Intercontinental Hotels Group vs Marriott International
WatchlistIHG / MARPrices through Nov 10, 2026
Why these are rivals: #1 and #3 by market value ($107B vs $25B) in Nasdaq's "Hotels/Resorts" industry; SEC SIC 7011 / 7011 (same major group); #1 and #3 by market value ($107B vs $25B) with SEC SIC 7011 (Hotels & Motels).
Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.12 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Business leadership
Business size
Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.
| Year | IHG | MAR | Larger |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | - | $26.2B | - |
| 2024 | - | $25.1B | - |
| 2023 | - | $23.7B | - |
| 2022 | - | $20.8B | - |
| 2021 | - | $13.9B | - |
| 2020 | - | $10.6B | - |
Market value: IHG $25.0B, MAR $107.2B.
Stock leadership
MAR is ahead now
Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.
MAR leads IHG by 0.39 standard deviations: +1.9% over its usual price ratio. 6 lead switches in the last year.
| Price change | 3 mo | 6 mo | 12 mo |
|---|---|---|---|
| IHG | +11.8% | +20.3% | +39.0% |
| MAR | +20.8% | +22.3% | +47.1% |
Relationship
Not a measured twin today
Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.
- Pass
- Aligned sessions: 2534 (needs >= 254)
- Pass
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.74 (needs >= 0.60)
- Fail
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.12 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
- Pass
- Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 23.18 (needs <= 63)
- Data
- Both stocks current
The twins over two years
Prices side by side, and the gap between them
IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group MAR Marriott InternationalPrice index, 100 = 2024-11-06. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
Spread z-score: IHG relative to MAR, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: IHG ahead; below 0: MAR ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
Data table (504 sessions)
| Date | IHG index | MAR index | z | Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-10 | 152.89 | 155.02 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-11-09 | 152.38 | 151.00 | +0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-11-06 | 151.05 | 150.75 | -0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-11-05 | 148.35 | 151.05 | -0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-11-04 | 148.72 | 153.79 | -0.80 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-11-03 | 143.82 | 150.72 | -1.07 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-11-02 | 145.02 | 150.69 | -0.91 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-10-30 | 141.80 | 144.54 | -0.53 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-10-29 | 143.37 | 144.66 | -0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-28 | 141.78 | 142.76 | -0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-27 | 140.35 | 141.25 | -0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-26 | 141.39 | 142.89 | -0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-23 | 137.23 | 141.43 | -0.77 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-10-22 | 141.78 | 143.63 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-21 | 144.40 | 146.24 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-20 | 144.45 | 143.82 | -0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-19 | 142.74 | 141.42 | -0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-16 | 141.77 | 140.47 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-15 | 140.40 | 139.62 | -0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-14 | 135.51 | 134.59 | -0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-13 | 135.96 | 134.47 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-12 | 135.08 | 133.68 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-09 | 135.78 | 132.44 | +0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-08 | 134.76 | 130.70 | +0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-07 | 135.12 | 129.05 | +0.64 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-10-06 | 135.66 | 130.78 | +0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-05 | 134.79 | 128.82 | +0.62 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-10-02 | 136.67 | 129.94 | +0.72 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-10-01 | 136.42 | 128.43 | +0.90 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-09-30 | 135.88 | 128.74 | +0.77 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-09-29 | 137.82 | 130.90 | +0.72 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-09-28 | 136.14 | 129.79 | +0.65 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-09-25 | 133.65 | 127.43 | +0.65 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-09-24 | 133.23 | 127.24 | +0.62 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-09-23 | 131.93 | 127.29 | +0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-22 | 130.85 | 125.99 | +0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-21 | 130.64 | 124.04 | +0.73 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-09-18 | 129.36 | 122.68 | +0.75 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-09-17 | 129.38 | 120.90 | +1.03 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-09-16 | 129.93 | 121.25 | +1.06 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-09-15 | 129.63 | 122.07 | +0.89 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-09-14 | 131.09 | 123.24 | +0.92 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-09-11 | 129.99 | 121.15 | +1.08 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-09-10 | 129.09 | 119.12 | +1.26 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-09-09 | 130.74 | 120.00 | +1.36 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-09-08 | 130.72 | 119.01 | +1.52 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-09-04 | 135.16 | 121.81 | +1.72 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-09-03 | 135.85 | 121.65 | +1.85 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-09-02 | 135.63 | 120.59 | +2.00 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-09-01 | 131.21 | 121.10 | +1.29 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-08-31 | 135.25 | 123.71 | +1.47 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-08-28 | 137.21 | 127.08 | +1.24 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-08-27 | 137.76 | 128.09 | +1.16 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-08-26 | 139.07 | 129.83 | +1.09 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-08-25 | 138.37 | 129.50 | +1.05 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-08-24 | 137.34 | 130.38 | +0.77 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-08-21 | 135.13 | 129.01 | +0.66 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-08-20 | 134.98 | 129.08 | +0.62 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-08-19 | 136.52 | 130.29 | +0.66 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-08-18 | 134.68 | 129.35 | +0.54 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-08-17 | 135.41 | 129.07 | +0.68 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-08-14 | 135.39 | 129.12 | +0.67 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-08-13 | 134.78 | 127.61 | +0.81 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-08-12 | 136.74 | 128.35 | +0.97 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-08-11 | 131.71 | 126.51 | +0.53 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-08-10 | 131.51 | 126.13 | +0.55 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-08-07 | 133.10 | 128.11 | +0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-06 | 134.61 | 130.19 | +0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-05 | 135.81 | 130.79 | +0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-04 | 132.76 | 124.95 | +0.91 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-08-03 | 133.51 | 125.54 | +0.93 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-07-31 | 137.13 | 134.96 | +0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-30 | 137.39 | 135.92 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-29 | 136.49 | 137.96 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-28 | 137.05 | 138.83 | -0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-27 | 134.79 | 138.66 | -0.78 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-07-24 | 131.98 | 135.54 | -0.75 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-07-23 | 130.23 | 131.93 | -0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-22 | 131.43 | 133.86 | -0.60 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-07-21 | 131.82 | 133.14 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-20 | 132.16 | 132.82 | -0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-17 | 133.58 | 132.57 | -0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-16 | 135.09 | 134.34 | -0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-15 | 135.09 | 133.59 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-14 | 134.14 | 131.47 | +0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-13 | 137.24 | 131.35 | +0.60 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-07-10 | 139.44 | 136.14 | +0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-09 | 138.77 | 134.83 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-08 | 138.13 | 134.35 | +0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-07 | 140.81 | 137.82 | +0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-06 | 140.62 | 137.46 | +0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-02 | 143.59 | 135.00 | +0.95 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-07-01 | 142.31 | 133.32 | +1.03 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-06-30 | 146.29 | 134.15 | +1.45 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-06-29 | 146.70 | 135.70 | +1.29 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-06-26 | 146.06 | 136.58 | +1.09 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-06-25 | 147.14 | 137.16 | +1.16 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-06-24 | 145.94 | 138.84 | +0.77 | IHG ahead |
| 2026-06-23 | 144.40 | 140.02 | +0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-22 | 143.70 | 139.07 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-18 | 144.52 | 143.42 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-17 | 144.21 | 142.84 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-16 | 144.08 | 144.47 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-15 | 142.43 | 145.02 | -0.55 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-06-12 | 141.22 | 145.71 | -0.81 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-06-11 | 138.95 | 143.67 | -0.86 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-06-10 | 136.45 | 139.81 | -0.68 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-06-09 | 137.71 | 142.48 | -0.88 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-06-08 | 138.03 | 141.69 | -0.73 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-06-05 | 137.02 | 142.08 | -0.93 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-06-04 | 135.63 | 139.47 | -0.77 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-06-03 | 135.63 | 136.38 | -0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-02 | 133.69 | 135.29 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-01 | 130.99 | 136.45 | -1.04 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-05-29 | 130.88 | 135.96 | -0.99 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-05-28 | 133.55 | 139.64 | -1.13 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-05-27 | 134.50 | 139.67 | -1.00 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-05-26 | 130.40 | 135.31 | -1.00 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-05-22 | 129.36 | 133.62 | -0.91 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-05-21 | 130.22 | 134.13 | -0.87 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-05-20 | 131.06 | 133.84 | -0.70 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-05-19 | 126.75 | 129.84 | -0.77 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-05-18 | 127.49 | 130.02 | -0.69 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-05-15 | 125.55 | 127.84 | -0.66 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-05-14 | 126.69 | 127.95 | -0.50 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-05-13 | 126.89 | 126.76 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-12 | 127.07 | 126.78 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-11 | 125.26 | 127.89 | -0.73 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-05-08 | 126.43 | 127.84 | -0.54 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-05-07 | 124.18 | 127.43 | -0.84 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-05-06 | 123.00 | 129.97 | -1.43 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-05-05 | 119.87 | 128.33 | -1.70 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-05-04 | 117.97 | 125.69 | -1.62 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-05-01 | 120.79 | 128.49 | -1.61 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-04-30 | 121.58 | 130.92 | -1.87 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-04-29 | 120.30 | 128.12 | -1.67 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-04-28 | 122.08 | 129.71 | -1.64 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-04-27 | 121.83 | 130.55 | -1.83 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-04-24 | 123.61 | 132.90 | -1.92 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-04-23 | 121.36 | 133.29 | -2.39 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-04-22 | 118.48 | 132.89 | -2.88 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-04-21 | 121.95 | 135.90 | -2.79 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-04-20 | 124.05 | 137.09 | -2.66 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-04-17 | 124.09 | 136.80 | -2.65 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-04-16 | 119.15 | 131.19 | -2.67 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-04-15 | 120.37 | 131.67 | -2.57 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-04-14 | 121.89 | 132.74 | -2.51 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-04-13 | 119.77 | 130.15 | -2.50 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-04-10 | 119.55 | 128.18 | -2.23 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-04-09 | 120.96 | 127.75 | -1.91 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-04-08 | 119.34 | 126.18 | -1.95 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-04-07 | 111.56 | 119.79 | -2.34 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-04-06 | 113.96 | 122.35 | -2.37 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-04-02 | 113.15 | 120.15 | -2.14 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-04-01 | 112.97 | 120.71 | -2.32 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-03-31 | 112.78 | 118.39 | -1.92 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-03-30 | 110.00 | 115.58 | -1.96 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-03-27 | 109.51 | 114.94 | -1.96 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-03-26 | 111.94 | 117.91 | -2.07 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-03-25 | 113.35 | 118.29 | -1.87 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-03-24 | 111.76 | 117.39 | -2.05 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-03-23 | 111.59 | 118.19 | -2.29 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-03-20 | 109.21 | 115.75 | -2.34 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-03-19 | 110.63 | 117.60 | -2.45 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-03-18 | 111.19 | 116.75 | -2.17 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-03-17 | 112.77 | 118.47 | -2.21 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-03-16 | 110.62 | 116.50 | -2.30 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-03-13 | 108.92 | 113.59 | -2.07 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-03-12 | 110.66 | 114.50 | -1.89 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-03-11 | 113.50 | 118.14 | -2.07 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-03-10 | 111.47 | 118.00 | -2.55 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-03-09 | 112.05 | 119.04 | -2.70 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-03-06 | 112.07 | 117.21 | -2.31 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-03-05 | 113.39 | 120.55 | -2.80 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-03-04 | 114.14 | 121.60 | -2.92 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-03-03 | 114.41 | 121.59 | -2.91 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-03-02 | 113.05 | 119.62 | -2.84 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-02-27 | 117.49 | 123.70 | -2.75 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-02-26 | 120.89 | 126.90 | -2.71 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-02-25 | 118.79 | 125.77 | -3.03 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-02-24 | 119.43 | 124.21 | -2.53 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-02-23 | 120.71 | 124.02 | -2.19 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-02-20 | 122.03 | 125.94 | -2.36 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-02-19 | 120.93 | 126.65 | -2.88 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-02-18 | 122.68 | 128.86 | -3.03 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-02-17 | 125.26 | 130.29 | -2.76 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-02-13 | 123.48 | 128.10 | -2.72 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-02-12 | 123.26 | 128.53 | -2.94 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-02-11 | 123.15 | 129.86 | -3.41 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-02-10 | 124.93 | 130.08 | -3.04 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-02-09 | 121.11 | 119.89 | -1.30 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-02-06 | 122.38 | 120.63 | -1.15 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-02-05 | 120.91 | 118.17 | -0.86 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-02-04 | 120.81 | 117.48 | -0.70 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-02-03 | 115.94 | 115.26 | -1.48 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-02-02 | 120.14 | 115.58 | -0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-30 | 115.97 | 114.13 | -1.14 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-01-29 | 116.04 | 115.75 | -1.62 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-01-28 | 114.37 | 112.96 | -1.29 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-01-27 | 115.27 | 113.64 | -1.24 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-01-26 | 114.89 | 114.64 | -1.67 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-01-23 | 117.04 | 115.72 | -1.37 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-01-22 | 117.64 | 116.44 | -1.41 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-01-21 | 116.90 | 116.04 | -1.53 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-01-20 | 113.87 | 113.60 | -1.73 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-01-16 | 117.64 | 117.96 | -1.93 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-01-15 | 116.55 | 117.93 | -2.28 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-01-14 | 115.63 | 115.72 | -1.90 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-01-13 | 116.32 | 116.90 | -2.08 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-01-12 | 116.44 | 117.05 | -2.11 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-01-09 | 117.21 | 118.79 | -2.46 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-01-08 | 117.15 | 117.61 | -2.13 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-01-07 | 115.23 | 115.57 | -2.12 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-01-06 | 117.71 | 116.51 | -1.63 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-01-05 | 116.18 | 112.59 | -0.82 | MAR ahead |
| 2026-01-02 | 118.60 | 113.45 | -0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-31 | 119.00 | 112.30 | +0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-30 | 119.69 | 113.64 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-29 | 119.77 | 113.81 | -0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-26 | 121.18 | 114.23 | +0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-24 | 121.18 | 114.08 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-23 | 120.89 | 113.69 | +0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-22 | 121.19 | 113.57 | +0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-19 | 120.71 | 112.27 | +0.78 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-12-18 | 118.69 | 111.06 | +0.56 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-12-17 | 119.55 | 112.24 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-16 | 118.65 | 110.75 | +0.66 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-12-15 | 118.70 | 111.67 | +0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-12 | 117.18 | 108.13 | +1.11 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-12-11 | 115.15 | 107.31 | +0.74 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-12-10 | 112.98 | 103.87 | +1.27 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-12-09 | 111.29 | 102.74 | +1.12 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-12-08 | 112.64 | 104.18 | +1.06 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-12-05 | 112.87 | 105.91 | +0.50 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-12-04 | 114.00 | 107.15 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-03 | 116.25 | 111.00 | -0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-02 | 114.23 | 110.28 | -0.58 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-12-01 | 112.22 | 109.84 | -1.10 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-11-28 | 113.39 | 110.33 | -0.87 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-11-26 | 114.63 | 110.28 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-25 | 113.79 | 110.08 | -0.64 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-11-24 | 110.81 | 107.23 | -0.65 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-11-21 | 110.33 | 107.09 | -0.76 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-11-20 | 105.34 | 102.22 | -0.75 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-11-19 | 106.30 | 102.87 | -0.64 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-11-18 | 106.66 | 102.40 | -0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-17 | 107.44 | 102.40 | -0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-14 | 108.94 | 103.42 | +0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-13 | 109.66 | 104.04 | +0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-12 | 111.94 | 105.58 | +0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-11 | 111.02 | 105.66 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-10 | 111.41 | 105.14 | +0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-07 | 110.01 | 105.39 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-06 | 106.36 | 101.77 | -0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-05 | 106.36 | 102.47 | -0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-04 | 103.25 | 98.54 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-03 | 103.39 | 95.52 | +1.11 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-10-31 | 102.64 | 94.32 | +1.31 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-10-30 | 104.16 | 94.94 | +1.62 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-10-29 | 104.29 | 95.24 | +1.56 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-10-28 | 104.95 | 96.09 | +1.48 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-10-27 | 106.03 | 98.17 | +1.09 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-10-24 | 105.11 | 98.21 | +0.78 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-10-23 | 103.57 | 97.63 | +0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-22 | 105.65 | 98.48 | +0.87 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-10-21 | 103.20 | 97.17 | +0.53 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-10-20 | 101.67 | 94.11 | +1.13 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-10-17 | 102.09 | 94.42 | +1.16 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-10-16 | 100.29 | 93.77 | +0.80 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-10-15 | 101.69 | 96.35 | +0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-14 | 103.32 | 97.00 | +0.67 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-10-13 | 103.56 | 95.29 | +1.36 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-10-10 | 102.34 | 94.19 | +1.37 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-10-09 | 103.39 | 96.34 | +0.95 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-10-08 | 104.83 | 97.00 | +1.20 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-10-07 | 104.11 | 96.81 | +1.04 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-10-06 | 105.04 | 98.44 | +0.78 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-10-03 | 104.72 | 96.85 | +1.24 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-10-02 | 104.07 | 96.43 | +1.19 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-10-01 | 102.56 | 94.72 | +1.31 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-09-30 | 102.47 | 94.27 | +1.45 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-09-29 | 103.74 | 96.58 | +1.05 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-09-26 | 104.13 | 95.64 | +1.53 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-09-25 | 99.54 | 94.44 | +0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-24 | 99.99 | 94.89 | +0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-23 | 100.38 | 94.78 | +0.57 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-09-22 | 99.94 | 95.60 | +0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-19 | 101.21 | 97.20 | -0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-18 | 99.81 | 95.54 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-17 | 100.08 | 94.86 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-16 | 101.93 | 96.97 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-15 | 100.98 | 95.97 | +0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-12 | 102.26 | 96.47 | +0.61 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-09-11 | 104.29 | 96.99 | +1.12 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-09-10 | 103.32 | 94.99 | +1.53 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-09-09 | 104.51 | 95.56 | +1.74 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-09-08 | 105.61 | 97.03 | +1.59 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-09-05 | 104.12 | 95.82 | +1.55 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-09-04 | 103.17 | 97.32 | +0.68 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-09-03 | 102.58 | 95.95 | +0.98 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-09-02 | 101.42 | 95.74 | +0.66 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-08-29 | 103.63 | 96.96 | +0.99 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-08-28 | 103.81 | 97.82 | +0.74 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-08-27 | 103.45 | 97.61 | +0.69 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-08-26 | 102.10 | 96.96 | +0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-25 | 102.23 | 97.23 | +0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-22 | 103.70 | 99.12 | +0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-21 | 101.42 | 94.94 | +1.00 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-08-20 | 102.26 | 95.39 | +1.13 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-08-19 | 103.15 | 96.57 | +1.01 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-08-18 | 102.61 | 96.38 | +0.90 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-08-15 | 102.31 | 96.00 | +0.94 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-08-14 | 101.56 | 96.49 | +0.51 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-08-13 | 102.76 | 97.63 | +0.51 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-08-12 | 102.04 | 95.93 | +0.89 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-08-11 | 99.21 | 93.38 | +0.85 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-08-08 | 100.90 | 94.09 | +1.20 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-08-07 | 104.59 | 94.33 | +2.40 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-08-06 | 98.42 | 95.10 | -0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-05 | 97.42 | 94.01 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-04 | 97.47 | 93.80 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-01 | 96.90 | 92.43 | +0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-31 | 98.16 | 95.50 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-30 | 99.99 | 97.75 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-29 | 98.85 | 98.99 | -1.33 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-07-28 | 99.32 | 99.83 | -1.47 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-07-25 | 99.96 | 101.03 | -1.69 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-07-24 | 98.91 | 98.78 | -1.26 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-07-23 | 99.97 | 99.00 | -0.96 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-07-22 | 100.60 | 98.81 | -0.66 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-07-21 | 98.55 | 98.30 | -1.23 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-07-18 | 98.94 | 98.67 | -1.23 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-07-17 | 98.28 | 98.31 | -1.35 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-07-16 | 99.46 | 99.04 | -1.19 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-07-15 | 99.52 | 99.51 | -1.35 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-07-14 | 101.55 | 102.39 | -1.67 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-07-11 | 101.89 | 101.95 | -1.40 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-07-10 | 103.00 | 102.19 | -1.08 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-07-09 | 102.26 | 101.06 | -0.94 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-07-08 | 101.28 | 101.34 | -1.40 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-07-07 | 100.22 | 100.77 | -1.60 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-07-03 | 101.12 | 101.36 | -1.49 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-07-02 | 99.67 | 100.46 | -1.70 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-07-01 | 99.14 | 100.66 | -2.00 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-06-30 | 97.46 | 98.90 | -1.99 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-06-27 | 97.99 | 98.99 | -1.84 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-06-26 | 96.95 | 97.60 | -1.71 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-06-25 | 96.10 | 96.28 | -1.53 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-06-24 | 97.23 | 97.27 | -1.48 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-06-23 | 95.44 | 95.60 | -1.54 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-06-20 | 93.62 | 94.18 | -1.70 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-06-18 | 94.75 | 93.22 | -0.84 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-06-17 | 94.19 | 92.74 | -0.87 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-06-16 | 96.16 | 93.36 | -0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-13 | 94.42 | 92.30 | -0.59 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-06-12 | 96.76 | 95.28 | -0.88 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-06-11 | 98.59 | 96.31 | -0.57 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-06-10 | 99.30 | 97.02 | -0.58 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-06-09 | 97.25 | 96.26 | -1.09 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-06-06 | 98.54 | 96.15 | -0.53 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-06-05 | 97.62 | 94.05 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-04 | 97.85 | 94.81 | -0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-03 | 98.28 | 95.71 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-02 | 97.38 | 94.55 | -0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-30 | 97.89 | 95.50 | -0.51 | MAR ahead |
| 2025-05-29 | 99.16 | 95.42 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-28 | 99.02 | 95.75 | -0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-27 | 100.83 | 96.32 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-23 | 99.23 | 93.28 | +0.93 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-05-22 | 99.50 | 94.36 | +0.61 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-05-21 | 99.40 | 94.36 | +0.57 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-05-20 | 101.88 | 96.77 | +0.56 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-05-19 | 102.19 | 98.89 | -0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-16 | 103.54 | 98.90 | +0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-15 | 103.66 | 98.27 | +0.64 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-05-14 | 105.06 | 98.67 | +0.99 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-05-13 | 104.57 | 99.23 | +0.62 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-05-12 | 102.11 | 98.44 | +0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-09 | 98.13 | 93.38 | +0.53 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-05-08 | 99.19 | 93.86 | +0.73 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-05-07 | 97.46 | 92.66 | +0.58 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-05-06 | 95.90 | 91.20 | +0.57 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-05-05 | 96.36 | 89.51 | +1.39 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-05-02 | 95.88 | 90.30 | +0.93 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-05-01 | 93.72 | 88.30 | +0.92 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-04-30 | 91.17 | 86.36 | +0.74 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-04-29 | 90.37 | 86.76 | +0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-28 | 90.43 | 85.76 | +0.71 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-04-25 | 89.76 | 85.50 | +0.57 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-04-24 | 89.10 | 85.52 | +0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-23 | 87.92 | 83.18 | +0.80 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-04-22 | 86.90 | 79.85 | +1.76 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-04-21 | 84.72 | 78.08 | +1.67 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-04-17 | 85.82 | 79.78 | +1.39 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-04-16 | 85.13 | 79.20 | +1.35 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-04-15 | 87.88 | 80.57 | +1.80 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-04-14 | 87.58 | 80.90 | +1.55 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-04-11 | 87.85 | 81.52 | +1.41 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-04-10 | 87.05 | 80.69 | +1.44 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-04-09 | 88.40 | 84.48 | +0.56 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-04-08 | 81.14 | 76.42 | +0.98 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-04-07 | 82.22 | 77.23 | +1.06 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-04-04 | 85.42 | 77.67 | +1.99 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-04-03 | 89.19 | 81.31 | +1.93 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-04-02 | 94.10 | 87.80 | +1.29 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-04-01 | 92.51 | 86.24 | +1.33 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-03-31 | 92.61 | 86.22 | +1.37 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-03-28 | 92.51 | 85.79 | +1.50 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-03-27 | 94.57 | 88.49 | +1.26 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-03-26 | 93.95 | 89.31 | +0.82 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-03-25 | 94.17 | 89.22 | +0.92 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-03-24 | 93.70 | 87.93 | +1.19 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-03-21 | 92.67 | 85.97 | +1.53 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-03-20 | 95.22 | 88.63 | +1.45 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-03-19 | 95.36 | 89.63 | +1.18 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-03-18 | 94.79 | 87.02 | +1.86 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-03-17 | 96.68 | 89.81 | +1.54 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-03-14 | 95.96 | 88.00 | +1.93 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-03-13 | 94.13 | 85.89 | +2.10 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-03-12 | 96.16 | 88.25 | +1.96 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-03-11 | 97.12 | 89.16 | +1.97 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-03-10 | 100.02 | 93.11 | +1.58 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-03-07 | 101.83 | 95.11 | +1.50 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-03-06 | 101.88 | 95.07 | +1.54 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-03-05 | 106.63 | 98.13 | +1.97 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-03-04 | 106.29 | 98.02 | +1.93 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-03-03 | 107.22 | 100.53 | +1.45 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-02-28 | 107.18 | 101.52 | +1.15 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-02-27 | 107.07 | 100.34 | +1.48 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-02-26 | 105.89 | 102.14 | +0.61 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-02-25 | 105.10 | 100.43 | +0.90 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-02-24 | 104.71 | 100.18 | +0.86 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-02-21 | 104.99 | 100.44 | +0.87 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-02-20 | 108.69 | 103.96 | +0.88 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-02-19 | 109.46 | 104.09 | +1.06 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-02-18 | 110.16 | 104.40 | +1.17 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-02-14 | 112.88 | 102.63 | +2.42 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-02-13 | 114.00 | 104.34 | +2.23 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-02-12 | 115.17 | 105.14 | +2.32 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-02-11 | 113.60 | 104.25 | +2.16 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-02-10 | 114.93 | 110.20 | +0.89 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-02-07 | 115.40 | 110.03 | +1.05 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-02-06 | 115.29 | 109.66 | +1.12 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-02-05 | 113.12 | 105.84 | +1.58 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-02-04 | 113.16 | 105.25 | +1.75 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-02-03 | 113.43 | 105.14 | +1.85 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-01-31 | 113.84 | 105.19 | +1.95 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-01-30 | 114.41 | 105.89 | +1.91 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-01-29 | 113.35 | 104.85 | +1.94 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-01-28 | 112.87 | 104.48 | +1.93 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-01-27 | 110.82 | 104.27 | +1.50 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-01-24 | 110.77 | 102.84 | +1.87 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-01-23 | 112.13 | 103.19 | +2.13 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-01-22 | 110.26 | 101.50 | +2.15 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-01-21 | 109.72 | 100.53 | +2.31 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-01-17 | 107.17 | 100.33 | +1.73 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-01-16 | 106.46 | 99.91 | +1.68 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-01-15 | 104.38 | 99.92 | +1.14 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-01-14 | 104.36 | 100.06 | +1.11 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-01-13 | 104.10 | 98.56 | +1.47 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-01-10 | 103.53 | 98.01 | +1.48 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-01-08 | 102.95 | 99.01 | +1.06 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-01-07 | 103.70 | 97.65 | +1.64 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-01-06 | 103.58 | 98.68 | +1.34 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-01-03 | 103.72 | 99.65 | +1.12 | IHG ahead |
| 2025-01-02 | 104.66 | 99.34 | +1.46 | IHG ahead |
| 2024-12-31 | 105.56 | 100.97 | +1.26 | IHG ahead |
| 2024-12-30 | 106.47 | 101.47 | +1.37 | IHG ahead |
| 2024-12-27 | 106.77 | 102.68 | +1.13 | IHG ahead |
| 2024-12-26 | 107.13 | 103.73 | +0.96 | IHG ahead |
| 2024-12-24 | 107.02 | 103.67 | +0.95 | IHG ahead |
| 2024-12-23 | 107.06 | 102.67 | +1.23 | IHG ahead |
| 2024-12-20 | 106.36 | 102.79 | +1.03 | IHG ahead |
| 2024-12-19 | 105.65 | 101.00 | +1.34 | IHG ahead |
| 2024-12-18 | 105.32 | 100.50 | +1.40 | IHG ahead |
| 2024-12-17 | 107.66 | 104.77 | +0.87 | IHG ahead |
| 2024-12-16 | 107.77 | 105.12 | +0.82 | IHG ahead |
| 2024-12-13 | 107.41 | 103.92 | +1.05 | IHG ahead |
| 2024-12-12 | 108.02 | 104.97 | +0.93 | IHG ahead |
| 2024-12-11 | 108.62 | 105.60 | +0.93 | IHG ahead |
| 2024-12-10 | 106.72 | 104.13 | +0.84 | IHG ahead |
| 2024-12-09 | 107.61 | 103.88 | +1.13 | IHG ahead |
| 2024-12-06 | 110.04 | 105.91 | +1.22 | IHG ahead |
| 2024-12-05 | 110.64 | 105.87 | +1.39 | IHG ahead |
| 2024-12-04 | 108.75 | 104.84 | +1.19 | IHG ahead |
| 2024-12-03 | 108.15 | 103.14 | +1.48 | IHG ahead |
| 2024-12-02 | 106.90 | 103.61 | +1.06 | IHG ahead |
| 2024-11-29 | 106.68 | 104.64 | +0.75 | IHG ahead |
| 2024-11-27 | 106.48 | 103.38 | +1.02 | IHG ahead |
| 2024-11-26 | 106.22 | 104.31 | +0.73 | IHG ahead |
| 2024-11-25 | 105.85 | 104.25 | +0.66 | IHG ahead |
| 2024-11-22 | 104.28 | 102.91 | +0.62 | IHG ahead |
| 2024-11-21 | 104.75 | 102.60 | +0.80 | IHG ahead |
| 2024-11-20 | 103.71 | 101.42 | +0.84 | IHG ahead |
| 2024-11-19 | 103.17 | 101.09 | +0.80 | IHG ahead |
| 2024-11-18 | 102.89 | 101.88 | +0.56 | IHG ahead |
| 2024-11-15 | 102.42 | 100.91 | +0.68 | IHG ahead |
| 2024-11-14 | 102.29 | 102.08 | +0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-13 | 103.32 | 103.70 | +0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-12 | 102.63 | 103.53 | +0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-11 | 103.38 | 103.49 | +0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-08 | 102.33 | 101.64 | +0.52 | IHG ahead |
| 2024-11-07 | 100.46 | 100.51 | +0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-06 | 100.00 | 100.00 | +0.39 | near the usual relationship |
One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Aug 7, 2025 (IHG +6.3%, MAR -0.8%); Feb 10, 2026 (IHG +3.1%, MAR +8.5%).
Paired trades
The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart
Forward paper record
No paper position on this pair yet.
Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)
3 simulated trades to Nov 3, 2026: -4.24% per trade on average after costs, 1 won.
| Legs | Entered | Exited | Why | Days | Before costs | Costs + borrow | After costs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long IHG · Short MAR | Jan 8, 2026 | Feb 12, 2026 | divergence stop | 35 | -$582.23 | -$60.54 | -$652.03 (-6.52%) |
| Long MAR · Short IHG | Feb 12, 2025 | Jun 10, 2025 | converged | 118 | $580.53 | -$76.63 | $535.19 (+5.35%) |
| Long IHG · Short MAR | Mar 19, 2021 | Dec 6, 2021 | divergence stop | 262 | -$1,025.71 | -$97.55 | -$1,155.85 (-11.56%) |
Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.
The companies
IHG and MAR at a glance
IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 858446
- Industry
- Hotels/Resorts · SIC 7011 Hotels & Motels
- Market value
- $25.0B
- Price history
- 2,534 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Nov 10, 2026
MAR Marriott International
- Listing
- Nasdaq · SEC CIK 1048286
- Industry
- Hotels/Resorts · SIC 7011 Hotels & Motels
- Market value
- $107.2B
- Price history
- 2,534 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Nov 10, 2026
Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.
Related
All pairs →Other rivals of IHG and MAR
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Explore the private betaPaper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.
