Fastenal Company vs The Sherwin-Williams Company
WatchlistFAST / SHWPrices through Nov 10, 2026
Why these are rivals: #1 and #2 by market value ($82B vs $60B) with SEC SIC 5200 (Retail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden Supply).
Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.44 (needs >= 0.60)
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.76 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Business leadership
SHW is the larger business
Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.
| Year | FAST | SHW | Larger |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $8.2B | $23.6B | SHW |
| 2024 | $7.5B | $23.1B | SHW |
| 2023 | $7.3B | $23.1B | SHW |
| 2022 | $7.0B | $22.1B | SHW |
| 2021 | $6.0B | $19.9B | SHW |
| 2020 | $5.6B | $18.4B | SHW |
SHW led in every year with figures for both. Market value: FAST $60.0B, SHW $82.4B.
Stock leadership
FAST is ahead now
Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.
FAST leads SHW by 1.29 standard deviations: +11.5% over its usual price ratio. 0 lead switches in the last year.
| Price change | 3 mo | 6 mo | 12 mo |
|---|---|---|---|
| FAST | +5.0% | +26.6% | +34.2% |
| SHW | -1.3% | +14.0% | +4.5% |
Relationship
Not a measured twin today
Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.
- Pass
- Aligned sessions: 2534 (needs >= 254)
- Fail
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.44 (needs >= 0.60)
- Fail
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.76 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
- Pass
- Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 26.03 (needs <= 63)
- Data
- Both stocks current
The twins over two years
Prices side by side, and the gap between them
FAST Fastenal Company SHW The Sherwin-Williams CompanyPrice index, 100 = 2024-11-06. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
Spread z-score: FAST relative to SHW, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: FAST ahead; below 0: SHW ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
Data table (504 sessions)
| Date | FAST index | SHW index | z | Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-10 | 131.24 | 93.33 | +1.29 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-11-09 | 130.60 | 94.01 | +1.15 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-11-06 | 126.82 | 90.38 | +1.28 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-11-05 | 126.60 | 91.67 | +1.10 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-11-04 | 127.34 | 95.47 | +0.69 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-11-03 | 125.24 | 89.53 | +1.26 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-11-02 | 125.76 | 92.55 | +0.93 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-10-30 | 124.23 | 87.36 | +1.47 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-10-29 | 125.76 | 86.70 | +1.71 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-10-28 | 123.13 | 84.26 | +1.82 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-10-27 | 123.37 | 85.63 | +1.67 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-10-26 | 125.57 | 88.03 | +1.57 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-10-23 | 124.23 | 88.53 | +1.39 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-10-22 | 126.19 | 90.78 | +1.29 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-10-21 | 125.62 | 88.59 | +1.54 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-10-20 | 123.61 | 88.25 | +1.40 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-10-19 | 122.10 | 87.10 | +1.42 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-10-16 | 122.10 | 88.04 | +1.31 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-10-15 | 120.57 | 88.49 | +1.10 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-10-14 | 124.45 | 85.24 | +1.95 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-10-13 | 123.08 | 85.13 | +1.86 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-10-12 | 123.23 | 84.10 | +2.04 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-10-09 | 121.46 | 83.88 | +1.91 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-10-08 | 120.83 | 84.32 | +1.80 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-10-07 | 119.25 | 82.74 | +1.89 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-10-06 | 121.60 | 84.35 | +1.91 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-10-05 | 121.31 | 83.64 | +2.01 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-10-02 | 121.46 | 83.92 | +2.01 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-10-01 | 120.20 | 84.25 | +1.84 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-09-30 | 118.54 | 84.91 | +1.57 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-09-29 | 119.56 | 86.79 | +1.41 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-09-28 | 120.83 | 87.41 | +1.46 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-09-25 | 120.69 | 86.44 | +1.61 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-09-24 | 121.41 | 84.15 | +2.05 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-09-23 | 122.03 | 85.75 | +1.90 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-09-22 | 119.85 | 86.24 | +1.60 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-09-21 | 118.82 | 84.39 | +1.79 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-09-18 | 117.29 | 84.24 | +1.65 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-09-17 | 117.70 | 84.30 | +1.71 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-09-16 | 117.34 | 84.43 | +1.66 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-09-15 | 118.25 | 84.89 | +1.71 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-09-14 | 118.32 | 85.23 | +1.68 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-09-11 | 118.03 | 84.92 | +1.71 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-09-10 | 117.29 | 83.38 | +1.90 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-09-09 | 116.76 | 84.22 | +1.72 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-09-08 | 118.18 | 85.65 | +1.67 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-09-04 | 118.70 | 87.65 | +1.41 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-09-03 | 117.82 | 87.27 | +1.38 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-09-02 | 114.71 | 87.00 | +1.05 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-09-01 | 116.67 | 86.66 | +1.36 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-08-31 | 118.01 | 88.99 | +1.15 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-08-28 | 119.13 | 90.58 | +1.04 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-08-27 | 122.38 | 90.67 | +1.42 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-08-26 | 122.41 | 91.58 | +1.28 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-08-25 | 120.40 | 92.05 | +0.98 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-08-24 | 122.72 | 91.07 | +1.42 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-08-21 | 122.68 | 91.03 | +1.43 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-08-20 | 121.24 | 91.12 | +1.25 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-08-19 | 123.11 | 92.87 | +1.20 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-08-18 | 122.70 | 90.69 | +1.52 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-08-17 | 122.60 | 91.92 | +1.32 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-08-14 | 122.10 | 94.32 | +0.88 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-08-13 | 122.87 | 94.96 | +0.88 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-08-12 | 124.97 | 94.61 | +1.19 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-08-11 | 125.36 | 95.72 | +1.07 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-08-10 | 124.81 | 95.27 | +1.08 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-08-07 | 124.06 | 97.11 | +0.71 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-08-06 | 121.57 | 95.45 | +0.67 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-08-05 | 119.64 | 97.10 | +0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-04 | 118.97 | 94.97 | +0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-03 | 115.14 | 93.04 | +0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-31 | 114.18 | 89.53 | +0.69 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-07-30 | 111.67 | 90.57 | +0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-29 | 114.35 | 90.32 | +0.58 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-07-28 | 115.11 | 93.05 | +0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-27 | 114.01 | 85.96 | +1.28 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-07-24 | 112.53 | 83.40 | +1.54 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-07-23 | 110.45 | 81.56 | +1.61 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-07-22 | 108.48 | 84.03 | +0.89 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-07-21 | 107.72 | 83.64 | +0.86 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-07-20 | 107.12 | 84.99 | +0.54 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-07-17 | 108.87 | 87.02 | +0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-16 | 111.69 | 88.81 | +0.51 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-07-15 | 108.56 | 87.28 | +0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-14 | 109.47 | 86.28 | +0.65 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-07-13 | 112.60 | 86.41 | +1.06 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-07-10 | 111.26 | 87.72 | +0.66 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-07-09 | 110.92 | 87.21 | +0.71 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-07-08 | 111.31 | 86.83 | +0.83 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-07-07 | 112.74 | 89.90 | +0.51 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-07-06 | 115.62 | 91.70 | +0.59 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-07-02 | 116.31 | 92.58 | +0.55 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-07-01 | 114.28 | 90.89 | +0.56 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-06-30 | 114.95 | 90.44 | +0.73 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-06-29 | 113.44 | 90.43 | +0.54 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-06-26 | 112.72 | 90.37 | +0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-25 | 112.29 | 89.06 | +0.63 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-06-24 | 110.71 | 87.50 | +0.69 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-06-23 | 109.13 | 84.81 | +0.94 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-06-22 | 110.37 | 83.23 | +1.39 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-06-18 | 109.82 | 84.26 | +1.15 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-06-17 | 107.41 | 82.42 | +1.15 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-06-16 | 110.21 | 84.69 | +1.14 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-06-15 | 110.33 | 84.11 | +1.27 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-06-12 | 111.45 | 83.34 | +1.57 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-06-11 | 111.02 | 83.23 | +1.54 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-06-10 | 110.16 | 79.82 | +2.06 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-06-09 | 111.48 | 81.57 | +1.93 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-06-08 | 110.09 | 78.68 | +2.31 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-06-05 | 111.98 | 80.19 | +2.29 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-06-04 | 112.86 | 78.82 | +2.70 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-06-03 | 111.19 | 77.87 | +2.70 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-06-02 | 107.05 | 76.96 | +2.33 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-06-01 | 105.28 | 77.45 | +2.00 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-05-29 | 105.78 | 79.80 | +1.63 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-05-28 | 107.12 | 80.15 | +1.77 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-05-27 | 107.26 | 81.41 | +1.57 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-05-26 | 106.38 | 81.75 | +1.39 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-05-22 | 105.16 | 81.18 | +1.33 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-05-21 | 104.18 | 81.25 | +1.18 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-05-20 | 104.54 | 80.82 | +1.32 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-05-19 | 104.27 | 78.55 | +1.72 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-05-18 | 105.30 | 79.53 | +1.69 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-05-15 | 103.53 | 78.82 | +1.58 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-05-14 | 105.25 | 81.21 | +1.39 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-05-13 | 104.75 | 80.46 | +1.47 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-05-12 | 103.67 | 81.84 | +1.07 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-05-11 | 103.63 | 82.13 | +1.02 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-05-08 | 105.71 | 83.21 | +1.12 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-05-07 | 106.16 | 84.10 | +1.04 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-05-06 | 107.00 | 85.00 | +1.01 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-05-05 | 106.09 | 82.07 | +1.39 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-05-04 | 107.41 | 81.55 | +1.67 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-05-01 | 107.48 | 83.52 | +1.35 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-04-30 | 107.53 | 84.47 | +1.21 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-04-29 | 104.61 | 83.48 | +0.99 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-04-28 | 106.93 | 85.17 | +1.03 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-04-27 | 108.36 | 88.28 | +0.72 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-04-24 | 106.95 | 88.70 | +0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-23 | 108.77 | 88.69 | +0.71 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-04-22 | 107.24 | 88.03 | +0.62 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-04-21 | 109.37 | 87.89 | +0.93 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-04-20 | 109.03 | 90.33 | +0.50 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-04-17 | 109.56 | 90.76 | +0.51 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-04-16 | 107.02 | 87.55 | +0.69 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-04-15 | 106.26 | 86.37 | +0.79 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-04-14 | 106.78 | 87.62 | +0.66 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-04-13 | 109.61 | 87.83 | +1.00 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-04-10 | 117.67 | 88.28 | +1.95 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-04-09 | 117.51 | 88.18 | +1.96 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-04-08 | 115.30 | 88.16 | +1.71 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-04-07 | 109.23 | 82.46 | +1.90 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-04-06 | 109.78 | 83.10 | +1.88 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-04-02 | 110.81 | 83.52 | +1.96 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-04-01 | 111.60 | 85.55 | +1.73 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-03-31 | 111.04 | 84.19 | +1.90 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-03-30 | 107.98 | 82.97 | +1.73 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-03-27 | 107.57 | 82.83 | +1.71 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-03-26 | 107.96 | 83.93 | +1.59 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-03-25 | 108.58 | 84.56 | +1.58 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-03-24 | 107.43 | 82.39 | +1.81 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-03-23 | 106.38 | 82.46 | +1.67 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-03-20 | 104.73 | 79.72 | +1.95 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-03-19 | 106.47 | 81.52 | +1.89 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-03-18 | 107.89 | 81.98 | +2.01 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-03-17 | 109.92 | 84.23 | +1.91 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-03-16 | 109.32 | 84.76 | +1.75 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-03-13 | 108.80 | 83.99 | +1.82 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-03-12 | 108.29 | 83.44 | +1.87 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-03-11 | 111.50 | 84.77 | +2.08 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-03-10 | 110.81 | 86.76 | +1.67 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-03-09 | 112.00 | 87.57 | +1.70 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-03-06 | 111.19 | 86.64 | +1.75 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-03-05 | 113.20 | 88.11 | +1.78 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-03-04 | 111.12 | 91.32 | +1.02 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-03-03 | 110.64 | 91.62 | +0.92 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-03-02 | 110.88 | 93.53 | +0.67 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-02-27 | 110.18 | 95.24 | +0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-26 | 109.32 | 94.69 | +0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-25 | 106.81 | 93.83 | +0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-24 | 108.80 | 95.80 | +0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-23 | 107.81 | 95.68 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-20 | 110.61 | 94.72 | +0.50 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-02-19 | 110.59 | 93.93 | +0.61 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-02-18 | 110.04 | 96.07 | +0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-17 | 109.35 | 96.64 | +0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-13 | 111.07 | 96.89 | +0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-12 | 108.99 | 97.86 | -0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-11 | 112.53 | 96.39 | +0.52 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-02-10 | 111.67 | 95.78 | +0.51 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-02-09 | 111.33 | 94.71 | +0.62 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-02-06 | 114.23 | 95.08 | +0.89 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-02-05 | 113.27 | 94.83 | +0.82 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-02-04 | 115.54 | 96.90 | +0.81 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-02-03 | 110.90 | 94.46 | +0.63 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-02-02 | 107.22 | 93.60 | +0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-30 | 103.77 | 93.15 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-29 | 103.67 | 93.13 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-28 | 104.39 | 91.82 | +0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-27 | 105.18 | 90.90 | +0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-26 | 104.65 | 91.49 | +0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-23 | 105.04 | 91.54 | +0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-22 | 107.17 | 92.09 | +0.57 | FAST ahead |
| 2026-01-21 | 106.76 | 93.59 | +0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-20 | 102.00 | 91.13 | +0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-16 | 104.68 | 93.99 | +0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-15 | 104.18 | 93.54 | +0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-14 | 101.52 | 93.07 | -0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-13 | 101.52 | 93.50 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-12 | 99.80 | 93.93 | -0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-09 | 100.47 | 92.79 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-08 | 100.04 | 89.57 | +0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-07 | 97.19 | 87.05 | +0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-06 | 99.41 | 89.33 | +0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-05 | 98.48 | 87.25 | +0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-02 | 96.78 | 86.11 | +0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-31 | 96.04 | 85.11 | +0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-30 | 97.81 | 85.67 | +0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-29 | 98.82 | 85.42 | +0.56 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-12-26 | 99.46 | 85.48 | +0.63 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-12-24 | 100.11 | 85.45 | +0.71 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-12-23 | 99.84 | 85.11 | +0.73 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-12-22 | 99.92 | 85.06 | +0.75 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-12-19 | 101.35 | 84.27 | +1.00 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-12-18 | 101.33 | 85.46 | +0.86 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-12-17 | 100.20 | 86.14 | +0.67 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-12-16 | 101.33 | 86.12 | +0.79 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-12-15 | 101.90 | 86.27 | +0.84 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-12-12 | 100.54 | 86.33 | +0.70 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-12-11 | 99.92 | 86.49 | +0.62 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-12-10 | 97.95 | 85.70 | +0.52 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-12-09 | 96.54 | 84.35 | +0.54 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-12-08 | 97.64 | 85.92 | +0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-05 | 99.32 | 87.49 | +0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-04 | 99.92 | 88.09 | +0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-03 | 98.65 | 89.10 | +0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-02 | 96.85 | 88.64 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-01 | 96.09 | 89.69 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-28 | 96.69 | 90.27 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-26 | 96.45 | 90.19 | -0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-25 | 95.94 | 90.00 | -0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-24 | 94.75 | 88.78 | -0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-21 | 95.51 | 88.53 | -0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-20 | 93.69 | 86.15 | +0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-19 | 94.65 | 86.62 | +0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-18 | 95.63 | 85.06 | +0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-17 | 95.01 | 85.84 | +0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-14 | 96.81 | 87.25 | +0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-13 | 97.52 | 89.00 | +0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-12 | 98.05 | 90.54 | +0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-11 | 98.74 | 90.64 | +0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-10 | 98.96 | 89.97 | +0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-07 | 97.76 | 89.34 | +0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-06 | 97.57 | 87.64 | +0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-05 | 99.75 | 88.19 | +0.50 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-11-04 | 98.84 | 90.08 | +0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-03 | 98.22 | 90.78 | +0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-31 | 98.48 | 90.60 | +0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-30 | 99.44 | 91.38 | +0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-29 | 98.34 | 90.81 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-28 | 99.63 | 93.10 | -0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-27 | 101.81 | 88.27 | +0.72 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-10-24 | 102.60 | 87.73 | +0.86 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-10-23 | 102.88 | 87.14 | +0.96 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-10-22 | 101.95 | 87.68 | +0.82 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-10-21 | 103.67 | 88.89 | +0.85 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-10-20 | 102.88 | 87.00 | +1.00 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-10-17 | 101.62 | 86.87 | +0.90 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-10-16 | 100.42 | 87.06 | +0.77 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-10-15 | 101.09 | 87.39 | +0.80 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-10-14 | 102.31 | 88.06 | +0.85 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-10-13 | 101.30 | 87.24 | +0.85 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-10-10 | 109.56 | 87.41 | +1.58 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-10-09 | 111.79 | 87.52 | +1.77 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-10-08 | 113.80 | 88.66 | +1.83 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-10-07 | 113.56 | 88.51 | +1.84 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-10-06 | 114.35 | 88.49 | +1.92 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-10-03 | 114.59 | 91.04 | +1.68 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-10-02 | 115.28 | 90.33 | +1.83 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-10-01 | 114.20 | 89.62 | +1.82 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-09-30 | 117.36 | 90.95 | +1.96 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-09-29 | 116.96 | 90.07 | +2.03 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-09-26 | 116.55 | 89.80 | +2.05 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-09-25 | 114.51 | 89.33 | +1.95 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-09-24 | 113.77 | 90.08 | +1.82 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-09-23 | 114.85 | 90.47 | +1.89 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-09-22 | 112.77 | 90.99 | +1.68 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-09-19 | 113.87 | 91.09 | +1.77 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-09-18 | 113.01 | 91.81 | +1.64 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-09-17 | 112.77 | 91.98 | +1.61 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-09-16 | 113.08 | 92.77 | +1.57 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-09-15 | 114.30 | 93.79 | +1.58 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-09-12 | 113.56 | 94.58 | +1.45 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-09-11 | 113.27 | 96.84 | +1.21 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-09-10 | 114.80 | 93.89 | +1.63 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-09-09 | 114.63 | 94.92 | +1.53 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-09-08 | 115.33 | 98.56 | +1.25 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-09-05 | 114.85 | 97.82 | +1.28 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-09-04 | 120.31 | 96.07 | +1.89 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-09-03 | 118.51 | 95.35 | +1.84 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-09-02 | 117.72 | 94.80 | +1.84 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-08-29 | 118.85 | 96.09 | +1.82 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-08-28 | 120.09 | 96.18 | +1.93 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-08-27 | 120.14 | 96.50 | +1.92 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-08-26 | 119.56 | 96.25 | +1.92 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-08-25 | 120.31 | 96.39 | +1.99 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-08-22 | 120.59 | 97.95 | +1.88 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-08-21 | 117.60 | 95.57 | +1.89 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-08-20 | 118.56 | 96.43 | +1.90 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-08-19 | 119.42 | 96.64 | +1.97 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-08-18 | 117.53 | 94.25 | +2.08 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-08-15 | 116.98 | 95.71 | +1.91 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-08-14 | 116.53 | 96.02 | +1.86 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-08-13 | 117.77 | 96.87 | +1.90 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-08-12 | 115.95 | 94.05 | +2.05 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-08-11 | 114.49 | 93.13 | +2.05 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-08-08 | 114.85 | 92.50 | +2.17 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-08-07 | 113.63 | 91.91 | +2.16 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-08-06 | 111.95 | 92.12 | +2.01 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-08-05 | 108.75 | 92.48 | +1.71 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-08-04 | 108.58 | 91.36 | +1.83 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-08-01 | 108.75 | 90.20 | +2.00 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-07-31 | 110.40 | 86.91 | +2.56 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-07-30 | 111.07 | 87.20 | +2.63 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-07-29 | 111.52 | 88.51 | +2.57 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-07-28 | 112.00 | 88.29 | +2.68 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-07-25 | 114.28 | 89.33 | +2.83 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-07-24 | 114.71 | 89.36 | +2.92 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-07-23 | 113.51 | 90.07 | +2.78 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-07-22 | 112.67 | 89.32 | +2.84 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-07-21 | 110.14 | 89.64 | +2.60 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-07-18 | 110.23 | 89.32 | +2.69 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-07-17 | 109.80 | 89.28 | +2.70 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-07-16 | 109.13 | 89.27 | +2.68 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-07-15 | 108.01 | 89.05 | +2.64 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-07-14 | 107.86 | 90.48 | +2.47 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-07-11 | 103.55 | 90.86 | +1.95 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-07-10 | 104.25 | 92.41 | +1.85 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-07-09 | 103.87 | 92.33 | +1.83 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-07-08 | 102.52 | 90.88 | +1.89 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-07-07 | 101.64 | 90.95 | +1.79 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-07-03 | 103.22 | 92.98 | +1.73 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-07-02 | 102.14 | 92.59 | +1.66 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-07-01 | 102.57 | 93.32 | +1.63 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-06-30 | 100.51 | 90.18 | +1.83 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-06-27 | 100.42 | 90.80 | +1.74 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-06-26 | 98.84 | 89.79 | +1.70 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-06-25 | 98.41 | 90.25 | +1.59 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-06-24 | 99.39 | 90.80 | +1.65 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-06-23 | 98.84 | 90.29 | +1.67 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-06-20 | 97.98 | 87.59 | +1.97 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-06-18 | 99.29 | 87.06 | +2.26 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-06-17 | 99.44 | 86.95 | +2.33 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-06-16 | 101.09 | 88.19 | +2.40 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-06-13 | 100.92 | 88.22 | +2.40 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-06-12 | 102.57 | 93.56 | +1.84 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-06-11 | 102.07 | 93.80 | +1.75 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-06-10 | 102.24 | 94.75 | +1.64 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-06-09 | 100.83 | 94.02 | +1.57 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-06-06 | 100.66 | 93.89 | +1.58 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-06-05 | 98.94 | 94.00 | +1.33 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-06-04 | 97.83 | 95.14 | +1.00 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-06-03 | 98.58 | 93.97 | +1.29 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-06-02 | 97.91 | 93.36 | +1.30 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-05-30 | 98.94 | 94.24 | +1.32 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-05-29 | 98.60 | 93.44 | +1.40 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-05-28 | 99.25 | 93.17 | +1.55 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-05-27 | 99.65 | 94.38 | +1.43 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-05-23 | 97.28 | 92.59 | +1.37 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-05-22 | 97.44 | 92.70 | +1.38 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-05-21 | 97.48 | 92.96 | +1.36 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-05-20 | 98.03 | 94.32 | +1.24 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-05-19 | 99.51 | 95.08 | +1.35 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-05-16 | 99.35 | 95.48 | +1.27 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-05-15 | 97.98 | 94.94 | +1.15 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-05-14 | 96.34 | 92.29 | +1.33 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-05-13 | 95.69 | 93.52 | +1.04 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-05-12 | 95.91 | 93.81 | +1.04 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-05-09 | 94.05 | 92.42 | +0.97 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-05-08 | 94.88 | 92.87 | +1.04 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-05-07 | 93.93 | 92.34 | +0.97 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-05-06 | 93.93 | 92.59 | +0.93 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-05-05 | 98.62 | 94.51 | +1.36 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-05-02 | 98.26 | 94.46 | +1.31 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-05-01 | 96.58 | 92.88 | +1.31 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-04-30 | 96.89 | 92.70 | +1.39 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-04-29 | 96.06 | 91.44 | +1.48 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-04-28 | 95.86 | 87.25 | +2.17 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-04-25 | 96.60 | 87.10 | +2.34 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-04-24 | 98.24 | 87.84 | +2.51 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-04-23 | 95.96 | 87.00 | +2.32 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-04-22 | 97.45 | 87.19 | +2.57 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-04-21 | 96.08 | 84.65 | +2.86 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-04-17 | 97.62 | 87.56 | +2.60 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-04-16 | 96.27 | 87.01 | +2.51 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-04-15 | 97.70 | 88.48 | +2.51 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-04-14 | 97.28 | 89.57 | +2.26 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-04-11 | 96.49 | 88.45 | +2.35 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-04-10 | 90.69 | 86.65 | +1.65 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-04-09 | 91.50 | 88.32 | +1.48 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-04-08 | 85.20 | 82.34 | +1.45 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-04-07 | 86.35 | 84.79 | +1.18 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-04-04 | 89.05 | 87.22 | +1.22 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-04-03 | 93.35 | 89.47 | +1.58 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-04-02 | 93.35 | 92.89 | +0.95 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-04-01 | 92.87 | 92.08 | +1.01 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-03-31 | 92.80 | 91.72 | +1.06 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-03-28 | 91.15 | 89.24 | +1.22 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-03-27 | 93.01 | 90.79 | +1.27 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-03-26 | 92.25 | 90.46 | +1.19 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-03-25 | 92.25 | 89.61 | +1.35 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-03-24 | 92.07 | 90.01 | +1.24 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-03-21 | 89.42 | 87.83 | +1.16 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-03-20 | 90.36 | 88.26 | +1.25 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-03-19 | 91.49 | 87.97 | +1.52 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-03-18 | 91.05 | 88.13 | +1.41 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-03-17 | 91.03 | 89.89 | +1.07 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-03-14 | 90.06 | 89.77 | +0.92 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-03-13 | 88.18 | 89.85 | +0.55 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-03-12 | 90.93 | 91.88 | +0.69 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-03-11 | 92.56 | 92.72 | +0.83 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-03-10 | 95.49 | 93.97 | +1.13 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-03-07 | 95.70 | 95.51 | +0.89 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-03-06 | 93.16 | 94.58 | +0.60 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-03-05 | 89.13 | 95.16 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-04 | 88.82 | 93.32 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-03 | 89.00 | 93.70 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-28 | 90.62 | 95.15 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-27 | 88.66 | 93.38 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-26 | 88.42 | 94.45 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-25 | 89.27 | 92.72 | +0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-24 | 89.48 | 90.32 | +0.66 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-02-21 | 89.48 | 90.50 | +0.62 | FAST ahead |
| 2025-02-20 | 89.91 | 91.93 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-19 | 90.43 | 92.41 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-18 | 89.52 | 92.71 | +0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-14 | 89.48 | 93.73 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-13 | 89.49 | 94.85 | -0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-12 | 88.17 | 93.37 | -0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-11 | 88.94 | 94.92 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-10 | 88.21 | 94.33 | -0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-07 | 88.36 | 94.70 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-06 | 89.33 | 95.93 | -0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-05 | 88.00 | 95.73 | -0.61 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-02-04 | 87.58 | 93.92 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-03 | 88.21 | 93.94 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-31 | 87.64 | 94.07 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-30 | 89.72 | 96.01 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-29 | 88.64 | 94.66 | -0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-28 | 89.49 | 95.65 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-27 | 91.26 | 95.65 | -0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-24 | 90.38 | 94.59 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-23 | 90.30 | 94.85 | -0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-22 | 90.46 | 93.96 | +0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-21 | 91.05 | 94.95 | +0.00 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-17 | 91.04 | 92.97 | +0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-16 | 89.47 | 93.02 | +0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-15 | 88.87 | 91.12 | +0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-14 | 88.24 | 89.73 | +0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-13 | 87.22 | 88.28 | +0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-10 | 85.71 | 86.72 | +0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-08 | 87.28 | 88.66 | +0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-07 | 86.53 | 87.83 | +0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-06 | 86.12 | 88.73 | +0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-03 | 85.78 | 88.39 | +0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-02 | 85.09 | 87.51 | +0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-31 | 86.05 | 89.28 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-30 | 86.06 | 88.97 | +0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-27 | 87.37 | 90.17 | +0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-26 | 89.05 | 90.75 | +0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-24 | 89.88 | 91.01 | +0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-23 | 89.12 | 90.57 | +0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-20 | 89.53 | 90.74 | +0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-19 | 88.58 | 89.93 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-18 | 89.33 | 91.58 | +0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-17 | 92.90 | 95.29 | +0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-16 | 93.50 | 95.88 | +0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-13 | 93.90 | 95.74 | +0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-12 | 94.58 | 96.35 | +0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-11 | 94.84 | 97.69 | +0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-10 | 95.45 | 97.60 | +0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-09 | 96.11 | 98.88 | +0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-06 | 96.98 | 101.11 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-05 | 97.83 | 101.18 | +0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-04 | 98.31 | 102.98 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-03 | 99.09 | 103.83 | -0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-02 | 98.92 | 103.90 | -0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-29 | 99.99 | 104.38 | +0.00 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-27 | 100.17 | 103.47 | +0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-26 | 100.63 | 104.05 | +0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-25 | 100.22 | 104.99 | -0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-22 | 99.41 | 101.99 | +0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-21 | 98.55 | 100.68 | +0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-20 | 97.91 | 97.62 | +0.70 | FAST ahead |
| 2024-11-19 | 97.63 | 98.10 | +0.57 | FAST ahead |
| 2024-11-18 | 97.88 | 98.59 | +0.54 | FAST ahead |
| 2024-11-15 | 97.94 | 99.54 | +0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-14 | 98.31 | 102.03 | +0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-13 | 100.06 | 101.72 | +0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-12 | 99.92 | 100.77 | +0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-11 | 100.93 | 102.24 | +0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-08 | 99.71 | 101.56 | +0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-07 | 99.44 | 100.86 | +0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-06 | 100.00 | 100.00 | +0.59 | FAST ahead |
One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Nov 6, 2024 (FAST +7.0%, SHW +0.7%); Sep 5, 2025 (FAST -4.5%, SHW +1.8%); Oct 13, 2025 (FAST -7.5%, SHW -0.2%); Oct 28, 2025 (FAST -2.1%, SHW +5.5%).
Paired trades
The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart
Forward paper record
No paper position on this pair yet.
Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)
1 simulated trade to Nov 3, 2026: -10.31% per trade on average after costs, 0 won.
| Legs | Entered | Exited | Why | Days | Before costs | Costs + borrow | After costs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long SHW · Short FAST | Mar 2, 2022 | Mar 8, 2022 | divergence stop | 6 | -$980.85 | -$44.68 | -$1,031.16 (-10.31%) |
Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.
The companies
FAST and SHW at a glance
FAST Fastenal Company
- Listing
- Nasdaq · SEC CIK 815556
- Industry
- RETAIL: Building Materials · SIC 5200 Retail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden Supply
- Market value
- $60.0B
- Price history
- 2,534 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Nov 10, 2026
SHW The Sherwin-Williams Company
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 89800
- Industry
- RETAIL: Building Materials · SIC 5200 Retail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden Supply
- Market value
- $82.4B
- Price history
- 2,534 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Nov 10, 2026
Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.
Related
All pairs →Other rivals of FAST and SHW
| Pair | Status | Ahead now | Industry |
|---|---|---|---|
| FAST / TSCO | Watchlist | FAST by 0.81 sd | SIC 5200 Retail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden Supply |
| SHW / TSCO | Watchlist | SHW by 0.56 sd | SIC 5200 Retail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden Supply |
| HD / SHW | Watchlist | SHW by 0.48 sd | RETAIL: Building Materials |
| LOW / SHW | Watchlist | SHW by 0.48 sd | RETAIL: Building Materials |
Follow the research behind the paper book
Boostio is a research-first platform in private beta: crypto candidates, daily market stories, public paper trading and now rival stocks. Exploring these pages stays free and open.
Explore the private betaPaper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.
