The Home Depot Inc. vs The Sherwin-Williams Company
WatchlistHD / SHWPrices through Nov 10, 2026
Why these are rivals: #1 and #3 by market value ($333B vs $82B) in Nasdaq's "RETAIL: Building Materials" industry; SEC SIC 5211 / 5200 (same major group).
Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.99 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Business leadership
HD is the larger business
Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.
| Year | HD | SHW | Larger |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $164.7B | $23.6B | HD |
| 2024 | $159.5B | $23.1B | HD |
| 2023 | $152.7B | $23.1B | HD |
| 2022 | $157.4B | $22.1B | HD |
| 2021 | $151.2B | $19.9B | HD |
| 2020 | $132.1B | $18.4B | HD |
HD led in every year with figures for both. Market value: HD $332.9B, SHW $82.4B.
Stock leadership
SHW is ahead now
Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.
SHW leads HD by 0.48 standard deviations: +2.5% over its usual price ratio. 2 lead switches in the last year.
| Price change | 3 mo | 6 mo | 12 mo |
|---|---|---|---|
| HD | +2.2% | +13.1% | -5.4% |
| SHW | -1.3% | +14.0% | +4.5% |
Relationship
Not a measured twin today
Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.
- Pass
- Aligned sessions: 2534 (needs >= 254)
- Pass
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.78 (needs >= 0.60)
- Fail
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.99 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
- Pass
- Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 22.75 (needs <= 63)
- Data
- Both stocks current
The twins over two years
Prices side by side, and the gap between them
HD The Home Depot Inc. SHW The Sherwin-Williams CompanyPrice index, 100 = 2024-11-06. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
Spread z-score: HD relative to SHW, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: HD ahead; below 0: SHW ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
Data table (504 sessions)
| Date | HD index | SHW index | z | Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-10 | 90.38 | 93.33 | -0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-11-09 | 91.00 | 94.01 | -0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-11-06 | 88.44 | 90.38 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-11-05 | 90.10 | 91.67 | -0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-11-04 | 91.52 | 95.47 | -0.69 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-11-03 | 85.91 | 89.53 | -0.67 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-11-02 | 87.84 | 92.55 | -0.88 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-10-30 | 84.76 | 87.36 | -0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-29 | 84.71 | 86.70 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-28 | 81.77 | 84.26 | -0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-27 | 82.01 | 85.63 | -0.74 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-10-26 | 82.24 | 88.03 | -1.19 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-10-23 | 82.35 | 88.53 | -1.27 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-10-22 | 84.39 | 90.78 | -1.29 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-10-21 | 80.89 | 88.59 | -1.61 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-10-20 | 81.14 | 88.25 | -1.49 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-10-19 | 79.79 | 87.10 | -1.56 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-10-16 | 79.73 | 88.04 | -1.77 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-10-15 | 79.37 | 88.49 | -1.95 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-10-14 | 76.09 | 85.24 | -2.05 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-10-13 | 75.68 | 85.13 | -2.14 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-10-12 | 74.83 | 84.10 | -2.15 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-10-09 | 74.86 | 83.88 | -2.11 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-10-08 | 76.08 | 84.32 | -1.94 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-10-07 | 73.58 | 82.74 | -2.21 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-10-06 | 73.82 | 84.35 | -2.52 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-10-05 | 72.39 | 83.64 | -2.76 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-10-02 | 72.83 | 83.92 | -2.75 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-10-01 | 72.73 | 84.25 | -2.88 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-30 | 73.25 | 84.91 | -2.92 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-29 | 74.17 | 86.79 | -3.14 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-28 | 74.64 | 87.41 | -3.19 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-25 | 75.50 | 86.44 | -2.81 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-24 | 75.23 | 84.15 | -2.41 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-23 | 76.40 | 85.75 | -2.49 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-22 | 78.62 | 86.24 | -2.08 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-21 | 76.52 | 84.39 | -2.19 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-18 | 77.24 | 84.24 | -2.00 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-17 | 77.89 | 84.30 | -1.87 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-16 | 77.88 | 84.43 | -1.91 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-15 | 78.66 | 84.89 | -1.85 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-14 | 80.04 | 85.23 | -1.62 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-11 | 79.50 | 84.92 | -1.69 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-10 | 78.71 | 83.38 | -1.55 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-09 | 79.94 | 84.22 | -1.46 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-08 | 80.77 | 85.65 | -1.59 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-04 | 82.67 | 87.65 | -1.61 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-03 | 81.90 | 87.27 | -1.71 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-02 | 82.01 | 87.00 | -1.65 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-01 | 82.34 | 86.66 | -1.52 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-31 | 84.41 | 88.99 | -1.56 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-28 | 85.02 | 90.58 | -1.77 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-27 | 84.61 | 90.67 | -1.90 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-26 | 86.22 | 91.58 | -1.76 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-25 | 87.00 | 92.05 | -1.70 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-24 | 86.88 | 91.07 | -1.54 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-21 | 86.42 | 91.03 | -1.65 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-20 | 86.13 | 91.12 | -1.75 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-19 | 88.65 | 92.87 | -1.58 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-18 | 86.90 | 90.69 | -1.52 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-17 | 87.00 | 91.92 | -1.78 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-14 | 87.25 | 94.32 | -2.24 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-13 | 87.98 | 94.96 | -2.24 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-12 | 88.43 | 94.61 | -2.10 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-11 | 91.27 | 95.72 | -1.73 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-10 | 90.32 | 95.27 | -1.86 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-07 | 91.57 | 97.11 | -2.00 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-06 | 90.00 | 95.45 | -2.02 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-05 | 90.93 | 97.10 | -2.19 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-04 | 89.67 | 94.97 | -2.05 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-03 | 87.55 | 93.04 | -2.14 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-31 | 85.48 | 89.53 | -1.87 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-30 | 85.83 | 90.57 | -2.05 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-29 | 87.10 | 90.32 | -1.70 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-28 | 88.70 | 93.05 | -1.97 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-27 | 86.54 | 85.96 | -0.83 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-24 | 85.74 | 83.40 | -0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-23 | 83.61 | 81.56 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-22 | 85.34 | 84.03 | -0.66 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-21 | 85.38 | 83.64 | -0.55 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-20 | 85.75 | 84.99 | -0.80 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-17 | 87.25 | 87.02 | -0.93 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-16 | 89.61 | 88.81 | -0.81 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-15 | 87.92 | 87.28 | -0.85 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-14 | 86.96 | 86.28 | -0.84 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-13 | 86.80 | 86.41 | -0.91 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-10 | 88.40 | 87.72 | -0.85 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-09 | 87.22 | 87.21 | -1.01 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-08 | 86.57 | 86.83 | -1.09 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-07 | 88.89 | 89.90 | -1.27 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-06 | 90.29 | 91.70 | -1.37 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-02 | 92.15 | 92.58 | -1.14 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-01 | 90.34 | 90.89 | -1.18 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-30 | 90.81 | 90.44 | -0.97 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-29 | 90.33 | 90.43 | -1.09 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-26 | 89.83 | 90.37 | -1.20 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-25 | 88.83 | 89.06 | -1.13 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-24 | 88.28 | 87.50 | -0.88 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-23 | 83.54 | 84.81 | -1.41 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-22 | 84.10 | 83.23 | -0.86 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-18 | 86.07 | 84.26 | -0.62 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-17 | 84.32 | 82.42 | -0.59 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-16 | 86.80 | 84.69 | -0.55 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-15 | 84.92 | 84.11 | -0.88 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-12 | 84.56 | 83.34 | -0.77 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-11 | 83.94 | 83.23 | -0.89 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-10 | 82.12 | 79.82 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-09 | 82.74 | 81.57 | -0.76 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-08 | 79.75 | 78.68 | -0.78 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-05 | 80.02 | 80.19 | -1.12 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-04 | 79.81 | 78.82 | -0.81 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-03 | 80.59 | 77.87 | -0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-02 | 80.21 | 76.96 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-01 | 80.00 | 77.45 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-29 | 81.66 | 79.80 | -0.57 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-28 | 82.71 | 80.15 | -0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-27 | 81.84 | 81.41 | -0.95 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-26 | 79.96 | 81.75 | -1.55 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-22 | 80.61 | 81.18 | -1.23 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-21 | 80.79 | 81.25 | -1.20 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-20 | 79.97 | 80.82 | -1.32 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-19 | 77.87 | 78.55 | -1.28 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-18 | 77.20 | 79.53 | -1.76 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-15 | 76.60 | 78.82 | -1.75 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-14 | 78.37 | 81.21 | -1.92 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-13 | 77.90 | 80.46 | -1.87 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-12 | 79.94 | 81.84 | -1.68 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-11 | 80.18 | 82.13 | -1.70 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-08 | 81.74 | 83.21 | -1.57 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-07 | 83.08 | 84.10 | -1.45 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-06 | 83.18 | 85.00 | -1.66 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-05 | 81.22 | 82.07 | -1.41 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-04 | 80.44 | 81.55 | -1.48 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-01 | 83.39 | 83.52 | -1.21 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-30 | 84.66 | 84.47 | -1.12 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-29 | 83.12 | 83.48 | -1.28 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-28 | 84.73 | 85.17 | -1.31 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-27 | 85.56 | 88.28 | -1.93 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-24 | 86.49 | 88.70 | -1.81 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-23 | 87.59 | 88.69 | -1.53 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-22 | 87.42 | 88.03 | -1.41 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-21 | 88.55 | 87.89 | -1.07 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-20 | 90.38 | 90.33 | -1.25 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-17 | 89.97 | 90.76 | -1.47 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-16 | 86.81 | 87.55 | -1.48 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-15 | 87.26 | 86.37 | -1.03 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-14 | 88.24 | 87.62 | -1.12 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-13 | 87.84 | 87.83 | -1.29 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-10 | 86.86 | 88.28 | -1.69 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-09 | 87.44 | 88.18 | -1.52 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-08 | 86.56 | 88.16 | -1.78 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-07 | 82.08 | 82.46 | -1.45 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-06 | 84.11 | 83.10 | -1.04 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-02 | 82.82 | 83.52 | -1.56 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-01 | 84.86 | 85.55 | -1.55 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-03-31 | 84.68 | 84.19 | -1.22 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-03-30 | 83.30 | 82.97 | -1.27 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-03-27 | 82.82 | 82.83 | -1.38 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-03-26 | 84.57 | 83.93 | -1.19 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-03-25 | 85.62 | 84.56 | -1.08 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-03-24 | 85.20 | 82.39 | -0.55 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-03-23 | 85.20 | 82.46 | -0.57 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-03-20 | 82.59 | 79.72 | -0.51 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-03-19 | 84.51 | 81.52 | -0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-18 | 85.21 | 81.98 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-17 | 87.91 | 84.23 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-16 | 88.21 | 84.76 | -0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-13 | 87.30 | 83.99 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-12 | 87.27 | 83.44 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-11 | 90.34 | 84.77 | +0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-10 | 91.96 | 86.76 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-09 | 91.04 | 87.57 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-06 | 92.16 | 86.64 | +0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-05 | 93.13 | 88.11 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-04 | 95.04 | 91.32 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-03 | 94.48 | 91.62 | -0.59 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-03-02 | 95.48 | 93.53 | -0.85 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-02-27 | 98.03 | 95.24 | -0.65 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-02-26 | 96.58 | 94.69 | -0.88 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-02-25 | 96.70 | 93.83 | -0.63 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-02-24 | 99.00 | 95.80 | -0.57 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-02-23 | 97.07 | 95.68 | -1.03 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-02-20 | 98.42 | 94.72 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-19 | 97.48 | 93.93 | -0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-18 | 98.75 | 96.07 | -0.72 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-02-17 | 98.63 | 96.64 | -0.90 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-02-13 | 100.69 | 96.89 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-12 | 100.48 | 97.86 | -0.77 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-02-11 | 100.59 | 96.39 | -0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-10 | 100.34 | 95.78 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-09 | 98.10 | 94.71 | -0.57 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-02-06 | 99.17 | 95.08 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-05 | 98.46 | 94.83 | -0.53 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-02-04 | 99.70 | 96.90 | -0.75 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-02-03 | 98.13 | 94.46 | -0.53 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-02-02 | 97.36 | 93.60 | -0.50 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-01-30 | 96.45 | 93.15 | -0.61 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-01-29 | 95.74 | 93.13 | -0.79 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-01-28 | 96.63 | 91.82 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-27 | 97.94 | 90.90 | +0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-26 | 99.53 | 91.49 | +0.52 | HD ahead |
| 2026-01-23 | 98.82 | 91.54 | +0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-22 | 98.11 | 92.09 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-21 | 99.04 | 93.59 | -0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-20 | 96.59 | 91.13 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-16 | 97.89 | 93.99 | -0.51 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-01-15 | 97.63 | 93.54 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-14 | 96.80 | 93.07 | -0.56 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-01-13 | 97.78 | 93.50 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-12 | 96.54 | 93.93 | -0.84 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-01-09 | 96.46 | 92.79 | -0.58 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-01-08 | 92.58 | 89.57 | -0.72 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-01-07 | 89.88 | 87.05 | -0.75 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-01-06 | 89.94 | 89.33 | -1.32 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-01-05 | 88.60 | 87.25 | -1.14 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-01-02 | 89.04 | 86.11 | -0.74 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-12-31 | 88.60 | 85.11 | -0.60 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-12-30 | 89.18 | 85.67 | -0.61 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-12-29 | 89.46 | 85.42 | -0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-26 | 90.06 | 85.48 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-24 | 89.44 | 85.45 | -0.50 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-12-23 | 88.83 | 85.11 | -0.57 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-12-22 | 89.19 | 85.06 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-19 | 88.83 | 84.27 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-18 | 91.41 | 85.46 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-17 | 91.86 | 86.14 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-16 | 90.81 | 86.12 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-15 | 91.92 | 86.27 | -0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-12 | 92.60 | 86.33 | +0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-11 | 92.04 | 86.49 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-10 | 90.41 | 85.70 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-09 | 88.90 | 84.35 | -0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-08 | 90.10 | 85.92 | -0.50 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-12-05 | 91.31 | 87.49 | -0.61 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-12-04 | 90.42 | 88.09 | -0.97 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-12-03 | 92.16 | 89.10 | -0.81 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-12-02 | 91.16 | 88.64 | -0.94 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-12-01 | 92.01 | 89.69 | -1.00 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-11-28 | 91.90 | 90.27 | -1.17 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-11-26 | 91.53 | 90.19 | -1.25 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-11-25 | 90.40 | 90.00 | -1.49 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-11-24 | 86.66 | 88.78 | -2.14 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-11-21 | 88.40 | 88.53 | -1.65 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-11-20 | 85.58 | 86.15 | -1.79 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-11-19 | 86.13 | 86.62 | -1.78 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-11-18 | 86.64 | 85.06 | -1.23 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-11-17 | 92.19 | 85.84 | -0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-14 | 93.30 | 87.25 | -0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-13 | 94.77 | 89.00 | -0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-12 | 95.56 | 90.54 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-11 | 96.36 | 90.64 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-10 | 95.38 | 89.97 | -0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-07 | 95.56 | 89.34 | -0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-06 | 95.03 | 87.64 | +0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-05 | 96.26 | 88.19 | +0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-04 | 98.64 | 90.08 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-03 | 97.42 | 90.78 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-31 | 97.74 | 90.60 | +0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-30 | 97.73 | 91.38 | -0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-29 | 97.34 | 90.81 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-28 | 99.33 | 93.10 | -0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-27 | 99.20 | 88.27 | +1.03 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-24 | 99.56 | 87.73 | +1.25 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-23 | 99.14 | 87.14 | +1.32 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-22 | 100.15 | 87.68 | +1.42 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-21 | 100.65 | 88.89 | +1.23 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-20 | 100.13 | 87.00 | +1.62 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-17 | 100.91 | 86.87 | +1.85 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-16 | 99.75 | 87.06 | +1.55 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-15 | 99.98 | 87.39 | +1.53 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-14 | 99.83 | 88.06 | +1.33 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-13 | 97.68 | 87.24 | +1.05 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-10 | 96.75 | 87.41 | +0.78 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-09 | 97.25 | 87.52 | +0.87 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-08 | 98.82 | 88.66 | +0.95 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-07 | 99.60 | 88.51 | +1.18 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-06 | 100.25 | 88.49 | +1.35 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-03 | 101.72 | 91.04 | +1.03 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-02 | 101.71 | 90.33 | +1.22 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-01 | 102.23 | 89.62 | +1.54 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-30 | 104.33 | 90.95 | +1.69 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-29 | 104.75 | 90.07 | +2.04 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-26 | 105.59 | 89.80 | +2.34 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-25 | 104.91 | 89.33 | +2.34 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-24 | 105.51 | 90.08 | +2.31 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-23 | 105.80 | 90.47 | +2.30 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-22 | 106.08 | 90.99 | +2.25 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-19 | 107.03 | 91.09 | +2.48 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-18 | 107.50 | 91.81 | +2.42 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-17 | 107.37 | 91.98 | +2.37 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-16 | 108.52 | 92.77 | +2.45 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-15 | 108.84 | 93.79 | +2.27 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-12 | 108.84 | 94.58 | +2.07 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-11 | 109.02 | 96.84 | +1.53 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-10 | 106.40 | 93.89 | +1.70 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-09 | 106.94 | 94.92 | +1.57 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-08 | 108.13 | 98.56 | +0.91 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-05 | 107.87 | 97.82 | +1.04 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-04 | 106.00 | 96.07 | +1.06 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-03 | 104.98 | 95.35 | +1.01 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-02 | 104.62 | 94.80 | +1.08 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-29 | 104.74 | 96.09 | +0.78 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-28 | 104.91 | 96.18 | +0.81 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-27 | 105.12 | 96.50 | +0.78 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-26 | 104.94 | 96.25 | +0.81 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-25 | 105.29 | 96.39 | +0.86 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-22 | 106.29 | 97.95 | +0.70 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-21 | 102.40 | 95.57 | +0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-20 | 103.44 | 96.43 | +0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-19 | 104.85 | 96.64 | +0.71 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-18 | 101.63 | 94.25 | +0.57 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-15 | 102.83 | 95.71 | +0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-14 | 103.08 | 96.02 | +0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-13 | 104.84 | 96.87 | +0.68 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-12 | 101.96 | 94.05 | +0.72 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-11 | 99.78 | 93.13 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-08 | 99.87 | 92.50 | +0.64 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-07 | 99.43 | 91.91 | +0.69 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-06 | 99.60 | 92.12 | +0.68 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-05 | 99.24 | 92.48 | +0.51 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-04 | 98.06 | 91.36 | +0.52 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-01 | 96.21 | 90.20 | +0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-31 | 94.63 | 86.91 | +0.87 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-30 | 95.81 | 87.20 | +1.09 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-29 | 97.16 | 88.51 | +1.08 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-28 | 97.13 | 88.29 | +1.14 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-25 | 96.64 | 89.33 | +0.75 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-24 | 96.07 | 89.36 | +0.59 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-23 | 96.91 | 90.07 | +0.61 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-22 | 95.53 | 89.32 | +0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-21 | 93.74 | 89.64 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-18 | 92.54 | 89.32 | -0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-17 | 92.45 | 89.28 | -0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-16 | 92.03 | 89.27 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-15 | 92.34 | 89.05 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-14 | 95.30 | 90.48 | +0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-11 | 95.29 | 90.86 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-10 | 96.12 | 92.41 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-09 | 95.54 | 92.33 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-08 | 94.63 | 90.88 | -0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-07 | 94.66 | 90.95 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-03 | 95.70 | 92.98 | -0.50 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-07-02 | 95.75 | 92.59 | -0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-01 | 96.08 | 93.32 | -0.50 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-06-30 | 94.40 | 90.18 | -0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-27 | 94.95 | 90.80 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-26 | 93.60 | 89.79 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-25 | 93.17 | 90.25 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-24 | 92.80 | 90.80 | -0.69 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-06-23 | 91.91 | 90.29 | -0.78 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-06-20 | 90.02 | 87.59 | -0.58 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-06-18 | 89.36 | 87.06 | -0.62 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-06-17 | 89.81 | 86.95 | -0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-16 | 91.04 | 88.19 | -0.50 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-06-13 | 91.32 | 88.22 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-12 | 93.51 | 93.56 | -1.21 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-06-11 | 92.81 | 93.80 | -1.44 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-06-10 | 94.73 | 94.75 | -1.22 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-06-09 | 94.03 | 94.02 | -1.22 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-06-06 | 94.58 | 93.89 | -1.07 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-06-05 | 95.08 | 94.00 | -0.99 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-06-04 | 95.89 | 95.14 | -1.08 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-06-03 | 96.06 | 93.97 | -0.77 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-06-02 | 94.74 | 93.36 | -0.94 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-30 | 94.83 | 94.24 | -1.13 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-29 | 94.83 | 93.44 | -0.95 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-28 | 94.77 | 93.17 | -0.91 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-27 | 95.37 | 94.38 | -1.05 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-23 | 93.39 | 92.59 | -1.10 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-22 | 94.27 | 92.70 | -0.93 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-21 | 95.49 | 92.96 | -0.72 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-20 | 97.09 | 94.32 | -0.67 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-19 | 97.69 | 95.08 | -0.72 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-16 | 98.05 | 95.48 | -0.73 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-15 | 97.49 | 94.94 | -0.74 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-14 | 95.99 | 92.29 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-13 | 96.20 | 93.52 | -0.70 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-12 | 96.97 | 93.81 | -0.60 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-09 | 93.39 | 92.42 | -1.10 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-08 | 93.95 | 92.87 | -1.09 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-07 | 93.40 | 92.34 | -1.10 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-06 | 92.54 | 92.59 | -1.38 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-05 | 93.14 | 94.51 | -1.71 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-02 | 93.86 | 94.46 | -1.54 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-01 | 92.26 | 92.88 | -1.56 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-04-30 | 92.82 | 92.70 | -1.39 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-04-29 | 92.44 | 91.44 | -1.18 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-04-28 | 91.90 | 87.25 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-25 | 92.07 | 87.10 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-24 | 92.60 | 87.84 | -0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-23 | 91.77 | 87.00 | -0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-22 | 91.26 | 87.19 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-21 | 89.32 | 84.65 | -0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-17 | 91.42 | 87.56 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-16 | 89.09 | 87.01 | -0.90 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-04-15 | 91.18 | 88.48 | -0.76 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-04-14 | 91.97 | 89.57 | -0.84 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-04-11 | 91.11 | 88.45 | -0.78 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-04-10 | 91.05 | 86.65 | -0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-09 | 91.51 | 88.32 | -0.65 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-04-08 | 86.32 | 82.34 | -0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-07 | 87.93 | 84.79 | -0.63 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-04-04 | 91.12 | 87.22 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-03 | 91.64 | 89.47 | -0.92 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-04-02 | 95.50 | 92.89 | -0.84 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-04-01 | 94.12 | 92.08 | -0.98 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-31 | 94.37 | 91.72 | -0.83 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-28 | 92.22 | 89.24 | -0.74 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-27 | 93.40 | 90.79 | -0.85 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-26 | 93.24 | 90.46 | -0.81 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-25 | 92.95 | 89.61 | -0.67 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-24 | 93.67 | 90.01 | -0.60 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-21 | 90.42 | 87.83 | -0.86 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-20 | 91.54 | 88.26 | -0.69 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-19 | 91.00 | 87.97 | -0.76 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-18 | 90.01 | 88.13 | -1.06 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-17 | 91.18 | 89.89 | -1.23 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-14 | 90.46 | 89.77 | -1.39 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-13 | 89.41 | 89.85 | -1.70 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-12 | 93.91 | 91.88 | -1.08 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-11 | 94.80 | 92.72 | -1.08 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-10 | 96.47 | 93.97 | -0.99 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-07 | 97.02 | 95.51 | -1.25 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-06 | 98.29 | 94.58 | -0.72 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-05 | 99.48 | 95.16 | -0.59 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-04 | 98.28 | 93.32 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-03 | 100.34 | 93.70 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-28 | 102.12 | 95.15 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-27 | 100.49 | 93.38 | +0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-26 | 100.54 | 94.45 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-25 | 101.27 | 92.72 | +0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-24 | 98.47 | 90.32 | +0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-21 | 99.21 | 90.50 | +0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-20 | 101.61 | 91.93 | +0.67 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-19 | 101.82 | 92.41 | +0.59 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-18 | 103.85 | 92.71 | +0.97 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-14 | 105.44 | 93.73 | +1.06 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-13 | 106.20 | 94.85 | +0.95 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-12 | 104.83 | 93.37 | +1.01 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-11 | 107.21 | 94.92 | +1.14 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-10 | 106.60 | 94.33 | +1.15 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-07 | 104.89 | 94.70 | +0.69 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-06 | 106.64 | 95.93 | +0.77 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-05 | 106.55 | 95.73 | +0.79 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-04 | 105.95 | 93.92 | +1.09 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-03 | 105.25 | 93.94 | +0.94 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-31 | 106.08 | 94.07 | +1.08 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-30 | 106.73 | 96.01 | +0.76 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-29 | 106.45 | 94.66 | +1.01 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-28 | 107.84 | 95.65 | +1.07 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-27 | 109.40 | 95.65 | +1.39 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-24 | 106.73 | 94.59 | +1.09 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-23 | 106.70 | 94.85 | +1.02 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-22 | 105.60 | 93.96 | +0.99 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-21 | 107.74 | 94.95 | +1.20 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-17 | 105.41 | 92.97 | +1.18 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-16 | 105.40 | 93.02 | +1.15 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-15 | 104.56 | 91.12 | +1.43 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-14 | 101.14 | 89.73 | +1.03 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-13 | 100.21 | 88.28 | +1.17 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-10 | 100.39 | 86.72 | +1.61 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-08 | 99.70 | 88.66 | +0.97 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-07 | 98.93 | 87.83 | +1.01 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-06 | 100.26 | 88.73 | +1.08 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-03 | 100.21 | 88.39 | +1.15 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-02 | 100.02 | 87.51 | +1.34 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-31 | 100.16 | 89.28 | +0.93 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-30 | 100.27 | 88.97 | +1.04 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-27 | 101.16 | 90.17 | +0.94 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-26 | 101.74 | 90.75 | +0.93 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-24 | 102.00 | 91.01 | +0.92 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-23 | 101.05 | 90.57 | +0.82 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-20 | 101.09 | 90.74 | +0.79 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-19 | 99.14 | 89.93 | +0.56 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-18 | 101.40 | 91.58 | +0.65 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-17 | 105.18 | 95.29 | +0.58 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-16 | 105.75 | 95.88 | +0.56 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-13 | 107.37 | 95.74 | +0.93 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-12 | 106.71 | 96.35 | +0.65 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-11 | 108.50 | 97.69 | +0.72 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-10 | 108.81 | 97.60 | +0.80 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-09 | 110.51 | 98.88 | +0.86 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-06 | 111.07 | 101.11 | +0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-05 | 109.83 | 101.18 | +0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-04 | 110.18 | 102.98 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-03 | 110.55 | 103.83 | -0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-02 | 109.94 | 103.90 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-29 | 110.50 | 104.38 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-27 | 110.00 | 103.47 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-26 | 110.60 | 104.05 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-25 | 110.38 | 104.99 | -0.51 | SHW ahead |
| 2024-11-22 | 108.14 | 101.99 | -0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-21 | 105.69 | 100.68 | -0.56 | SHW ahead |
| 2024-11-20 | 102.99 | 97.62 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-19 | 104.75 | 98.10 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-18 | 105.68 | 98.59 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-15 | 105.10 | 99.54 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-14 | 104.47 | 102.03 | -1.12 | SHW ahead |
| 2024-11-13 | 105.62 | 101.72 | -0.82 | SHW ahead |
| 2024-11-12 | 103.79 | 100.77 | -1.01 | SHW ahead |
| 2024-11-11 | 105.13 | 102.24 | -1.05 | SHW ahead |
| 2024-11-08 | 104.51 | 101.56 | -1.04 | SHW ahead |
| 2024-11-07 | 102.85 | 100.86 | -1.25 | SHW ahead |
| 2024-11-06 | 100.00 | 100.00 | -1.69 | SHW ahead |
One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Oct 28, 2025 (HD +0.1%, SHW +5.5%); Nov 18, 2025 (HD -6.0%, SHW -0.9%); Jul 28, 2026 (HD +2.5%, SHW +8.3%). Upcoming earnings: HD Nov 17, 2026 (pre-market).
Paired trades
The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart
Forward paper record
No paper position on this pair yet.
Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)
1 simulated trade to Nov 3, 2026: -9.35% per trade on average after costs, 0 won.
| Legs | Entered | Exited | Why | Days | Before costs | Costs + borrow | After costs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long HD · Short SHW | Jul 14, 2023 | Mar 12, 2024 | divergence stop | 242 | -$960.59 | -$70.61 | -$935.44 (-9.35%) |
Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.
The companies
HD and SHW at a glance
HD The Home Depot Inc.
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 354950
- Industry
- RETAIL: Building Materials · SIC 5211 Retail-Lumber & Other Building Materials Dealers
- Market value
- $332.9B
- Price history
- 2,534 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Nov 10, 2026
SHW The Sherwin-Williams Company
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 89800
- Industry
- RETAIL: Building Materials · SIC 5200 Retail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden Supply
- Market value
- $82.4B
- Price history
- 2,534 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Nov 10, 2026
Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.
Related
All pairs →Other rivals of HD and SHW
| Pair | Status | Ahead now | Industry |
|---|---|---|---|
| SHW / FAST | Watchlist | FAST by 1.29 sd | SIC 5200 Retail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden Supply |
| SHW / TSCO | Watchlist | SHW by 0.56 sd | SIC 5200 Retail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden Supply |
| LOW / SHW | Watchlist | SHW by 0.48 sd | RETAIL: Building Materials |
| HD / LOW | Watchlist | HD by 0.37 sd | RETAIL: Building Materials |
Follow the research behind the paper book
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Explore the private betaPaper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.
