Honeywell International Inc. vs RTX Corporation
WatchlistHON / RTXPrices through Nov 10, 2026
Why these are rivals: #1 and #3 by market value ($275B vs $71B) in Nasdaq's "Aerospace" industry; SEC SIC 3724 / 3724 (same major group); #1 and #2 by market value ($275B vs $71B) with SEC SIC 3724 (Aircraft Engines & Engine Parts).
Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.17 (needs >= 0.60)
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -0.86 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
- Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 101.10 (needs <= 63)
Business leadership
RTX is the larger business
Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.
| Year | HON | RTX | Larger |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $37.4B | $88.6B | RTX |
| 2024 | $34.7B | $80.7B | RTX |
| 2023 | $33.0B | $68.9B | RTX |
| 2022 | $35.5B | $67.1B | RTX |
| 2021 | $34.4B | $64.4B | RTX |
| 2020 | $32.6B | $56.6B | RTX |
RTX led in every year with figures for both. Market value: HON $71.1B, RTX $275.0B.
Stock leadership
RTX is ahead now
Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.
RTX leads HON by 1.19 standard deviations: +54.5% over its usual price ratio. 2 lead switches in the last year.
| Price change | 3 mo | 6 mo | 12 mo |
|---|---|---|---|
| HON | -3.0% | -47.8% | -41.2% |
| RTX | -10.1% | +12.0% | +13.2% |
Relationship
Not a measured twin today
Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.
- Pass
- Aligned sessions: 2534 (needs >= 254)
- Fail
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.17 (needs >= 0.60)
- Fail
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -0.86 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
- Fail
- Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 101.10 (needs <= 63)
- Data
- Both stocks current
The twins over two years
Prices side by side, and the gap between them
HON Honeywell International Inc. RTX RTX CorporationPrice index, 100 = 2024-11-06. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
Spread z-score: HON relative to RTX, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: HON ahead; below 0: RTX ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
Data table (504 sessions)
| Date | HON index | RTX index | z | Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-10 | 55.63 | 164.71 | -1.19 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-11-09 | 55.82 | 161.45 | -1.14 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-11-06 | 53.64 | 155.88 | -1.16 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-11-05 | 52.60 | 157.81 | -1.26 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-11-04 | 55.69 | 163.20 | -1.20 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-11-03 | 54.61 | 167.63 | -1.34 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-11-02 | 54.54 | 166.78 | -1.34 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-30 | 53.22 | 164.32 | -1.38 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-29 | 54.15 | 163.99 | -1.34 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-28 | 53.44 | 161.07 | -1.34 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-27 | 53.34 | 160.05 | -1.34 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-26 | 53.45 | 162.41 | -1.38 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-23 | 53.91 | 157.09 | -1.28 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-22 | 53.21 | 160.14 | -1.38 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-21 | 52.34 | 157.58 | -1.39 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-20 | 52.00 | 159.01 | -1.45 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-19 | 51.18 | 158.00 | -1.49 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-16 | 51.53 | 159.49 | -1.51 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-15 | 51.31 | 153.75 | -1.43 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-14 | 50.61 | 153.36 | -1.48 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-13 | 50.53 | 150.52 | -1.44 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-12 | 51.10 | 153.52 | -1.48 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-09 | 50.63 | 152.95 | -1.51 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-08 | 50.36 | 151.59 | -1.51 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-07 | 50.73 | 148.25 | -1.44 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-06 | 51.89 | 150.74 | -1.43 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-05 | 52.20 | 151.60 | -1.45 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-02 | 52.16 | 151.89 | -1.47 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-01 | 52.11 | 152.16 | -1.49 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-30 | 51.42 | 152.69 | -1.55 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-29 | 51.22 | 153.75 | -1.60 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-28 | 51.56 | 154.34 | -1.61 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-25 | 51.81 | 155.77 | -1.64 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-24 | 51.62 | 155.12 | -1.65 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-23 | 51.81 | 158.06 | -1.72 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-22 | 51.64 | 157.08 | -1.73 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-21 | 50.33 | 159.83 | -1.88 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-18 | 50.32 | 159.55 | -1.90 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-17 | 50.33 | 159.17 | -1.91 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-16 | 50.62 | 161.88 | -1.97 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-15 | 49.59 | 160.79 | -2.04 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-14 | 49.09 | 160.65 | -2.09 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-11 | 49.33 | 162.58 | -2.14 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-10 | 49.28 | 162.94 | -2.18 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-09 | 49.95 | 162.47 | -2.16 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-08 | 50.76 | 163.51 | -2.15 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-04 | 51.09 | 165.14 | -2.20 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-03 | 50.61 | 166.24 | -2.28 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-02 | 50.23 | 165.13 | -2.32 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-01 | 51.18 | 168.73 | -2.36 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-31 | 52.05 | 170.84 | -2.38 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-28 | 53.00 | 174.12 | -2.42 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-27 | 53.72 | 174.42 | -2.42 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-26 | 53.79 | 174.35 | -2.45 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-25 | 52.57 | 172.94 | -2.55 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-24 | 52.35 | 172.07 | -2.59 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-21 | 52.63 | 172.64 | -2.62 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-20 | 53.22 | 174.59 | -2.67 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-19 | 54.05 | 181.22 | -2.81 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-18 | 55.50 | 185.45 | -2.85 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-17 | 55.93 | 182.28 | -2.81 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-14 | 57.03 | 183.38 | -2.81 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-13 | 57.04 | 181.33 | -2.82 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-12 | 57.36 | 183.21 | -2.89 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-11 | 56.09 | 184.11 | -3.07 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-10 | 59.21 | 184.32 | -2.91 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-07 | 60.01 | 183.43 | -2.89 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-06 | 58.68 | 183.61 | -3.06 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-05 | 60.48 | 182.84 | -2.97 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-04 | 60.64 | 179.23 | -2.93 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-03 | 60.15 | 178.18 | -3.00 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-31 | 59.24 | 177.00 | -3.11 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-30 | 58.97 | 176.31 | -3.19 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-29 | 58.77 | 177.03 | -3.30 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-28 | 60.22 | 179.77 | -3.34 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-27 | 59.90 | 179.64 | -3.46 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-24 | 59.27 | 175.01 | -3.47 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-23 | 60.03 | 172.02 | -3.40 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-22 | 56.79 | 160.28 | -3.40 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-21 | 56.03 | 159.28 | -3.53 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-20 | 55.13 | 159.91 | -3.74 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-17 | 54.85 | 159.15 | -3.86 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-16 | 55.17 | 159.85 | -3.97 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-15 | 54.32 | 161.11 | -4.26 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-14 | 54.28 | 159.05 | -4.34 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-13 | 54.17 | 161.52 | -4.63 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-10 | 55.19 | 161.14 | -4.68 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-09 | 54.46 | 160.54 | -4.97 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-08 | 53.71 | 160.30 | -5.32 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-07 | 54.86 | 165.19 | -5.71 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-06 | 56.35 | 165.61 | -5.87 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-02 | 56.03 | 163.87 | -6.24 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-01 | 54.05 | 157.73 | -6.74 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-06-30 | 54.58 | 156.04 | -7.17 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-06-29 | 55.53 | 154.07 | -7.58 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-06-26 | 113.20 | 154.61 | +0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-25 | 112.73 | 153.46 | +0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-24 | 110.87 | 152.20 | +0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-23 | 108.41 | 153.29 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-22 | 111.20 | 149.54 | +0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-18 | 111.64 | 152.64 | +0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-17 | 111.45 | 158.38 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-16 | 111.88 | 153.61 | +0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-15 | 110.86 | 151.03 | +0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-12 | 107.40 | 150.94 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-11 | 106.82 | 151.50 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-10 | 100.37 | 145.91 | -0.53 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-06-09 | 105.15 | 149.32 | -0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-08 | 103.25 | 146.94 | -0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-05 | 104.31 | 148.85 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-04 | 106.10 | 147.55 | -0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-03 | 108.84 | 141.91 | +0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-02 | 114.68 | 143.32 | +0.86 | HON ahead |
| 2026-06-01 | 115.31 | 143.44 | +0.89 | HON ahead |
| 2026-05-29 | 115.96 | 147.76 | +0.66 | HON ahead |
| 2026-05-28 | 113.59 | 147.18 | +0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-27 | 112.88 | 145.23 | +0.54 | HON ahead |
| 2026-05-26 | 112.96 | 147.19 | +0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-22 | 111.11 | 145.58 | +0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-21 | 109.10 | 144.73 | +0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-20 | 105.98 | 143.80 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-19 | 105.86 | 143.51 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-18 | 105.90 | 144.71 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-15 | 103.96 | 140.78 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-14 | 106.14 | 144.49 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-13 | 106.26 | 146.48 | -0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-12 | 106.54 | 147.13 | -0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-11 | 106.82 | 146.90 | -0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-08 | 103.90 | 144.82 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-07 | 105.33 | 145.39 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-06 | 105.72 | 145.36 | -0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-05 | 101.92 | 142.17 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-04 | 102.18 | 142.20 | -0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-01 | 103.59 | 143.10 | -0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-30 | 104.49 | 144.81 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-29 | 102.52 | 142.11 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-28 | 103.80 | 144.49 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-27 | 103.37 | 142.59 | -0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-24 | 103.92 | 143.32 | -0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-23 | 104.49 | 147.46 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-22 | 107.24 | 148.79 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-21 | 108.33 | 153.94 | -0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-20 | 112.00 | 161.02 | -0.57 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-04-17 | 113.86 | 161.54 | -0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-16 | 111.82 | 161.07 | -0.60 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-04-15 | 113.19 | 163.16 | -0.61 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-04-14 | 113.71 | 166.80 | -0.75 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-04-13 | 113.90 | 165.65 | -0.69 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-04-10 | 114.58 | 165.77 | -0.65 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-04-09 | 115.08 | 167.11 | -0.69 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-04-08 | 113.33 | 167.35 | -0.82 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-04-07 | 109.12 | 162.78 | -0.90 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-04-06 | 111.25 | 163.18 | -0.78 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-04-02 | 111.86 | 161.37 | -0.67 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-04-01 | 111.25 | 160.14 | -0.66 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-31 | 110.19 | 158.65 | -0.66 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-30 | 108.95 | 153.92 | -0.53 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-27 | 108.77 | 156.02 | -0.65 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-26 | 109.77 | 158.61 | -0.71 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-25 | 110.07 | 160.38 | -0.77 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-24 | 108.02 | 159.55 | -0.88 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-23 | 108.72 | 160.23 | -0.87 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-20 | 107.98 | 162.97 | -1.06 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-19 | 111.65 | 165.09 | -0.91 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-18 | 112.09 | 168.24 | -1.03 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-17 | 112.82 | 167.23 | -0.95 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-16 | 114.32 | 169.47 | -0.95 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-13 | 114.32 | 168.20 | -0.91 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-12 | 113.78 | 166.99 | -0.89 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-11 | 116.73 | 170.46 | -0.87 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-10 | 117.30 | 170.24 | -0.83 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-09 | 115.83 | 171.26 | -0.97 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-06 | 114.70 | 172.51 | -1.10 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-05 | 116.21 | 167.66 | -0.81 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-04 | 119.91 | 171.74 | -0.76 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-03 | 118.88 | 169.85 | -0.75 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-02 | 120.92 | 174.49 | -0.83 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-02-27 | 118.75 | 166.64 | -0.63 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-02-26 | 117.43 | 162.54 | -0.54 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-02-25 | 118.07 | 161.18 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-24 | 118.76 | 163.22 | -0.50 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-02-23 | 118.49 | 166.07 | -0.65 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-02-20 | 118.94 | 168.53 | -0.73 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-02-19 | 117.38 | 168.94 | -0.85 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-02-18 | 117.56 | 168.44 | -0.82 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-02-17 | 118.29 | 167.37 | -0.74 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-02-13 | 117.67 | 164.54 | -0.66 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-02-12 | 116.92 | 165.42 | -0.75 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-02-11 | 118.32 | 161.62 | -0.51 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-02-10 | 118.63 | 160.53 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-09 | 116.92 | 161.35 | -0.59 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-02-06 | 116.21 | 163.39 | -0.73 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-02-05 | 114.00 | 161.17 | -0.77 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-02-04 | 114.73 | 161.81 | -0.76 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-02-03 | 112.57 | 167.37 | -1.14 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-02-02 | 110.94 | 165.38 | -1.17 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-30 | 110.92 | 165.25 | -1.17 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-29 | 110.78 | 164.39 | -1.15 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-28 | 105.61 | 164.04 | -1.48 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-27 | 107.69 | 165.54 | -1.42 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-26 | 107.82 | 159.66 | -1.17 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-23 | 107.96 | 161.14 | -1.23 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-22 | 108.49 | 161.48 | -1.22 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-21 | 106.85 | 162.43 | -1.37 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-20 | 104.85 | 161.49 | -1.47 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-16 | 106.95 | 166.07 | -1.54 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-15 | 104.82 | 164.35 | -1.62 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-14 | 103.86 | 163.53 | -1.66 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-13 | 102.51 | 159.62 | -1.59 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-12 | 101.69 | 159.43 | -1.65 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-09 | 101.10 | 155.03 | -1.51 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-08 | 100.06 | 153.94 | -1.54 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-07 | 97.26 | 152.75 | -1.69 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-06 | 99.91 | 156.59 | -1.69 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-05 | 98.03 | 154.83 | -1.75 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-02 | 95.49 | 154.00 | -1.91 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-31 | 95.11 | 150.83 | -1.81 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-30 | 95.73 | 151.34 | -1.80 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-29 | 96.08 | 151.67 | -1.80 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-26 | 96.22 | 152.29 | -1.84 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-24 | 96.00 | 153.29 | -1.91 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-23 | 95.31 | 152.78 | -1.95 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-22 | 95.53 | 152.71 | -1.95 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-19 | 97.07 | 149.69 | -1.72 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-18 | 96.56 | 146.63 | -1.63 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-17 | 97.45 | 145.74 | -1.54 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-16 | 96.65 | 147.98 | -1.71 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-15 | 96.26 | 149.77 | -1.83 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-12 | 94.41 | 146.94 | -1.85 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-11 | 94.50 | 145.92 | -1.81 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-10 | 93.63 | 143.70 | -1.78 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-09 | 92.71 | 141.40 | -1.76 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-08 | 93.60 | 141.06 | -1.69 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-05 | 93.27 | 140.72 | -1.71 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-04 | 93.71 | 140.89 | -1.71 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-03 | 94.32 | 138.54 | -1.56 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-02 | 94.16 | 138.83 | -1.60 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-01 | 92.73 | 138.19 | -1.69 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-28 | 93.69 | 143.85 | -1.91 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-26 | 92.62 | 142.44 | -1.94 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-25 | 93.12 | 141.58 | -1.88 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-24 | 91.97 | 142.45 | -2.03 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-21 | 92.64 | 139.55 | -1.85 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-20 | 91.72 | 142.06 | -2.07 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-19 | 92.90 | 142.91 | -2.04 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-18 | 93.33 | 143.70 | -2.07 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-17 | 95.59 | 144.44 | -1.96 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-14 | 97.03 | 144.40 | -1.87 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-13 | 97.44 | 143.07 | -1.80 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-12 | 98.28 | 146.14 | -1.91 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-11 | 97.70 | 147.40 | -2.04 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-10 | 95.58 | 147.24 | -2.21 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-07 | 94.61 | 145.55 | -2.23 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-06 | 95.51 | 144.01 | -2.12 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-05 | 96.06 | 143.10 | -2.06 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-04 | 95.77 | 144.43 | -2.17 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-03 | 96.41 | 145.60 | -2.22 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-31 | 98.15 | 146.80 | -2.17 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-30 | 97.55 | 145.92 | -2.20 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-29 | 98.38 | 145.04 | -2.12 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-28 | 99.08 | 146.94 | -2.20 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-27 | 99.39 | 147.41 | -2.23 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-24 | 99.88 | 146.93 | -2.20 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-23 | 101.97 | 147.58 | -2.10 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-22 | 95.48 | 146.38 | -2.60 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-21 | 96.62 | 142.31 | -2.31 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-20 | 95.21 | 132.17 | -1.85 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-17 | 93.79 | 129.90 | -1.85 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-16 | 93.89 | 129.16 | -1.82 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-15 | 93.58 | 129.12 | -1.86 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-14 | 96.40 | 131.10 | -1.76 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-13 | 93.77 | 130.64 | -1.99 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-10 | 92.84 | 129.70 | -2.04 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-09 | 94.38 | 133.38 | -2.16 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-08 | 96.97 | 138.64 | -2.29 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-07 | 96.57 | 139.21 | -2.40 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-06 | 96.58 | 138.83 | -2.41 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-03 | 96.60 | 137.00 | -2.33 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-02 | 97.51 | 137.04 | -2.28 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-01 | 97.13 | 137.51 | -2.38 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-30 | 97.27 | 137.62 | -2.41 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-29 | 96.71 | 134.58 | -2.30 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-26 | 96.21 | 134.34 | -2.36 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-25 | 95.98 | 132.01 | -2.25 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-24 | 96.40 | 132.72 | -2.30 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-23 | 96.72 | 132.03 | -2.25 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-22 | 96.58 | 131.12 | -2.23 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-19 | 96.75 | 130.14 | -2.16 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-18 | 97.13 | 130.10 | -2.15 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-17 | 97.82 | 130.20 | -2.12 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-16 | 97.48 | 130.42 | -2.20 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-15 | 97.85 | 130.25 | -2.18 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-12 | 97.72 | 128.18 | -2.05 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-11 | 99.50 | 129.66 | -2.01 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-10 | 97.83 | 127.48 | -2.03 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-09 | 98.98 | 124.80 | -1.71 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-08 | 99.24 | 126.84 | -1.87 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-05 | 99.01 | 129.55 | -2.15 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-04 | 99.43 | 130.50 | -2.21 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-03 | 98.89 | 130.04 | -2.26 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-02 | 100.55 | 129.95 | -2.10 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-29 | 101.43 | 130.44 | -2.07 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-28 | 102.29 | 132.13 | -2.15 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-27 | 102.24 | 131.46 | -2.13 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-26 | 102.85 | 131.24 | -2.07 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-25 | 101.95 | 128.52 | -1.95 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-22 | 102.97 | 128.50 | -1.86 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-21 | 100.47 | 128.56 | -2.17 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-20 | 100.28 | 128.79 | -2.25 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-19 | 100.16 | 126.38 | -2.07 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-18 | 100.00 | 127.89 | -2.26 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-15 | 100.17 | 126.73 | -2.16 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-14 | 100.83 | 127.54 | -2.18 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-13 | 101.54 | 128.06 | -2.18 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-12 | 100.28 | 127.88 | -2.35 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-11 | 100.02 | 127.31 | -2.36 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-08 | 99.96 | 127.36 | -2.41 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-07 | 100.08 | 128.10 | -2.51 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-06 | 101.31 | 128.09 | -2.39 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-05 | 102.15 | 128.57 | -2.36 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-04 | 102.03 | 129.43 | -2.51 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-01 | 100.61 | 128.97 | -2.70 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-31 | 102.75 | 129.59 | -2.52 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-30 | 102.66 | 130.27 | -2.65 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-29 | 102.46 | 129.22 | -2.61 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-28 | 104.01 | 128.36 | -2.32 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-25 | 103.62 | 129.02 | -2.46 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-24 | 103.73 | 127.66 | -2.31 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-23 | 110.57 | 128.70 | -1.54 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-22 | 109.33 | 122.68 | -1.04 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-21 | 108.70 | 124.65 | -1.33 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-18 | 109.31 | 124.60 | -1.25 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-17 | 110.15 | 124.60 | -1.15 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-16 | 109.46 | 123.51 | -1.12 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-15 | 108.73 | 122.28 | -1.08 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-14 | 110.01 | 122.77 | -0.98 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-11 | 109.02 | 120.79 | -0.90 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-10 | 109.41 | 120.40 | -0.82 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-09 | 110.31 | 120.22 | -0.70 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-08 | 110.81 | 119.18 | -0.54 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-07 | 110.61 | 120.01 | -0.66 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-03 | 111.09 | 119.87 | -0.60 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-02 | 110.56 | 118.86 | -0.56 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-01 | 110.34 | 118.59 | -0.56 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-30 | 107.62 | 120.09 | -1.00 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-27 | 105.75 | 118.97 | -1.10 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-26 | 104.61 | 117.34 | -1.07 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-25 | 102.49 | 116.28 | -1.21 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-24 | 103.79 | 116.66 | -1.11 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-23 | 103.85 | 119.92 | -1.42 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-20 | 102.50 | 120.60 | -1.64 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-18 | 102.53 | 119.97 | -1.59 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-17 | 102.49 | 122.12 | -1.81 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-16 | 103.55 | 120.45 | -1.56 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-13 | 103.65 | 119.82 | -1.50 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-12 | 104.46 | 115.95 | -1.05 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-11 | 104.35 | 116.63 | -1.14 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-10 | 104.56 | 113.92 | -0.86 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-09 | 104.96 | 115.95 | -1.02 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-06 | 105.72 | 114.40 | -0.80 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-05 | 104.75 | 114.38 | -0.90 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-04 | 105.11 | 113.95 | -0.83 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-03 | 104.79 | 113.08 | -0.78 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-02 | 104.21 | 113.05 | -0.85 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-30 | 104.75 | 112.25 | -0.72 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-29 | 104.06 | 110.86 | -0.66 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-28 | 103.79 | 109.26 | -0.53 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-27 | 104.65 | 110.36 | -0.55 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-23 | 102.60 | 108.85 | -0.63 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-22 | 103.34 | 110.26 | -0.70 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-21 | 102.53 | 110.99 | -0.86 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-20 | 104.00 | 112.82 | -0.90 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-19 | 103.95 | 112.84 | -0.91 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-16 | 102.99 | 111.42 | -0.88 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-15 | 102.72 | 111.46 | -0.92 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-14 | 100.36 | 107.57 | -0.79 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-13 | 100.84 | 107.51 | -0.73 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-12 | 101.36 | 107.38 | -0.67 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-09 | 98.44 | 105.82 | -0.84 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-08 | 99.14 | 105.82 | -0.77 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-07 | 99.17 | 104.86 | -0.67 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-06 | 97.01 | 105.40 | -0.98 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-05 | 99.01 | 105.76 | -0.79 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-02 | 98.95 | 107.09 | -0.95 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-01 | 97.38 | 104.79 | -0.89 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-30 | 97.27 | 103.73 | -0.79 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-29 | 97.73 | 103.40 | -0.71 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-28 | 92.73 | 102.64 | -1.23 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-25 | 92.03 | 102.99 | -1.36 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-24 | 92.76 | 100.31 | -0.98 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-23 | 91.18 | 98.92 | -1.03 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-22 | 91.67 | 93.55 | -0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-21 | 89.76 | 103.73 | -1.76 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-17 | 90.85 | 106.00 | -1.89 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-16 | 89.32 | 106.30 | -2.15 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-15 | 91.87 | 105.80 | -1.79 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-14 | 92.54 | 106.21 | -1.77 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-11 | 91.75 | 105.49 | -1.81 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-10 | 89.37 | 104.51 | -2.03 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-09 | 92.01 | 105.63 | -1.84 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-08 | 84.50 | 99.07 | -2.11 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-07 | 86.63 | 96.49 | -1.51 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-04 | 88.26 | 96.60 | -1.32 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-03 | 95.51 | 107.11 | -1.62 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-02 | 99.81 | 109.51 | -1.37 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-01 | 98.64 | 109.26 | -1.49 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-31 | 97.85 | 108.94 | -1.57 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-28 | 97.20 | 108.33 | -1.59 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-27 | 98.97 | 109.74 | -1.54 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-26 | 98.48 | 110.48 | -1.69 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-25 | 98.02 | 111.57 | -1.88 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-24 | 97.90 | 110.77 | -1.83 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-21 | 97.10 | 108.87 | -1.73 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-20 | 97.45 | 110.59 | -1.89 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-19 | 96.42 | 111.29 | -2.12 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-18 | 96.92 | 109.13 | -1.83 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-17 | 97.24 | 108.60 | -1.75 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-14 | 96.80 | 106.91 | -1.62 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-13 | 95.51 | 106.26 | -1.72 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-12 | 95.36 | 105.24 | -1.63 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-11 | 96.39 | 105.36 | -1.53 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-10 | 98.81 | 105.70 | -1.28 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-07 | 99.13 | 105.60 | -1.24 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-06 | 97.62 | 105.50 | -1.41 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-05 | 96.87 | 106.62 | -1.64 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-04 | 96.12 | 105.85 | -1.65 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-03 | 97.98 | 110.07 | -1.90 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-28 | 98.38 | 109.38 | -1.79 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-27 | 98.09 | 107.34 | -1.62 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-26 | 97.66 | 104.70 | -1.39 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-25 | 97.97 | 104.73 | -1.36 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-24 | 97.00 | 103.16 | -1.31 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-21 | 97.94 | 101.40 | -1.01 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-20 | 97.67 | 102.89 | -1.22 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-19 | 97.42 | 103.14 | -1.29 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-18 | 96.14 | 101.78 | -1.30 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-14 | 93.69 | 100.67 | -1.47 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-13 | 94.86 | 103.50 | -1.66 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-12 | 94.74 | 104.27 | -1.78 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-11 | 95.63 | 106.18 | -1.89 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-10 | 96.36 | 105.48 | -1.75 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-07 | 94.97 | 105.23 | -1.91 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-06 | 96.96 | 105.91 | -1.76 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-05 | 102.75 | 106.23 | -1.14 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-04 | 103.30 | 105.58 | -1.02 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-03 | 102.78 | 106.85 | -1.22 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-01-31 | 103.38 | 106.05 | -1.07 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-01-30 | 103.54 | 106.08 | -1.07 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-01-29 | 102.15 | 102.91 | -0.88 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-01-28 | 101.99 | 105.56 | -1.19 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-01-27 | 104.30 | 102.85 | -0.66 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-01-24 | 102.36 | 103.06 | -0.90 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-01-23 | 104.28 | 103.87 | -0.78 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-01-22 | 103.09 | 102.29 | -0.74 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-01-21 | 104.01 | 103.42 | -0.77 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-01-17 | 102.86 | 99.61 | -0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-16 | 102.91 | 99.07 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-15 | 101.45 | 97.94 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-14 | 100.97 | 98.26 | -0.56 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-01-13 | 101.25 | 96.83 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-10 | 100.83 | 94.67 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-08 | 101.74 | 95.34 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-07 | 101.95 | 94.42 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-06 | 102.47 | 93.84 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-03 | 104.68 | 95.30 | +0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-02 | 104.21 | 95.41 | +0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-31 | 104.39 | 95.17 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-30 | 104.71 | 94.76 | +0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-27 | 106.06 | 95.99 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-26 | 107.14 | 96.26 | +0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-24 | 105.78 | 96.09 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-23 | 104.96 | 95.92 | -0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-20 | 105.51 | 95.80 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-19 | 104.84 | 94.96 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-18 | 104.83 | 94.13 | +0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-17 | 107.73 | 96.57 | +0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-16 | 109.06 | 97.14 | +0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-13 | 105.18 | 96.84 | -0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-12 | 105.22 | 95.44 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-11 | 105.85 | 96.18 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-10 | 105.86 | 96.73 | -0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-09 | 104.02 | 95.88 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-06 | 104.61 | 97.04 | -0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-05 | 104.57 | 97.48 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-04 | 106.19 | 98.06 | -0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-03 | 104.88 | 97.13 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-02 | 106.26 | 97.61 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-29 | 107.64 | 100.20 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-27 | 106.12 | 98.97 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-26 | 106.47 | 99.19 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-25 | 106.56 | 97.58 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-22 | 105.87 | 99.33 | -0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-21 | 104.48 | 99.13 | -0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-20 | 104.75 | 97.99 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-19 | 105.45 | 97.84 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-18 | 105.75 | 98.19 | -0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-15 | 105.82 | 97.48 | -0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-14 | 106.59 | 97.80 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-13 | 107.70 | 101.78 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-12 | 108.09 | 101.46 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-11 | 104.09 | 102.44 | -0.80 | RTX ahead |
| 2024-11-08 | 101.43 | 101.61 | -0.95 | RTX ahead |
| 2024-11-07 | 100.51 | 98.76 | -0.81 | RTX ahead |
| 2024-11-06 | 100.00 | 100.00 | -0.95 | RTX ahead |
One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Apr 22, 2025 (HON +2.1%, RTX -9.8%); Jun 4, 2026 (HON -2.5%, RTX +4.0%); Jun 29, 2026 (HON -51.0%, RTX -0.3%).
Paired trades
The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart
Forward paper record
No paper position on this pair yet.
Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)
3 simulated trades to Nov 3, 2026: -0.43% per trade on average after costs, 1 won.
| Legs | Entered | Exited | Why | Days | Before costs | Costs + borrow | After costs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long RTX · Short HON | Jan 10, 2019 | May 31, 2019 | divergence stop | 141 | -$407.46 | -$67.75 | -$372.26 (-3.72%) |
| Long RTX · Short HON | Dec 24, 2018 | Jan 8, 2019 | divergence stop | 15 | -$250.65 | -$36.90 | -$276.61 (-2.77%) |
| Long HON · Short RTX | Nov 26, 2018 | Nov 29, 2018 | converged | 3 | $564.77 | -$43.29 | $519.29 (+5.19%) |
Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.
The companies
HON and RTX at a glance
HON Honeywell International Inc.
- Listing
- Nasdaq · SEC CIK 773840
- Industry
- Aerospace · SIC 3724 Aircraft Engines & Engine Parts
- Market value
- $71.1B
- Price history
- 2,534 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Nov 10, 2026
RTX RTX Corporation
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 101829
- Industry
- Aerospace · SIC 3724 Aircraft Engines & Engine Parts
- Market value
- $275.0B
- Price history
- 2,534 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Nov 10, 2026
Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.
Related
All pairs →Other rivals of HON and RTX
| Pair | Status | Ahead now | Industry |
|---|---|---|---|
| RTX / BA | Watchlist | RTX by 2.53 sd | Aerospace |
| BA / HON | Watchlist | BA by 0.61 sd | Aerospace |
| HON / HONA | Short history | neither | SIC 3724 Aircraft Engines & Engine Parts |
| RTX / HONA | Short history | neither | SIC 3724 Aircraft Engines & Engine Parts |
Follow the research behind the paper book
Boostio is a research-first platform in private beta: crypto candidates, daily market stories, public paper trading and now rival stocks. Exploring these pages stays free and open.
Explore the private betaPaper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.
