SIC 4213 Trucking (No Local)

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. vs Old Dominion Freight Line Inc.

WatchlistKNX / ODFLPrices through Nov 10, 2026

Why these are rivals: #1 and #3 by market value ($37B vs $10B) with SEC SIC 4213 (Trucking (No Local)).

Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.

Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.67 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))

Business leadership

KNX is the larger business

Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.

Year	KNX	ODFL	Larger
2025	$7.5B	$5.5B	KNX
2024	$7.4B	$5.8B	KNX
2023	$7.1B	$5.9B	KNX
2022	$7.4B	$6.3B	KNX
2021	$6.0B	$5.3B	KNX
2020	$4.7B	$4.0B	KNX

KNX led in every year with figures for both. Market value: KNX $10.2B, ODFL $36.8B.

Stock leadership

KNX is ahead now

Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.

KNX leads ODFL by 1.68 standard deviations: +12.6% over its usual price ratio. 0 lead switches in the last year.

Price change	3 mo	6 mo	12 mo
KNX	-12.9%	+3.7%	+34.1%
ODFL	-21.0%	-12.1%	+20.1%

Relationship

Not a measured twin today

Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.

Pass: Aligned sessions: 2534 (needs >= 254)
Pass: Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.75 (needs >= 0.60)
Fail: Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.67 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Pass: Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 25.97 (needs <= 63)
Data: Both stocks current

The twins over two years

Prices side by side, and the gap between them

KNX Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line Inc.Price index, 100 = 2024-11-06. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).

Spread z-score: KNX relative to ODFL, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: KNX ahead; below 0: ODFL ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).

Data table (504 sessions)

Date	KNX index	ODFL index	z	Ahead
2026-11-10	107.46	73.00	+1.68	KNX ahead
2026-11-09	106.31	74.24	+1.30	KNX ahead
2026-11-06	101.06	71.65	+1.09	KNX ahead
2026-11-05	102.89	74.10	+0.88	KNX ahead
2026-11-04	107.89	77.93	+0.84	KNX ahead
2026-11-03	108.67	77.19	+1.08	KNX ahead
2026-11-02	106.68	76.56	+0.94	KNX ahead
2026-10-30	105.14	74.97	+1.04	KNX ahead
2026-10-29	105.80	74.88	+1.16	KNX ahead
2026-10-28	105.29	75.30	+1.02	KNX ahead
2026-10-27	109.03	81.25	+0.42	near the usual relationship
2026-10-26	104.55	79.27	+0.18	near the usual relationship
2026-10-23	105.90	79.37	+0.34	near the usual relationship
2026-10-22	108.17	82.50	+0.09	near the usual relationship
2026-10-21	109.34	82.07	+0.32	near the usual relationship
2026-10-20	109.43	81.82	+0.38	near the usual relationship
2026-10-19	109.36	81.18	+0.48	near the usual relationship
2026-10-16	112.13	81.55	+0.78	KNX ahead
2026-10-15	112.94	82.06	+0.80	KNX ahead
2026-10-14	109.36	80.10	+0.69	KNX ahead
2026-10-13	109.01	79.58	+0.74	KNX ahead
2026-10-12	111.63	79.03	+1.19	KNX ahead
2026-10-09	111.54	79.06	+1.18	KNX ahead
2026-10-08	112.54	78.92	+1.35	KNX ahead
2026-10-07	110.07	76.29	+1.53	KNX ahead
2026-10-06	111.82	77.34	+1.57	KNX ahead
2026-10-05	112.87	77.93	+1.61	KNX ahead
2026-10-02	115.50	78.41	+1.87	KNX ahead
2026-10-01	113.17	77.37	+1.77	KNX ahead
2026-09-30	110.02	75.52	+1.73	KNX ahead
2026-09-29	111.06	77.10	+1.58	KNX ahead
2026-09-28	109.95	76.83	+1.49	KNX ahead
2026-09-25	110.16	75.29	+1.82	KNX ahead
2026-09-24	113.32	76.00	+2.11	KNX ahead
2026-09-23	116.21	77.21	+2.27	KNX ahead
2026-09-22	116.07	77.03	+2.31	KNX ahead
2026-09-21	115.26	76.18	+2.40	KNX ahead
2026-09-18	115.36	75.16	+2.65	KNX ahead
2026-09-17	115.35	76.07	+2.51	KNX ahead
2026-09-16	113.81	75.75	+2.40	KNX ahead
2026-09-15	118.49	78.62	+2.48	KNX ahead
2026-09-14	118.39	79.03	+2.42	KNX ahead
2026-09-11	117.60	78.11	+2.53	KNX ahead
2026-09-10	119.43	78.44	+2.74	KNX ahead
2026-09-09	119.01	79.05	+2.60	KNX ahead
2026-09-08	122.47	81.25	+2.66	KNX ahead
2026-09-04	124.55	80.75	+3.08	KNX ahead
2026-09-03	120.36	80.70	+2.60	KNX ahead
2026-09-02	116.64	81.51	+1.96	KNX ahead
2026-09-01	115.45	81.25	+1.86	KNX ahead
2026-08-31	118.53	86.87	+1.22	KNX ahead
2026-08-28	116.33	86.29	+1.04	KNX ahead
2026-08-27	119.20	86.91	+1.32	KNX ahead
2026-08-26	120.33	86.64	+1.53	KNX ahead
2026-08-25	118.51	86.17	+1.38	KNX ahead
2026-08-24	119.58	87.53	+1.29	KNX ahead
2026-08-21	123.88	89.70	+1.47	KNX ahead
2026-08-20	120.09	88.85	+1.13	KNX ahead
2026-08-19	120.66	89.10	+1.17	KNX ahead
2026-08-18	122.35	90.36	+1.18	KNX ahead
2026-08-17	125.95	92.08	+1.34	KNX ahead
2026-08-14	125.29	91.65	+1.34	KNX ahead
2026-08-13	126.82	93.72	+1.19	KNX ahead
2026-08-12	123.37	92.34	+1.01	KNX ahead
2026-08-11	118.56	90.99	+0.62	KNX ahead
2026-08-10	118.81	92.34	+0.43	near the usual relationship
2026-08-07	121.14	94.00	+0.47	near the usual relationship
2026-08-06	119.86	91.85	+0.66	KNX ahead
2026-08-05	122.51	93.60	+0.71	KNX ahead
2026-08-04	123.91	95.28	+0.62	KNX ahead
2026-08-03	118.37	91.89	+0.48	near the usual relationship
2026-07-31	120.29	92.16	+0.69	KNX ahead
2026-07-30	120.76	92.31	+0.73	KNX ahead
2026-07-29	122.91	96.79	+0.29	near the usual relationship
2026-07-28	121.38	98.31	-0.12	near the usual relationship
2026-07-27	122.37	98.52	-0.02	near the usual relationship
2026-07-24	125.43	101.22	-0.05	near the usual relationship
2026-07-23	125.14	100.23	+0.07	near the usual relationship
2026-07-22	131.56	101.14	+0.66	KNX ahead
2026-07-21	132.72	102.00	+0.67	KNX ahead
2026-07-20	130.88	100.69	+0.67	KNX ahead
2026-07-17	132.66	101.59	+0.74	KNX ahead
2026-07-16	133.77	103.03	+0.66	KNX ahead
2026-07-15	127.28	97.85	+0.69	KNX ahead
2026-07-14	130.14	99.32	+0.80	KNX ahead
2026-07-13	128.60	101.18	+0.38	near the usual relationship
2026-07-10	130.09	98.89	+0.87	KNX ahead
2026-07-09	133.51	98.12	+1.35	KNX ahead
2026-07-08	129.72	94.82	+1.44	KNX ahead
2026-07-07	128.62	93.63	+1.50	KNX ahead
2026-07-06	129.43	94.03	+1.54	KNX ahead
2026-07-02	132.09	94.56	+1.77	KNX ahead
2026-07-01	133.86	94.69	+1.95	KNX ahead
2026-06-30	134.72	94.10	+2.15	KNX ahead
2026-06-29	135.26	95.44	+2.03	KNX ahead
2026-06-26	132.54	95.05	+1.81	KNX ahead
2026-06-25	133.34	95.63	+1.83	KNX ahead
2026-06-24	128.93	95.16	+1.44	KNX ahead
2026-06-23	128.03	94.53	+1.44	KNX ahead
2026-06-22	130.45	95.37	+1.59	KNX ahead
2026-06-18	128.29	96.03	+1.27	KNX ahead
2026-06-17	126.31	94.86	+1.23	KNX ahead
2026-06-16	133.81	100.63	+1.22	KNX ahead
2026-06-15	137.11	103.15	+1.22	KNX ahead
2026-06-12	141.07	106.76	+1.15	KNX ahead
2026-06-11	142.65	107.64	+1.20	KNX ahead
2026-06-10	137.11	102.51	+1.34	KNX ahead
2026-06-09	139.01	108.06	+0.81	KNX ahead
2026-06-08	139.64	107.31	+0.97	KNX ahead
2026-06-05	135.93	105.38	+0.86	KNX ahead
2026-06-04	135.93	106.66	+0.70	KNX ahead
2026-06-03	135.42	102.55	+1.19	KNX ahead
2026-06-02	134.29	99.52	+1.50	KNX ahead
2026-06-01	134.81	99.28	+1.60	KNX ahead
2026-05-29	130.85	97.81	+1.40	KNX ahead
2026-05-28	129.79	95.95	+1.57	KNX ahead
2026-05-27	128.34	95.34	+1.51	KNX ahead
2026-05-26	126.18	94.10	+1.47	KNX ahead
2026-05-22	121.31	91.44	+1.33	KNX ahead
2026-05-21	121.54	90.23	+1.55	KNX ahead
2026-05-20	122.84	91.16	+1.57	KNX ahead
2026-05-19	118.29	88.83	+1.42	KNX ahead
2026-05-18	119.84	88.68	+1.63	KNX ahead
2026-05-15	119.48	88.24	+1.67	KNX ahead
2026-05-14	117.70	86.37	+1.77	KNX ahead
2026-05-13	103.41	82.19	+0.70	KNX ahead
2026-05-12	103.63	83.03	+0.59	KNX ahead
2026-05-11	107.13	84.77	+0.77	KNX ahead
2026-05-08	110.81	86.16	+1.01	KNX ahead
2026-05-07	109.76	86.05	+0.91	KNX ahead
2026-05-06	111.19	87.16	+0.92	KNX ahead
2026-05-05	106.61	85.19	+0.67	KNX ahead
2026-05-04	107.51	83.49	+1.05	KNX ahead
2026-05-01	110.73	89.41	+0.54	KNX ahead
2026-04-30	112.28	92.29	+0.32	near the usual relationship
2026-04-29	109.62	90.95	+0.20	near the usual relationship
2026-04-28	113.37	96.35	-0.10	near the usual relationship
2026-04-27	111.92	95.81	-0.18	near the usual relationship
2026-04-24	112.80	95.57	-0.04	near the usual relationship
2026-04-23	113.79	96.79	-0.09	near the usual relationship
2026-04-22	110.69	95.57	-0.27	near the usual relationship
2026-04-21	112.21	97.50	-0.34	near the usual relationship
2026-04-20	113.41	97.05	-0.14	near the usual relationship
2026-04-17	111.45	94.60	-0.03	near the usual relationship
2026-04-16	111.30	92.78	+0.19	near the usual relationship
2026-04-15	106.51	89.14	+0.15	near the usual relationship
2026-04-14	107.25	91.41	-0.06	near the usual relationship
2026-04-13	106.99	90.20	+0.07	near the usual relationship
2026-04-10	106.92	90.52	+0.03	near the usual relationship
2026-04-09	106.09	91.02	-0.12	near the usual relationship
2026-04-08	108.08	90.16	+0.22	near the usual relationship
2026-04-07	102.98	86.42	+0.15	near the usual relationship
2026-04-06	103.37	87.84	+0.01	near the usual relationship
2026-04-02	101.38	86.02	+0.03	near the usual relationship
2026-04-01	99.62	86.73	-0.26	near the usual relationship
2026-03-31	99.62	84.89	-0.01	near the usual relationship
2026-03-30	95.95	82.44	-0.10	near the usual relationship
2026-03-27	96.11	81.82	+0.01	near the usual relationship
2026-03-26	96.04	81.64	+0.04	near the usual relationship
2026-03-25	97.47	82.13	+0.14	near the usual relationship
2026-03-24	95.17	80.38	+0.12	near the usual relationship
2026-03-23	93.72	81.54	-0.22	near the usual relationship
2026-03-20	92.18	79.90	-0.17	near the usual relationship
2026-03-19	92.34	79.22	-0.06	near the usual relationship
2026-03-18	91.52	79.32	-0.17	near the usual relationship
2026-03-17	90.62	80.12	-0.40	near the usual relationship
2026-03-16	91.96	79.26	-0.11	near the usual relationship
2026-03-13	89.84	78.53	-0.26	near the usual relationship
2026-03-12	89.98	76.57	+0.05	near the usual relationship
2026-03-11	96.42	82.01	+0.05	near the usual relationship
2026-03-10	99.17	84.72	+0.01	near the usual relationship
2026-03-09	99.91	85.68	-0.03	near the usual relationship
2026-03-06	98.39	84.27	-0.01	near the usual relationship
2026-03-05	105.55	91.53	-0.15	near the usual relationship
2026-03-04	109.86	93.92	+0.01	near the usual relationship
2026-03-03	106.59	90.34	+0.11	near the usual relationship
2026-03-02	107.70	90.26	+0.24	near the usual relationship
2026-02-27	108.86	88.21	+0.62	KNX ahead
2026-02-26	106.75	86.18	+0.67	KNX ahead
2026-02-25	101.59	83.28	+0.50	KNX ahead
2026-02-24	104.20	85.45	+0.50	KNX ahead
2026-02-23	102.42	84.23	+0.47	near the usual relationship
2026-02-20	106.75	87.49	+0.52	KNX ahead
2026-02-19	102.42	84.79	+0.41	near the usual relationship
2026-02-18	102.68	84.20	+0.52	KNX ahead
2026-02-17	103.60	83.99	+0.66	KNX ahead
2026-02-13	103.03	83.94	+0.61	KNX ahead
2026-02-12	103.63	80.59	+1.13	KNX ahead
2026-02-11	104.26	84.48	+0.68	KNX ahead
2026-02-10	103.89	84.49	+0.65	KNX ahead
2026-02-09	102.46	85.20	+0.40	near the usual relationship
2026-02-06	104.10	87.96	+0.23	near the usual relationship
2026-02-05	102.35	87.82	+0.05	near the usual relationship
2026-02-04	104.08	90.60	-0.11	near the usual relationship
2026-02-03	103.37	82.44	+0.86	KNX ahead
2026-02-02	102.35	80.86	+0.97	KNX ahead
2026-01-30	95.33	75.25	+0.98	KNX ahead
2026-01-29	96.57	74.98	+1.17	KNX ahead
2026-01-28	96.14	75.04	+1.12	KNX ahead
2026-01-27	94.98	75.78	+0.87	KNX ahead
2026-01-26	97.35	75.59	+1.18	KNX ahead
2026-01-23	98.53	75.72	+1.31	KNX ahead
2026-01-22	102.84	77.44	+1.55	KNX ahead
2026-01-21	100.22	77.50	+1.26	KNX ahead
2026-01-20	95.28	73.86	+1.24	KNX ahead
2026-01-16	98.01	76.31	+1.20	KNX ahead
2026-01-15	99.50	77.42	+1.21	KNX ahead
2026-01-14	98.91	75.38	+1.46	KNX ahead
2026-01-13	98.77	74.57	+1.58	KNX ahead
2026-01-12	98.18	75.41	+1.39	KNX ahead
2026-01-09	98.93	75.22	+1.52	KNX ahead
2026-01-08	98.37	74.32	+1.61	KNX ahead
2026-01-07	95.40	72.00	+1.63	KNX ahead
2026-01-06	95.22	73.37	+1.40	KNX ahead
2026-01-05	93.51	71.13	+1.56	KNX ahead
2026-01-02	90.36	69.16	+1.50	KNX ahead
2025-12-31	90.45	68.12	+1.70	KNX ahead
2025-12-30	91.00	69.21	+1.60	KNX ahead
2025-12-29	92.15	69.32	+1.75	KNX ahead
2025-12-26	92.20	69.29	+1.78	KNX ahead
2025-12-24	92.68	69.23	+1.87	KNX ahead
2025-12-23	92.75	68.91	+1.96	KNX ahead
2025-12-22	92.47	69.21	+1.89	KNX ahead
2025-12-19	90.59	68.38	+1.81	KNX ahead
2025-12-18	91.00	68.88	+1.79	KNX ahead
2025-12-17	91.11	67.66	+2.06	KNX ahead
2025-12-16	92.47	68.18	+2.18	KNX ahead
2025-12-15	92.04	68.41	+2.10	KNX ahead
2025-12-12	92.08	69.29	+1.97	KNX ahead
2025-12-11	90.81	69.04	+1.85	KNX ahead
2025-12-10	89.12	68.35	+1.76	KNX ahead
2025-12-09	86.12	64.68	+2.06	KNX ahead
2025-12-08	88.25	65.90	+2.16	KNX ahead
2025-12-05	88.75	67.40	+1.96	KNX ahead
2025-12-04	88.11	66.69	+2.03	KNX ahead
2025-12-03	87.75	65.58	+2.23	KNX ahead
2025-12-02	84.50	61.46	+2.64	KNX ahead
2025-12-01	81.90	60.68	+2.42	KNX ahead
2025-11-28	79.24	58.78	+2.44	KNX ahead
2025-11-26	79.24	58.61	+2.52	KNX ahead
2025-11-25	78.62	58.36	+2.51	KNX ahead
2025-11-24	76.83	57.49	+2.43	KNX ahead
2025-11-21	76.42	58.34	+2.17	KNX ahead
2025-11-20	72.11	54.87	+2.25	KNX ahead
2025-11-19	72.20	55.40	+2.15	KNX ahead
2025-11-18	72.54	56.76	+1.88	KNX ahead
2025-11-17	72.40	56.43	+1.96	KNX ahead
2025-11-14	74.34	57.47	+2.10	KNX ahead
2025-11-13	75.99	58.85	+2.10	KNX ahead
2025-11-12	77.53	60.32	+2.05	KNX ahead
2025-11-11	76.71	60.61	+1.84	KNX ahead
2025-11-10	79.26	59.85	+2.55	KNX ahead
2025-11-07	80.14	60.78	+2.53	KNX ahead
2025-11-06	76.71	59.82	+2.13	KNX ahead
2025-11-05	77.13	61.16	+1.90	KNX ahead
2025-11-04	77.49	61.41	+1.93	KNX ahead
2025-11-03	75.92	59.74	+2.06	KNX ahead
2025-10-31	78.06	61.00	+2.20	KNX ahead
2025-10-30	75.31	59.63	+2.02	KNX ahead
2025-10-29	76.97	59.14	+2.53	KNX ahead
2025-10-28	75.71	59.12	+2.31	KNX ahead
2025-10-27	78.03	59.40	+2.77	KNX ahead
2025-10-24	78.43	59.14	+2.99	KNX ahead
2025-10-23	76.14	59.02	+2.57	KNX ahead
2025-10-22	81.99	61.27	+3.27	KNX ahead
2025-10-21	82.11	62.72	+2.95	KNX ahead
2025-10-20	82.30	61.13	+3.53	KNX ahead
2025-10-17	81.38	59.97	+3.78	KNX ahead
2025-10-16	81.38	60.00	+3.88	KNX ahead
2025-10-15	76.47	58.67	+3.21	KNX ahead
2025-10-14	75.54	58.84	+2.98	KNX ahead
2025-10-13	73.93	59.16	+2.50	KNX ahead
2025-10-10	73.30	58.35	+2.65	KNX ahead
2025-10-09	77.44	61.38	+2.79	KNX ahead
2025-10-08	79.36	62.90	+2.84	KNX ahead
2025-10-07	74.03	61.41	+1.94	KNX ahead
2025-10-06	74.84	62.05	+1.98	KNX ahead
2025-10-03	71.64	61.40	+1.31	KNX ahead
2025-10-02	69.03	61.08	+0.66	KNX ahead
2025-10-01	67.37	60.49	+0.36	near the usual relationship
2025-09-30	68.36	61.16	+0.43	near the usual relationship
2025-09-29	69.46	61.27	+0.73	KNX ahead
2025-09-26	68.60	60.21	+0.84	KNX ahead
2025-09-25	67.70	61.01	+0.30	near the usual relationship
2025-09-24	67.77	61.28	+0.23	near the usual relationship
2025-09-23	68.25	60.54	+0.64	KNX ahead
2025-09-22	68.30	60.36	+0.72	KNX ahead
2025-09-19	69.27	61.19	+0.73	KNX ahead
2025-09-18	71.49	61.86	+1.16	KNX ahead
2025-09-17	72.18	61.60	+1.46	KNX ahead
2025-09-16	73.63	63.87	+1.13	KNX ahead
2025-09-15	71.97	63.10	+0.92	KNX ahead
2025-09-12	72.13	62.95	+1.02	KNX ahead
2025-09-11	74.31	64.91	+1.01	KNX ahead
2025-09-10	72.06	63.56	+0.81	KNX ahead
2025-09-09	74.22	64.39	+1.16	KNX ahead
2025-09-08	73.98	65.65	+0.69	KNX ahead
2025-09-05	74.58	65.47	+0.93	KNX ahead
2025-09-04	76.31	64.65	+1.69	KNX ahead
2025-09-03	75.42	64.35	+1.55	KNX ahead
2025-09-02	75.07	65.12	+1.21	KNX ahead
2025-08-29	75.95	65.59	+1.32	KNX ahead
2025-08-28	76.00	65.04	+1.53	KNX ahead
2025-08-27	76.52	66.83	+1.10	KNX ahead
2025-08-26	76.92	67.11	+1.13	KNX ahead
2025-08-25	75.33	67.54	+0.55	KNX ahead
2025-08-22	77.80	69.13	+0.75	KNX ahead
2025-08-21	73.91	65.06	+0.96	KNX ahead
2025-08-20	72.82	65.27	+0.57	KNX ahead
2025-08-19	75.16	67.25	+0.61	KNX ahead
2025-08-18	73.13	65.37	+0.64	KNX ahead
2025-08-15	73.53	65.66	+0.66	KNX ahead
2025-08-14	74.50	65.65	+0.96	KNX ahead
2025-08-13	76.28	66.67	+1.14	KNX ahead
2025-08-12	74.01	64.83	+1.10	KNX ahead
2025-08-11	70.90	62.13	+1.10	KNX ahead
2025-08-08	71.12	62.76	+0.96	KNX ahead
2025-08-07	71.71	63.14	+1.02	KNX ahead
2025-08-06	73.56	65.14	+0.90	KNX ahead
2025-08-05	73.32	63.93	+1.24	KNX ahead
2025-08-04	72.75	62.72	+1.50	KNX ahead
2025-08-01	71.44	61.63	+1.50	KNX ahead
2025-07-31	73.53	64.84	+1.03	KNX ahead
2025-07-30	73.29	63.63	+1.38	KNX ahead
2025-07-29	75.02	70.43	-0.32	near the usual relationship
2025-07-28	76.87	71.39	-0.08	near the usual relationship
2025-07-25	77.58	72.59	-0.24	near the usual relationship
2025-07-24	78.81	72.90	+0.02	near the usual relationship
2025-07-23	79.00	72.11	+0.30	near the usual relationship
2025-07-22	78.17	72.50	-0.03	near the usual relationship
2025-07-21	76.87	70.92	+0.09	near the usual relationship
2025-07-18	77.27	70.42	+0.35	near the usual relationship
2025-07-17	78.89	70.48	+0.78	KNX ahead
2025-07-16	77.98	69.87	+0.73	KNX ahead
2025-07-15	78.58	70.10	+0.83	KNX ahead
2025-07-14	80.93	72.00	+0.89	KNX ahead
2025-07-11	81.82	72.87	+0.87	KNX ahead
2025-07-10	83.43	74.34	+0.86	KNX ahead
2025-07-09	82.39	72.99	+0.99	KNX ahead
2025-07-08	81.37	72.72	+0.81	KNX ahead
2025-07-07	79.90	71.38	+0.82	KNX ahead
2025-07-03	81.99	74.30	+0.51	KNX ahead
2025-07-02	81.59	73.79	+0.55	KNX ahead
2025-07-01	79.74	73.18	+0.24	near the usual relationship
2025-06-30	76.52	70.51	+0.15	near the usual relationship
2025-06-27	77.89	71.11	+0.35	near the usual relationship
2025-06-26	76.51	69.94	+0.32	near the usual relationship
2025-06-25	76.16	69.66	+0.31	near the usual relationship
2025-06-24	76.64	70.37	+0.23	near the usual relationship
2025-06-23	76.18	70.10	+0.18	near the usual relationship
2025-06-20	73.69	67.97	+0.13	near the usual relationship
2025-06-18	74.10	67.79	+0.31	near the usual relationship
2025-06-17	73.94	68.06	+0.17	near the usual relationship
2025-06-16	75.02	69.27	+0.10	near the usual relationship
2025-06-13	73.93	69.59	-0.31	near the usual relationship
2025-06-12	76.18	70.56	+0.03	near the usual relationship
2025-06-11	75.57	70.43	-0.11	near the usual relationship
2025-06-10	78.34	72.94	-0.09	near the usual relationship
2025-06-09	76.75	70.47	+0.20	near the usual relationship
2025-06-06	77.18	69.65	+0.57	KNX ahead
2025-06-05	76.37	69.37	+0.43	near the usual relationship
2025-06-04	77.30	70.16	+0.45	near the usual relationship
2025-06-03	77.47	70.83	+0.29	near the usual relationship
2025-06-02	76.19	69.51	+0.34	near the usual relationship
2025-05-30	76.68	69.58	+0.45	near the usual relationship
2025-05-29	76.49	70.38	+0.16	near the usual relationship
2025-05-28	75.74	70.57	-0.10	near the usual relationship
2025-05-27	75.85	71.34	-0.31	near the usual relationship
2025-05-23	74.08	70.19	-0.46	near the usual relationship
2025-05-22	75.24	71.07	-0.40	near the usual relationship
2025-05-21	75.47	71.33	-0.41	near the usual relationship
2025-05-20	78.30	73.68	-0.32	near the usual relationship
2025-05-19	78.56	74.55	-0.50	ODFL ahead
2025-05-16	78.98	74.41	-0.35	near the usual relationship
2025-05-15	78.82	73.82	-0.23	near the usual relationship
2025-05-14	79.84	74.57	-0.17	near the usual relationship
2025-05-13	79.67	74.44	-0.18	near the usual relationship
2025-05-12	80.83	76.49	-0.45	near the usual relationship
2025-05-09	73.44	68.76	-0.22	near the usual relationship
2025-05-08	74.69	69.56	-0.11	near the usual relationship
2025-05-07	71.90	67.59	-0.30	near the usual relationship
2025-05-06	69.83	66.62	-0.61	ODFL ahead
2025-05-05	71.38	67.87	-0.53	ODFL ahead
2025-05-02	71.71	68.65	-0.67	ODFL ahead
2025-05-01	67.44	65.41	-0.94	ODFL ahead
2025-04-30	67.77	66.59	-1.21	ODFL ahead
2025-04-29	67.84	65.01	-0.67	ODFL ahead
2025-04-28	67.09	64.73	-0.80	ODFL ahead
2025-04-25	67.34	63.75	-0.39	near the usual relationship
2025-04-24	69.83	69.03	-1.22	ODFL ahead
2025-04-23	68.49	66.57	-0.86	ODFL ahead
2025-04-22	67.53	66.07	-0.96	ODFL ahead
2025-04-21	66.82	65.11	-0.87	ODFL ahead
2025-04-17	68.15	66.80	-0.95	ODFL ahead
2025-04-16	66.02	64.23	-0.80	ODFL ahead
2025-04-15	68.39	66.40	-0.74	ODFL ahead
2025-04-14	70.14	67.39	-0.54	ODFL ahead
2025-04-11	69.00	66.14	-0.49	near the usual relationship
2025-04-10	70.22	68.10	-0.68	ODFL ahead
2025-04-09	74.38	71.90	-0.62	ODFL ahead
2025-04-08	67.87	64.45	-0.30	near the usual relationship
2025-04-07	67.99	65.78	-0.61	ODFL ahead
2025-04-04	67.44	66.06	-0.82	ODFL ahead
2025-04-03	68.46	67.66	-0.96	ODFL ahead
2025-04-02	77.87	73.90	-0.27	near the usual relationship
2025-04-01	75.71	72.59	-0.44	near the usual relationship
2025-03-31	75.24	71.88	-0.38	near the usual relationship
2025-03-28	75.35	71.62	-0.29	near the usual relationship
2025-03-27	77.11	73.96	-0.43	near the usual relationship
2025-03-26	77.11	73.28	-0.27	near the usual relationship
2025-03-25	76.64	72.81	-0.25	near the usual relationship
2025-03-24	77.82	73.88	-0.24	near the usual relationship
2025-03-21	76.85	71.78	+0.03	near the usual relationship
2025-03-20	77.04	70.00	+0.48	near the usual relationship
2025-03-19	78.34	70.57	+0.63	KNX ahead
2025-03-18	80.24	70.41	+1.06	KNX ahead
2025-03-17	81.33	72.17	+0.88	KNX ahead
2025-03-14	80.48	70.60	+1.08	KNX ahead
2025-03-13	78.89	70.81	+0.71	KNX ahead
2025-03-12	80.81	71.48	+0.95	KNX ahead
2025-03-11	80.21	72.56	+0.59	KNX ahead
2025-03-10	81.09	77.32	-0.25	near the usual relationship
2025-03-07	81.51	78.00	-0.31	near the usual relationship
2025-03-06	84.67	77.15	+0.49	near the usual relationship
2025-03-05	84.22	76.69	+0.50	KNX ahead
2025-03-04	82.84	76.03	+0.38	near the usual relationship
2025-03-03	85.00	74.85	+1.05	KNX ahead
2025-02-28	87.27	76.68	+1.10	KNX ahead
2025-02-27	84.74	75.93	+0.79	KNX ahead
2025-02-26	86.23	76.33	+0.99	KNX ahead
2025-02-25	86.85	78.15	+0.73	KNX ahead
2025-02-24	87.72	79.06	+0.71	KNX ahead
2025-02-21	90.19	78.37	+1.30	KNX ahead
2025-02-20	92.42	85.69	+0.25	near the usual relationship
2025-02-19	91.47	89.11	-0.56	ODFL ahead
2025-02-18	93.63	90.92	-0.51	ODFL ahead
2025-02-14	93.72	89.64	-0.26	near the usual relationship
2025-02-13	94.22	89.66	-0.19	near the usual relationship
2025-02-12	93.20	88.20	-0.10	near the usual relationship
2025-02-11	94.27	89.40	-0.13	near the usual relationship
2025-02-10	94.57	87.66	+0.23	near the usual relationship
2025-02-07	93.75	85.67	+0.46	near the usual relationship
2025-02-06	95.67	85.10	+0.90	KNX ahead
2025-02-05	97.02	84.13	+1.31	KNX ahead
2025-02-04	97.65	79.79	+2.28	KNX ahead
2025-02-03	96.42	79.09	+2.23	KNX ahead
2025-01-31	98.77	80.64	+2.33	KNX ahead
2025-01-30	101.26	81.15	+2.67	KNX ahead
2025-01-29	100.93	80.74	+2.73	KNX ahead
2025-01-28	101.25	82.54	+2.43	KNX ahead
2025-01-27	101.73	84.59	+2.11	KNX ahead
2025-01-24	99.03	82.90	+2.00	KNX ahead
2025-01-23	99.64	83.21	+2.06	KNX ahead
2025-01-22	95.16	82.02	+1.52	KNX ahead
2025-01-21	95.66	82.73	+1.47	KNX ahead
2025-01-17	94.90	82.35	+1.41	KNX ahead
2025-01-16	97.47	82.51	+1.85	KNX ahead
2025-01-15	96.57	81.18	+1.99	KNX ahead
2025-01-14	95.09	79.77	+2.04	KNX ahead
2025-01-13	93.82	78.49	+2.10	KNX ahead
2025-01-10	90.61	76.64	+1.91	KNX ahead
2025-01-08	93.13	78.02	+2.09	KNX ahead
2025-01-07	92.63	78.48	+1.89	KNX ahead
2025-01-06	94.10	79.36	+1.99	KNX ahead
2025-01-03	94.33	78.60	+2.22	KNX ahead
2025-01-02	91.23	76.34	+2.15	KNX ahead
2024-12-31	91.76	76.64	+2.21	KNX ahead
2024-12-30	90.95	77.02	+1.97	KNX ahead
2024-12-27	92.72	78.30	+2.04	KNX ahead
2024-12-26	92.99	78.83	+1.98	KNX ahead
2024-12-24	92.15	78.88	+1.81	KNX ahead
2024-12-23	91.40	78.27	+1.81	KNX ahead
2024-12-20	89.88	78.79	+1.38	KNX ahead
2024-12-19	90.45	81.56	+0.85	KNX ahead
2024-12-18	90.80	83.31	+0.52	KNX ahead
2024-12-17	93.32	86.45	+0.34	near the usual relationship
2024-12-16	95.02	86.41	+0.66	KNX ahead
2024-12-13	95.90	87.19	+0.66	KNX ahead
2024-12-12	97.56	88.21	+0.75	KNX ahead
2024-12-11	98.56	88.98	+0.77	KNX ahead
2024-12-10	97.80	89.10	+0.59	KNX ahead
2024-12-09	96.87	88.60	+0.51	KNX ahead
2024-12-06	96.02	88.19	+0.43	near the usual relationship
2024-12-05	96.97	88.18	+0.60	KNX ahead
2024-12-04	98.03	91.68	+0.11	near the usual relationship
2024-12-03	98.20	94.96	-0.47	near the usual relationship
2024-12-02	101.16	97.68	-0.45	near the usual relationship
2024-11-29	102.70	97.81	-0.21	near the usual relationship
2024-11-27	102.23	97.36	-0.21	near the usual relationship
2024-11-26	103.10	98.17	-0.21	near the usual relationship
2024-11-25	101.64	97.80	-0.39	near the usual relationship
2024-11-22	99.69	95.69	-0.34	near the usual relationship
2024-11-21	97.25	94.88	-0.62	ODFL ahead
2024-11-20	96.90	93.11	-0.36	near the usual relationship
2024-11-19	97.73	92.01	-0.01	near the usual relationship
2024-11-18	97.23	92.97	-0.27	near the usual relationship
2024-11-15	96.25	93.65	-0.57	ODFL ahead
2024-11-14	96.73	97.07	-1.10	ODFL ahead
2024-11-13	98.79	98.01	-0.91	ODFL ahead
2024-11-12	97.66	98.32	-1.16	ODFL ahead
2024-11-11	101.87	100.72	-0.85	ODFL ahead
2024-11-08	103.11	98.23	-0.21	near the usual relationship
2024-11-07	99.45	96.84	-0.59	ODFL ahead
2024-11-06	100.00	100.00	-1.05	ODFL ahead

One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Jul 30, 2025 (KNX -2.3%, ODFL -9.7%); Feb 4, 2026 (KNX +0.7%, ODFL +9.9%); May 14, 2026 (KNX +13.8%, ODFL +5.1%).

Paired trades

The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart

Forward paper record

No paper position on this pair yet.

Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)

2 simulated trades to Nov 3, 2026: -0.76% per trade on average after costs, 1 won.

Legs	Entered	Exited	Why	Days	Before costs	Costs + borrow	After costs
Long KNX · Short ODFL	Feb 2, 2023	May 3, 2023	converged	90	$849.23	-$53.69	$808.16 (+8.08%)
Long KNX · Short ODFL	Aug 13, 2019	Jan 17, 2020	divergence stop	157	-$840.01	-$114.08	-$960.21 (-9.60%)

Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.

The companies

KNX and ODFL at a glance

KNX Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.

Listing: NYSE · SEC CIK 1492691
Industry: Trucking Freight/Courier Services · SIC 4213 Trucking (No Local)
Market value: $10.2B
Price history: 2,534 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Nov 10, 2026

ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line Inc.

Listing: Nasdaq · SEC CIK 878927
Industry: Trucking Freight/Courier Services · SIC 4213 Trucking (No Local)
Market value: $36.8B
Price history: 2,534 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Nov 10, 2026

Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.

All pairs →

Pair	Status	Ahead now	Industry
JBHT / KNX	Measured twin	KNX by 0.73 sd	SIC 4213 Trucking (No Local)
UPS / ODFL	Watchlist	UPS by 1.57 sd	Trucking Freight/Courier Services
ODFL / JBHT	Watchlist	JBHT by 1.39 sd	Trucking Freight/Courier Services

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Paper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.