02-0494.68114.91-0.81CVX ahead
2026-02-0392.33112.88-1.00CVX ahead
2026-02-0289.58110.34-1.20CVX ahead
2026-01-3091.73112.16-1.02CVX ahead
2026-01-2990.47108.54-0.56CVX ahead
2026-01-2889.23107.74-0.73CVX ahead
2026-01-2787.89107.18-0.98CVX ahead
2026-01-2686.64106.20-1.11CVX ahead
2026-01-2386.55105.71-1.02CVX ahead
2026-01-2285.26105.67-1.39CVX ahead
2026-01-2185.50105.71-1.34CVX ahead
2026-01-2084.06104.81-1.55CVX ahead
2026-01-1686.41105.41-1.04CVX ahead
2026-01-1587.06105.35-0.85CVX ahead
2026-01-1488.30106.04-0.67CVX ahead
2026-01-1384.89103.90-1.13CVX ahead
2026-01-1284.04102.93-1.15CVX ahead
2026-01-0985.81102.78-0.64CVX ahead
2026-01-0886.88100.97+0.05near the usual relationship
2026-01-0782.6798.40-0.50CVX ahead
2026-01-0685.4699.25+0.05near the usual relationship
2026-01-0587.30103.89-0.51CVX ahead
2026-01-0285.1098.85+0.03near the usual relationship
2025-12-3182.3896.63-0.20near the usual relationship
2025-12-3082.8196.57-0.08near the usual relationship
2025-12-2981.5295.73-0.24near the usual relationship
2025-12-2680.5695.12-0.36near the usual relationship
2025-12-2480.7995.42-0.37near the usual relationship
2025-12-2381.6195.43-0.17near the usual relationship
2025-12-2282.1294.98+0.06near the usual relationship
2025-12-1980.9193.68+0.04near the usual relationship
2025-12-1881.1793.64+0.10near the usual relationship
2025-12-1783.5794.80+0.46near the usual relationship
2025-12-1679.8893.04-0.10near the usual relationship
2025-12-1583.0494.98+0.27near the usual relationship
2025-12-1284.0895.10+0.51COP ahead
2025-12-1185.1195.56+0.66COP ahead
2025-12-1085.1996.00+0.57COP ahead
2025-12-0982.2294.15+0.24near the usual relationship
2025-12-0881.7494.29+0.08near the usual relationship
2025-12-0582.4595.11+0.08near the usual relationship
2025-12-0481.9596.54-0.36near the usual relationship
2025-12-0380.8096.11-0.57CVX ahead
2025-12-0278.5895.26-0.96CVX ahead
2025-12-0179.4396.72-1.06CVX ahead
2025-11-2878.0595.82-1.24CVX ahead
2025-11-2676.6494.79-1.40CVX ahead
2025-11-2576.2394.17-1.38CVX ahead
2025-11-2477.0694.95-1.33CVX ahead
2025-11-2176.8995.09-1.41CVX ahead
2025-11-2076.9895.30-1.44CVX ahead
2025-11-1977.4396.18-1.51CVX ahead
2025-11-1878.9297.40-1.39CVX ahead
2025-11-1778.0898.16-1.76CVX ahead
2025-11-1480.4199.94-1.54CVX ahead
2025-11-1378.6998.64-1.71CVX ahead
2025-11-1278.3997.21-1.51CVX ahead
2025-11-1179.8199.06-1.53CVX ahead
2025-11-1077.6598.69-1.99CVX ahead
2025-11-0776.4198.29-2.23CVX ahead
2025-11-0675.3996.97-2.25CVX ahead
2025-11-0577.1896.79-1.78CVX ahead
2025-11-0477.3797.25-1.83CVX ahead
2025-11-0377.9597.67-1.78CVX ahead
2025-10-3178.20100.00-2.19CVX ahead
2025-10-3077.5797.34-1.85CVX ahead
2025-10-2977.5198.34-2.08CVX ahead
2025-10-2876.3897.72-2.26CVX ahead
2025-10-2778.0598.45-2.01CVX ahead
2025-10-2477.4798.63-2.21CVX ahead
2025-10-2379.2799.26-1.91CVX ahead
2025-10-2276.9398.64-2.39CVX ahead
2025-10-2176.0597.51-2.42CVX ahead
2025-10-2076.6297.95-2.39CVX ahead
2025-10-1776.1197.06-2.37CVX ahead
2025-10-1676.4996.19-2.11CVX ahead
2025-10-1577.2296.44-1.98CVX ahead
2025-10-1477.5996.62-1.93CVX ahead
2025-10-1378.1396.34-1.74CVX ahead
2025-10-1077.1394.41-1.60CVX ahead
2025-10-0980.9296.15-1.05CVX ahead
2025-10-0882.5097.48-0.94CVX ahead
2025-10-0783.8198.22-0.80CVX ahead
2025-10-0683.5397.65-0.76CVX ahead
2025-10-0382.8797.36-0.85CVX ahead
2025-10-0282.1897.24-0.99CVX ahead
2025-10-0184.0198.01-0.75CVX ahead
2025-09-3083.2498.46-0.99CVX ahead
2025-09-2984.3598.97-0.86CVX ahead
2025-09-2686.67101.55-0.84CVX ahead
2025-09-2585.20101.90-1.19CVX ahead
2025-09-2484.16100.93-1.24CVX ahead
2025-09-2382.2699.81-1.43CVX ahead
2025-09-2280.9798.94-1.55CVX ahead
2025-09-1980.8999.04-1.59CVX ahead
2025-09-1882.27100.71-1.60CVX ahead
2025-09-1782.57101.50-1.67CVX ahead
2025-09-1683.20101.15-1.50CVX ahead
2025-09-1581.2599.74-1.67CVX ahead
2025-09-1281.3499.61-1.64CVX ahead
2025-09-1182.84100.34-1.47CVX ahead
2025-09-1083.01100.04-1.39CVX ahead
2025-09-0980.8498.18-1.52CVX ahead
2025-09-0880.4497.64-1.52CVX ahead
2025-09-0581.8097.43-1.23CVX ahead
2025-09-0484.2899.98-1.17CVX ahead
2025-09-0383.30100.22-1.39CVX ahead
2025-09-0287.12102.61-1.07CVX ahead
2025-08-2987.10101.83-0.96CVX ahead
2025-08-2886.64101.01-0.93CVX ahead
2025-08-2786.16100.96-1.01CVX ahead
2025-08-2685.4199.77-0.97CVX ahead
2025-08-2586.40100.30-0.88CVX ahead
2025-08-2285.17100.29-1.10CVX ahead
2025-08-2183.4198.62-1.16CVX ahead
2025-08-2083.5197.15-0.94CVX ahead
2025-08-1982.5196.37-1.00CVX ahead
2025-08-1882.7298.48-1.28CVX ahead
2025-08-1583.9099.26-1.20CVX ahead
2025-08-1484.1898.38-1.03CVX ahead
2025-08-1384.3898.83-1.07CVX ahead
2025-08-1283.2497.92-1.14CVX ahead
2025-08-1182.3197.29-1.21CVX ahead
2025-08-0882.6598.28-1.31CVX ahead
2025-08-0781.4997.11-1.34CVX ahead
2025-08-0681.9496.87-1.24CVX ahead
2025-08-0582.0297.03-1.27CVX ahead
2025-08-0481.7195.76-1.14CVX ahead
2025-08-0181.6395.99-1.20CVX ahead
2025-07-3183.9096.15-0.85CVX ahead
2025-07-3085.0797.36-0.83CVX ahead
2025-07-2986.2499.56-0.96CVX ahead
2025-07-2885.3899.09-1.05CVX ahead
2025-07-2583.5698.17-1.23CVX ahead
2025-07-2484.1598.80-1.23CVX ahead
2025-07-2383.6497.08-1.08CVX ahead
2025-07-2281.8395.13-1.11CVX ahead
2025-07-2180.0894.90-1.39CVX ahead
2025-07-1880.6595.13-1.33CVX ahead
2025-07-1781.6895.98-1.29CVX ahead
2025-07-1680.5395.05-1.36CVX ahead
2025-07-1581.4595.54-1.29CVX ahead
2025-07-1482.8796.15-1.14CVX ahead
2025-07-1184.1498.47-1.27CVX ahead
2025-07-1083.9397.75-1.22CVX ahead
2025-07-0983.1997.02-1.24CVX ahead
2025-07-0884.3097.16-1.09CVX ahead
2025-07-0781.4593.46-1.03CVX ahead
2025-07-0382.4494.07-0.96CVX ahead
2025-07-0283.1193.82-0.82CVX ahead
2025-07-0180.9692.30-0.96CVX ahead
2025-06-3078.9890.79-1.09CVX ahead
2025-06-2779.3591.17-1.09CVX ahead
2025-06-2679.9991.58-1.05CVX ahead
2025-06-2578.3290.81-1.24CVX ahead
2025-06-2478.6791.02-1.22CVX ahead
2025-06-2380.7193.11-1.19CVX ahead
2025-06-2083.3394.82-1.00CVX ahead
2025-06-1882.5593.96-1.01CVX ahead
2025-06-1784.0494.38-0.82CVX ahead
2025-06-1683.6092.59-0.63CVX ahead
2025-06-1385.3392.51-0.34near the usual relationship
2025-06-1283.3391.92-0.59CVX ahead
2025-06-1182.1591.80-0.77CVX ahead
2025-06-1080.2490.89-0.97CVX ahead
2025-06-0977.4889.25-1.22CVX ahead
2025-06-0676.7688.90-1.31CVX ahead
2025-06-0575.1186.80-1.29CVX ahead
2025-06-0475.6487.10-1.25CVX ahead
2025-06-0377.3788.48-1.16CVX ahead
2025-06-0276.3287.40-1.19CVX ahead
2025-05-3075.1186.67-1.31CVX ahead
2025-05-2975.3387.44-1.41CVX ahead
2025-05-2874.4386.24-1.39CVX ahead
2025-05-2775.2987.39-1.43CVX ahead
2025-05-2374.9786.57-1.37CVX ahead
2025-05-2275.8085.78-1.08CVX ahead
2025-05-2176.7085.95-0.95CVX ahead
2025-05-2078.9387.03-0.73CVX ahead
2025-05-1979.5787.81-0.74CVX ahead
2025-05-1681.3490.10-0.80CVX ahead
2025-05-1581.8190.20-0.74CVX ahead
2025-05-1481.4789.82-0.75CVX ahead
2025-05-1382.8790.25-0.58CVX ahead
2025-05-1281.2089.79-0.80CVX ahead
2025-05-0977.9687.81-1.07CVX ahead
2025-05-0878.1786.89-0.89CVX ahead
2025-05-0777.1986.10-0.95CVX ahead
2025-05-0677.1285.98-0.95CVX ahead
2025-05-0577.1085.91-0.95CVX ahead
2025-05-0280.4587.81-0.67CVX ahead
2025-05-0179.7886.39-0.56CVX ahead
2025-04-3078.4386.27-0.78CVX ahead
2025-04-2980.8688.32-0.69CVX ahead
2025-04-2881.7888.83-0.62CVX ahead
2025-04-2580.7287.96-0.67CVX ahead
2025-04-2480.7988.18-0.70CVX ahead
2025-04-2379.1486.66-0.75CVX ahead
2025-04-2278.9987.05-0.84CVX ahead
2025-04-2177.0584.79-0.83CVX ahead
2025-04-1778.3187.41-1.02CVX ahead
2025-04-1676.0085.82-1.18CVX ahead
2025-04-1575.4485.30-1.20CVX ahead
2025-04-1476.0885.80-1.17CVX ahead
2025-04-1176.0385.99-1.22CVX ahead
2025-04-1073.3085.58-1.63CVX ahead
2025-04-0980.5392.59-1.45CVX ahead
2025-04-0872.7486.82-1.93CVX ahead
2025-04-0775.3988.86-1.79CVX ahead
2025-04-0475.9490.84-1.99CVX ahead
2025-04-0383.8298.99-1.84CVX ahead
2025-04-0293.37105.55-1.30CVX ahead
2025-04-0192.75106.84-1.55CVX ahead
2025-03-3192.42106.07-1.51CVX ahead
2025-03-2890.09105.31-1.76CVX ahead
2025-03-2790.49105.66-1.76CVX ahead
2025-03-2690.82106.50-1.83CVX ahead
2025-03-2590.25105.21-1.77CVX ahead
2025-03-2489.93104.63-1.76CVX ahead
2025-03-2189.69104.46-1.79CVX ahead
2025-03-2090.04104.47-1.76CVX ahead
2025-03-1989.18104.01-1.85CVX ahead
2025-03-1888.47101.96-1.71CVX ahead
2025-03-1787.44100.63-1.71CVX ahead
2025-03-1487.0899.56-1.64CVX ahead
2025-03-1384.6597.39-1.74CVX ahead
2025-03-1286.0296.80-1.47CVX ahead
2025-03-1183.9797.69-1.93CVX ahead
2025-03-1081.7699.90-2.62CVX ahead
2025-03-0779.7699.13-2.91CVX ahead
2025-03-0677.9796.98-2.98CVX ahead
2025-03-0578.2295.62-2.80CVX ahead
2025-03-0479.7796.37-2.68CVX ahead
2025-03-0381.5297.06-2.52CVX ahead
2025-02-2887.26100.57-2.07CVX ahead
2025-02-2785.6999.33-2.19CVX ahead
2025-02-2684.6098.36-2.26CVX ahead
2025-02-2585.4499.18-2.27CVX ahead
2025-02-2486.97100.11-2.17CVX ahead
2025-02-2186.1999.49-2.24CVX ahead
2025-02-2089.77100.68-1.82CVX ahead
2025-02-1987.6399.69-2.07CVX ahead
2025-02-1885.7699.01-2.33CVX ahead
2025-02-1484.7198.49-2.48CVX ahead
2025-02-1385.2898.83-2.47CVX ahead
2025-02-1286.6098.21-2.15CVX ahead
2025-02-1189.5199.82-1.90CVX ahead
2025-02-1087.5598.76-2.11CVX ahead
2025-02-0786.5696.77-1.99CVX ahead
2025-02-0687.9596.31-1.66CVX ahead
2025-02-0588.1997.00-1.75CVX ahead
2025-02-0488.5297.15-1.73CVX ahead
2025-02-0386.6794.69-1.67CVX ahead
2025-01-3186.9894.59-1.61CVX ahead
2025-01-3089.2999.11-1.98CVX ahead
2025-01-2989.3898.71-1.92CVX ahead
2025-01-2889.2299.04-2.03CVX ahead
2025-01-2790.3799.69-1.95CVX ahead
2025-01-2489.6298.69-1.94CVX ahead
2025-01-2391.5298.92-1.63CVX ahead
2025-01-2290.7099.17-1.85CVX ahead
2025-01-2191.77100.33-1.87CVX ahead
2025-01-1793.15102.38-1.99CVX ahead
2025-01-1692.94101.05-1.81CVX ahead
2025-01-1592.83100.39-1.74CVX ahead
2025-01-1492.3099.48-1.69CVX ahead
2025-01-1391.7398.50-1.64CVX ahead
2025-01-1089.6997.10-1.81CVX ahead
2025-01-0889.4395.30-1.53CVX ahead
2025-01-0789.4794.85-1.45CVX ahead
2025-01-0688.0093.37-1.48CVX ahead
2025-01-0388.9693.74-1.36CVX ahead
2025-01-0288.0893.02-1.41CVX ahead
2024-12-3187.2791.83-1.36CVX ahead
2024-12-3085.4490.71-1.54CVX ahead
2024-12-2785.2991.30-1.71CVX ahead
2024-12-2685.2791.29-1.73CVX ahead
2024-12-2485.4691.20-1.68CVX ahead
2024-12-2384.8290.65-1.73CVX ahead
2024-12-2083.7190.57-1.99CVX ahead
2024-12-1983.7689.49-1.76CVX ahead
2024-12-1884.3591.35-2.05CVX ahead
2024-12-1786.4793.91-2.13CVX ahead
2024-12-1687.6394.70-2.06CVX ahead
2024-12-1388.9097.56-2.40CVX ahead
2024-12-1288.8198.09-2.57CVX ahead
2024-12-1189.9399.04-2.55CVX ahead
2024-12-1090.0899.54-2.67CVX ahead
2024-12-0990.7999.59-2.56CVX ahead
2024-12-0690.8498.43-2.34CVX ahead
2024-12-0591.91101.02-2.68CVX ahead
2024-12-0491.09100.38-2.78CVX ahead
2024-12-0393.33102.66-2.79CVX ahead
2024-12-0293.41102.85-2.86CVX ahead
2024-11-2995.34102.67-2.41CVX ahead
2024-11-2794.51102.78-2.67CVX ahead
2024-11-2693.97103.05-2.91CVX ahead
2024-11-2593.37101.67-2.80CVX ahead
2024-11-2298.35102.94-1.92CVX ahead
2024-11-2198.48102.48-1.80CVX ahead
2024-11-2099.82102.29-1.46CVX ahead
2024-11-1999.52101.19-1.29CVX ahead
2024-11-18100.11101.93-1.33CVX ahead
2024-11-1598.85102.35-1.73CVX ahead
2024-11-1499.38102.59-1.68CVX ahead
2024-11-1398.41100.63-1.47CVX ahead
2024-11-1297.3798.46-1.22CVX ahead
2024-11-1198.6199.23-1.12CVX ahead
2024-11-0898.2099.50-1.29CVX ahead
2024-11-0798.9299.40-1.11CVX ahead
2024-11-06100.00100.00-1.00CVX ahead

One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Nov 25, 2024 (COP -5.1%, CVX -1.2%); Mar 11, 2025 (COP +2.7%, CVX -2.2%).

Paired trades

The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart

Forward paper record

No paper position on this pair yet.

Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)

1 simulated trade to Nov 3, 2026: -17.12% per trade on average after costs, 0 won.

LegsEnteredExitedWhyDaysBefore costsCosts + borrowAfter costs
Long CVX · Short COPFeb 17, 2021Sep 16, 2021divergence stop211-$1,746.67-$65.57-$1,712.25 (-17.12%)

Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.

The companies

COP and CVX at a glance

COP ConocoPhillips

Listing
NYSE · SEC CIK 1163165
Industry
Integrated oil Companies · SIC 2911 Petroleum Refining
Market value
$173.5B
Price history
2,533 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Nov 10, 2026

CVX Chevron Corporation

Listing
NYSE · SEC CIK 93410
Industry
Integrated oil Companies · SIC 2911 Petroleum Refining
Market value
$445.1B
Price history
2,534 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Nov 10, 2026

Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.

Related
All pairs →
PairStatusAhead nowIndustry
XOM / CVXMeasured twinCVX by 1.06 sdIntegrated oil Companies
XOM / COPWatchlistCOP by 1.46 sdIntegrated oil Companies

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Paper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.