The Home Depot Inc. vs Lowe's Companies Inc.
WatchlistHD / LOWReel example: Home Depot and Lowe's.Prices through Nov 10, 2026
Why these are rivals: #1 and #2 by market value ($333B vs $120B) in Nasdaq's "RETAIL: Building Materials" industry; SEC SIC 5211 / 5211 (same major group); #1 and #2 by market value ($333B vs $120B) with SEC SIC 5211 (Retail-Lumber & Other Building Materials Dealers).
Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.55 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Business leadership
HD is the larger business
Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.
| Year | HD | LOW | Larger |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $164.7B | $86.3B | HD |
| 2024 | $159.5B | $83.7B | HD |
| 2023 | $152.7B | $86.4B | HD |
| 2022 | $157.4B | $97.1B | HD |
| 2021 | $151.2B | $96.3B | HD |
| 2020 | $132.1B | $89.6B | HD |
HD led in every year with figures for both. Market value: HD $332.9B, LOW $119.7B.
Stock leadership
HD is ahead now
Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.
HD leads LOW by 0.37 standard deviations: +2.2% over its usual price ratio. 1 lead switch in the last year.
| Price change | 3 mo | 6 mo | 12 mo |
|---|---|---|---|
| HD | +2.2% | +13.1% | -5.4% |
| LOW | +7.4% | +3.3% | -0.6% |
Relationship
Not a measured twin today
Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.
- Pass
- Aligned sessions: 2534 (needs >= 254)
- Pass
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.90 (needs >= 0.60)
- Fail
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.55 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
- Pass
- Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 55.33 (needs <= 63)
- Data
- Both stocks current
The twins over two years
Prices side by side, and the gap between them
HD The Home Depot Inc. LOW Lowe's Companies Inc.Price index, 100 = 2024-11-06. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
Spread z-score: HD relative to LOW, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: HD ahead; below 0: LOW ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
Data table (504 sessions)
| Date | HD index | LOW index | z | Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-10 | 90.38 | 88.59 | +0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-11-09 | 91.00 | 88.68 | +0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-11-06 | 88.44 | 85.79 | +0.54 | HD ahead |
| 2026-11-05 | 90.10 | 86.82 | +0.65 | HD ahead |
| 2026-11-04 | 91.52 | 87.64 | +0.75 | HD ahead |
| 2026-11-03 | 85.91 | 81.53 | +0.90 | HD ahead |
| 2026-11-02 | 87.84 | 83.35 | +0.90 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-30 | 84.76 | 79.88 | +1.01 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-29 | 84.71 | 79.20 | +1.15 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-28 | 81.77 | 75.80 | +1.29 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-27 | 82.01 | 75.72 | +1.36 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-26 | 82.24 | 75.73 | +1.41 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-23 | 82.35 | 75.91 | +1.39 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-22 | 84.39 | 78.08 | +1.33 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-21 | 80.89 | 75.10 | +1.27 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-20 | 81.14 | 75.85 | +1.15 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-19 | 79.79 | 74.86 | +1.09 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-16 | 79.73 | 75.41 | +0.95 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-15 | 79.37 | 74.78 | +1.02 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-14 | 76.09 | 71.95 | +0.95 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-13 | 75.68 | 72.11 | +0.82 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-12 | 74.83 | 70.90 | +0.91 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-09 | 74.86 | 71.07 | +0.87 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-08 | 76.08 | 72.15 | +0.88 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-07 | 73.58 | 69.36 | +0.98 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-06 | 73.82 | 70.18 | +0.84 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-05 | 72.39 | 68.58 | +0.89 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-02 | 72.83 | 69.08 | +0.87 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-01 | 72.73 | 69.68 | +0.70 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-30 | 73.25 | 70.41 | +0.64 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-29 | 74.17 | 71.55 | +0.58 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-28 | 74.64 | 71.70 | +0.65 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-25 | 75.50 | 72.32 | +0.69 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-24 | 75.23 | 72.02 | +0.70 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-23 | 76.40 | 73.11 | +0.70 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-22 | 78.62 | 74.92 | +0.77 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-21 | 76.52 | 72.97 | +0.76 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-18 | 77.24 | 73.55 | +0.78 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-17 | 77.89 | 74.19 | +0.77 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-16 | 77.88 | 74.16 | +0.78 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-15 | 78.66 | 74.36 | +0.90 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-14 | 80.04 | 75.72 | +0.89 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-11 | 79.50 | 75.20 | +0.89 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-10 | 78.71 | 75.11 | +0.75 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-09 | 79.94 | 75.88 | +0.84 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-08 | 80.77 | 76.72 | +0.83 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-04 | 82.67 | 78.11 | +0.91 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-03 | 81.90 | 77.14 | +0.97 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-02 | 82.01 | 76.35 | +1.16 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-01 | 82.34 | 76.43 | +1.21 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-31 | 84.41 | 78.21 | +1.24 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-28 | 85.02 | 79.49 | +1.09 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-27 | 84.61 | 78.99 | +1.12 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-26 | 86.22 | 80.37 | +1.14 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-25 | 87.00 | 81.99 | +0.97 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-24 | 86.88 | 82.90 | +0.76 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-21 | 86.42 | 82.56 | +0.74 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-20 | 86.13 | 83.04 | +0.59 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-19 | 88.65 | 84.06 | +0.86 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-18 | 86.90 | 82.39 | +0.86 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-17 | 87.00 | 82.46 | +0.87 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-14 | 87.25 | 83.47 | +0.71 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-13 | 87.98 | 83.38 | +0.86 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-12 | 88.43 | 82.52 | +1.11 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-11 | 91.27 | 84.53 | +1.23 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-10 | 90.32 | 83.63 | +1.23 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-07 | 91.57 | 85.34 | +1.13 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-06 | 90.00 | 83.44 | +1.21 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-05 | 90.93 | 84.03 | +1.26 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-04 | 89.67 | 83.32 | +1.16 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-03 | 87.55 | 81.02 | +1.22 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-31 | 85.48 | 79.40 | +1.16 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-30 | 85.83 | 80.27 | +1.05 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-29 | 87.10 | 82.41 | +0.85 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-28 | 88.70 | 83.38 | +0.95 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-27 | 86.54 | 80.83 | +1.05 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-24 | 85.74 | 79.33 | +1.19 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-23 | 83.61 | 77.15 | +1.23 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-22 | 85.34 | 78.08 | +1.36 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-21 | 85.38 | 77.76 | +1.44 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-20 | 85.75 | 78.21 | +1.41 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-17 | 87.25 | 79.75 | +1.37 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-16 | 89.61 | 82.59 | +1.24 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-15 | 87.92 | 80.11 | +1.41 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-14 | 86.96 | 79.35 | +1.39 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-13 | 86.80 | 79.36 | +1.35 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-10 | 88.40 | 80.86 | +1.34 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-09 | 87.22 | 81.38 | +1.03 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-08 | 86.57 | 81.32 | +0.92 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-07 | 88.89 | 84.40 | +0.75 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-06 | 90.29 | 85.50 | +0.78 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-02 | 92.15 | 86.92 | +0.84 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-01 | 90.34 | 84.79 | +0.91 | HD ahead |
| 2026-06-30 | 90.81 | 84.24 | +1.09 | HD ahead |
| 2026-06-29 | 90.33 | 83.92 | +1.06 | HD ahead |
| 2026-06-26 | 89.83 | 85.00 | +0.77 | HD ahead |
| 2026-06-25 | 88.83 | 84.79 | +0.64 | HD ahead |
| 2026-06-24 | 88.28 | 84.61 | +0.57 | HD ahead |
| 2026-06-23 | 83.54 | 81.59 | +0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-22 | 84.10 | 81.92 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-18 | 86.07 | 84.90 | +0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-17 | 84.32 | 83.01 | +0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-16 | 86.80 | 85.59 | +0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-15 | 84.92 | 84.13 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-12 | 84.56 | 84.35 | -0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-11 | 83.94 | 84.46 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-10 | 82.12 | 82.60 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-09 | 82.74 | 83.05 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-08 | 79.75 | 79.46 | -0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-05 | 80.02 | 80.52 | -0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-04 | 79.81 | 79.29 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-03 | 80.59 | 79.34 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-02 | 80.21 | 78.95 | +0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-01 | 80.00 | 79.36 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-29 | 81.66 | 81.90 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-28 | 82.71 | 83.26 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-27 | 81.84 | 82.85 | -0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-26 | 79.96 | 81.03 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-22 | 80.61 | 82.16 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-21 | 80.79 | 83.07 | -0.57 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-05-20 | 79.97 | 84.46 | -0.96 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-05-19 | 77.87 | 83.43 | -1.17 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-05-18 | 77.20 | 83.30 | -1.28 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-05-15 | 76.60 | 83.45 | -1.43 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-05-14 | 78.37 | 85.44 | -1.45 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-05-13 | 77.90 | 84.23 | -1.35 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-05-12 | 79.94 | 85.78 | -1.25 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-05-11 | 80.18 | 86.37 | -1.31 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-05-08 | 81.74 | 87.57 | -1.25 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-05-07 | 83.08 | 88.21 | -1.13 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-05-06 | 83.18 | 89.16 | -1.27 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-05-05 | 81.22 | 86.05 | -1.12 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-05-04 | 80.44 | 85.48 | -1.17 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-05-01 | 83.39 | 89.15 | -1.26 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-30 | 84.66 | 91.24 | -1.39 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-29 | 83.12 | 89.21 | -1.35 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-28 | 84.73 | 91.82 | -1.50 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-27 | 85.56 | 92.67 | -1.50 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-24 | 86.49 | 93.40 | -1.47 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-23 | 87.59 | 94.20 | -1.43 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-22 | 87.42 | 93.68 | -1.39 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-21 | 88.55 | 95.97 | -1.57 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-20 | 90.38 | 96.78 | -1.40 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-17 | 89.97 | 96.18 | -1.39 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-16 | 86.81 | 92.62 | -1.37 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-15 | 87.26 | 93.22 | -1.40 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-14 | 88.24 | 94.92 | -1.52 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-13 | 87.84 | 94.40 | -1.52 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-10 | 86.86 | 93.31 | -1.53 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-09 | 87.44 | 94.68 | -1.67 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-08 | 86.56 | 93.10 | -1.58 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-07 | 82.08 | 88.49 | -1.63 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-06 | 84.11 | 89.86 | -1.51 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-02 | 82.82 | 88.27 | -1.48 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-01 | 84.86 | 90.16 | -1.45 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-31 | 84.68 | 90.28 | -1.51 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-30 | 83.30 | 88.86 | -1.54 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-27 | 82.82 | 88.00 | -1.49 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-26 | 84.57 | 90.18 | -1.56 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-25 | 85.62 | 90.24 | -1.39 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-24 | 85.20 | 89.57 | -1.36 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-23 | 85.20 | 89.50 | -1.36 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-20 | 82.59 | 85.83 | -1.20 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-19 | 84.51 | 87.77 | -1.20 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-18 | 85.21 | 88.29 | -1.17 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-17 | 87.91 | 91.59 | -1.27 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-16 | 88.21 | 92.50 | -1.38 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-13 | 87.30 | 90.78 | -1.26 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-12 | 87.27 | 91.49 | -1.40 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-11 | 90.34 | 94.33 | -1.35 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-10 | 91.96 | 95.94 | -1.34 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-09 | 91.04 | 95.60 | -1.46 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-06 | 92.16 | 96.24 | -1.38 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-05 | 93.13 | 97.32 | -1.41 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-04 | 95.04 | 98.81 | -1.33 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-03 | 94.48 | 98.46 | -1.38 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-02 | 95.48 | 98.26 | -1.19 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-27 | 98.03 | 101.09 | -1.23 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-26 | 96.58 | 101.02 | -1.48 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-25 | 96.70 | 100.49 | -1.38 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-24 | 99.00 | 106.44 | -1.97 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-23 | 97.07 | 104.83 | -2.07 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-20 | 98.42 | 107.12 | -2.24 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-19 | 97.48 | 106.29 | -2.30 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-18 | 98.75 | 107.79 | -2.36 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-17 | 98.63 | 107.42 | -2.35 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-13 | 100.69 | 109.80 | -2.41 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-12 | 100.48 | 109.09 | -2.37 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-11 | 100.59 | 109.67 | -2.48 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-10 | 100.34 | 108.76 | -2.42 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-09 | 98.10 | 105.79 | -2.36 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-06 | 99.17 | 106.36 | -2.29 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-05 | 98.46 | 105.03 | -2.22 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-04 | 99.70 | 105.39 | -2.08 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-03 | 98.13 | 105.01 | -2.34 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-02 | 97.36 | 102.80 | -2.11 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-30 | 96.45 | 102.04 | -2.18 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-29 | 95.74 | 101.88 | -2.33 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-28 | 96.63 | 102.94 | -2.38 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-27 | 97.94 | 104.67 | -2.49 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-26 | 99.53 | 106.18 | -2.50 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-23 | 98.82 | 105.73 | -2.60 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-22 | 98.11 | 105.05 | -2.66 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-21 | 99.04 | 105.88 | -2.68 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-20 | 96.59 | 102.55 | -2.57 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-16 | 97.89 | 106.04 | -3.08 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-15 | 97.63 | 105.84 | -3.17 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-14 | 96.80 | 105.05 | -3.27 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-13 | 97.78 | 104.78 | -3.05 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-12 | 96.54 | 103.50 | -3.13 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-09 | 96.46 | 102.09 | -2.87 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-08 | 92.58 | 97.89 | -2.91 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-07 | 89.88 | 94.42 | -2.80 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-06 | 89.94 | 94.18 | -2.77 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-05 | 88.60 | 93.51 | -3.04 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-02 | 89.04 | 94.33 | -3.21 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-31 | 88.60 | 92.14 | -2.78 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-30 | 89.18 | 92.91 | -2.88 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-29 | 89.46 | 93.16 | -2.93 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-26 | 90.06 | 93.41 | -2.88 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-24 | 89.44 | 92.84 | -2.96 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-23 | 88.83 | 92.52 | -3.13 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-22 | 89.19 | 92.49 | -3.06 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-19 | 88.83 | 91.87 | -3.05 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-18 | 91.41 | 94.64 | -3.16 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-17 | 91.86 | 94.74 | -3.11 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-16 | 90.81 | 94.17 | -3.36 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-15 | 91.92 | 95.05 | -3.36 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-12 | 92.60 | 94.48 | -2.98 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-11 | 92.04 | 94.78 | -3.37 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-10 | 90.41 | 94.07 | -3.84 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-09 | 88.90 | 92.72 | -4.06 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-08 | 90.10 | 93.54 | -4.04 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-05 | 91.31 | 94.93 | -4.24 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-04 | 90.42 | 94.05 | -4.44 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-03 | 92.16 | 94.35 | -3.93 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-02 | 91.16 | 92.91 | -3.86 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-01 | 92.01 | 94.14 | -4.17 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-11-28 | 91.90 | 92.65 | -3.61 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-11-26 | 91.53 | 92.31 | -3.74 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-11-25 | 90.40 | 90.97 | -3.74 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-11-24 | 86.66 | 87.40 | -3.92 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-11-21 | 88.40 | 89.52 | -4.27 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-11-20 | 85.58 | 87.28 | -4.75 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-11-19 | 86.13 | 87.27 | -4.55 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-11-18 | 86.64 | 83.89 | -2.14 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-11-17 | 92.19 | 85.97 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-14 | 93.30 | 87.06 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-13 | 94.77 | 88.44 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-12 | 95.56 | 89.67 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-11 | 96.36 | 89.92 | -0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-10 | 95.38 | 89.03 | -0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-07 | 95.56 | 89.08 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-06 | 95.03 | 88.39 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-05 | 96.26 | 89.54 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-04 | 98.64 | 90.84 | +0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-03 | 97.42 | 90.03 | +0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-31 | 97.74 | 90.98 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-30 | 97.73 | 91.63 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-29 | 97.34 | 91.12 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-28 | 99.33 | 93.25 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-27 | 99.20 | 93.09 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-24 | 99.56 | 92.73 | +0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-23 | 99.14 | 93.18 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-22 | 100.15 | 93.05 | +0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-21 | 100.65 | 93.71 | +0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-20 | 100.13 | 92.56 | +0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-17 | 100.91 | 93.49 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-16 | 99.75 | 92.88 | +0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-15 | 99.98 | 92.28 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-14 | 99.83 | 91.98 | +0.52 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-13 | 97.68 | 89.59 | +0.69 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-10 | 96.75 | 88.73 | +0.70 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-09 | 97.25 | 89.66 | +0.52 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-08 | 98.82 | 90.78 | +0.65 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-07 | 99.60 | 91.66 | +0.60 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-06 | 100.25 | 92.34 | +0.57 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-03 | 101.72 | 94.12 | +0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-02 | 101.71 | 94.50 | +0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-01 | 102.23 | 94.75 | +0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-30 | 104.33 | 96.02 | +0.62 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-29 | 104.75 | 96.79 | +0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-26 | 105.59 | 98.24 | +0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-25 | 104.91 | 97.63 | +0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-24 | 105.51 | 98.32 | +0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-23 | 105.80 | 99.27 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-22 | 106.08 | 99.49 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-19 | 107.03 | 101.33 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-18 | 107.50 | 102.23 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-17 | 107.37 | 102.38 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-16 | 108.52 | 103.36 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-15 | 108.84 | 103.96 | -0.50 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-09-12 | 108.84 | 103.86 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-11 | 109.02 | 104.08 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-10 | 106.40 | 101.84 | -0.54 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-09-09 | 106.94 | 102.79 | -0.66 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-09-08 | 108.13 | 104.31 | -0.76 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-09-05 | 107.87 | 103.15 | -0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-04 | 106.00 | 101.09 | -0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-03 | 104.98 | 99.60 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-02 | 104.62 | 98.86 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-29 | 104.74 | 98.60 | +0.00 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-28 | 104.91 | 98.40 | +0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-27 | 105.12 | 98.83 | +0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-26 | 104.94 | 98.70 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-25 | 105.29 | 98.91 | +0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-22 | 106.29 | 100.76 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-21 | 102.40 | 97.68 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-20 | 103.44 | 98.25 | -0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-19 | 104.85 | 97.95 | +0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-18 | 101.63 | 95.86 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-15 | 102.83 | 96.31 | +0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-14 | 103.08 | 96.68 | +0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-13 | 104.84 | 97.94 | +0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-12 | 101.96 | 93.56 | +0.79 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-11 | 99.78 | 91.64 | +0.77 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-08 | 99.87 | 92.14 | +0.65 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-07 | 99.43 | 91.15 | +0.84 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-06 | 99.60 | 91.04 | +0.92 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-05 | 99.24 | 90.73 | +0.92 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-04 | 98.06 | 89.33 | +1.03 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-01 | 96.21 | 86.50 | +1.40 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-31 | 94.63 | 85.42 | +1.30 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-30 | 95.81 | 86.89 | +1.18 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-29 | 97.16 | 87.89 | +1.26 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-28 | 97.13 | 87.87 | +1.27 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-25 | 96.64 | 86.65 | +1.53 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-24 | 96.07 | 86.18 | +1.53 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-23 | 96.91 | 87.35 | +1.41 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-22 | 95.53 | 86.67 | +1.24 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-21 | 93.74 | 84.40 | +1.46 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-18 | 92.54 | 83.74 | +1.34 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-17 | 92.45 | 83.51 | +1.40 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-16 | 92.03 | 82.76 | +1.54 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-15 | 92.34 | 82.15 | +1.86 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-14 | 95.30 | 84.97 | +1.82 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-11 | 95.29 | 85.63 | +1.61 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-10 | 96.12 | 87.08 | +1.39 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-09 | 95.54 | 86.18 | +1.52 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-08 | 94.63 | 85.46 | +1.50 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-07 | 94.66 | 85.96 | +1.35 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-03 | 95.70 | 87.23 | +1.25 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-02 | 95.75 | 86.71 | +1.45 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-01 | 96.08 | 87.36 | +1.35 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-30 | 94.40 | 84.77 | +1.73 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-27 | 94.95 | 85.44 | +1.68 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-26 | 93.60 | 84.53 | +1.59 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-25 | 93.17 | 84.32 | +1.54 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-24 | 92.80 | 84.05 | +1.53 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-23 | 91.91 | 83.51 | +1.45 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-20 | 90.02 | 81.29 | +1.65 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-18 | 89.36 | 80.55 | +1.72 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-17 | 89.81 | 80.97 | +1.73 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-16 | 91.04 | 82.56 | +1.57 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-13 | 91.32 | 83.01 | +1.51 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-12 | 93.51 | 85.39 | +1.38 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-11 | 92.81 | 84.67 | +1.43 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-10 | 94.73 | 85.92 | +1.62 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-09 | 94.03 | 85.44 | +1.58 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-06 | 94.58 | 86.07 | +1.55 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-05 | 95.08 | 86.96 | +1.40 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-04 | 95.89 | 87.26 | +1.57 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-03 | 96.06 | 87.42 | +1.59 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-02 | 94.74 | 86.17 | +1.63 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-30 | 94.83 | 86.25 | +1.64 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-29 | 94.83 | 85.94 | +1.77 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-28 | 94.77 | 85.78 | +1.83 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-27 | 95.37 | 86.28 | +1.87 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-23 | 93.39 | 84.46 | +1.90 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-22 | 94.27 | 85.49 | +1.83 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-21 | 95.49 | 86.87 | +1.74 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-20 | 97.09 | 88.35 | +1.74 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-19 | 97.69 | 89.57 | +1.51 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-16 | 98.05 | 89.49 | +1.67 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-15 | 97.49 | 88.81 | +1.75 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-14 | 95.99 | 87.31 | +1.82 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-13 | 96.20 | 88.17 | +1.58 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-12 | 96.97 | 88.94 | +1.56 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-09 | 93.39 | 84.92 | +1.87 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-08 | 93.95 | 85.77 | +1.75 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-07 | 93.40 | 85.40 | +1.72 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-06 | 92.54 | 85.21 | +1.49 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-05 | 93.14 | 86.04 | +1.40 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-02 | 93.86 | 86.80 | +1.37 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-01 | 92.26 | 84.94 | +1.52 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-30 | 92.82 | 85.42 | +1.55 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-29 | 92.44 | 85.31 | +1.47 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-28 | 91.90 | 84.50 | +1.60 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-25 | 92.07 | 84.40 | +1.71 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-24 | 92.60 | 84.84 | +1.74 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-23 | 91.77 | 83.20 | +2.10 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-22 | 91.26 | 83.70 | +1.74 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-21 | 89.32 | 81.29 | +2.01 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-17 | 91.42 | 83.67 | +1.84 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-16 | 89.09 | 81.92 | +1.70 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-15 | 91.18 | 84.25 | +1.56 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-14 | 91.97 | 85.64 | +1.32 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-11 | 91.11 | 84.19 | +1.58 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-10 | 91.05 | 84.51 | +1.45 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-09 | 91.51 | 85.28 | +1.33 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-08 | 86.32 | 80.88 | +1.16 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-07 | 87.93 | 82.89 | +0.96 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-04 | 91.12 | 85.31 | +1.20 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-03 | 91.64 | 85.02 | +1.52 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-02 | 95.50 | 89.89 | +1.04 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-01 | 94.12 | 89.41 | +0.74 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-31 | 94.37 | 89.11 | +0.95 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-28 | 92.22 | 87.27 | +0.88 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-27 | 93.40 | 88.71 | +0.76 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-26 | 93.24 | 88.66 | +0.73 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-25 | 92.95 | 88.14 | +0.83 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-24 | 93.67 | 88.98 | +0.77 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-21 | 90.42 | 86.76 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-20 | 91.54 | 86.45 | +0.98 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-19 | 91.00 | 86.16 | +0.90 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-18 | 90.01 | 85.18 | +0.92 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-17 | 91.18 | 86.29 | +0.92 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-14 | 90.46 | 85.75 | +0.87 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-13 | 89.41 | 85.07 | +0.74 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-12 | 93.91 | 87.24 | +1.57 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-11 | 94.80 | 88.90 | +1.25 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-10 | 96.47 | 92.61 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-07 | 97.02 | 92.71 | +0.60 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-06 | 98.29 | 93.03 | +0.93 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-05 | 99.48 | 92.83 | +1.42 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-04 | 98.28 | 91.64 | +1.44 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-03 | 100.34 | 94.05 | +1.27 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-28 | 102.12 | 95.00 | +1.52 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-27 | 100.49 | 93.80 | +1.40 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-26 | 100.54 | 94.40 | +1.20 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-25 | 101.27 | 92.61 | +2.10 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-24 | 98.47 | 90.58 | +1.91 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-21 | 99.21 | 91.38 | +1.86 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-20 | 101.61 | 94.15 | +1.66 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-19 | 101.82 | 94.25 | +1.70 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-18 | 103.85 | 95.79 | +1.83 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-14 | 105.44 | 96.20 | +2.23 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-13 | 106.20 | 96.53 | +2.37 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-12 | 104.83 | 95.62 | +2.25 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-11 | 107.21 | 98.20 | +2.09 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-10 | 106.60 | 97.98 | +1.96 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-07 | 104.89 | 96.26 | +2.01 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-06 | 106.64 | 98.17 | +1.89 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-05 | 106.55 | 98.75 | +1.65 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-04 | 105.95 | 98.28 | +1.61 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-03 | 105.25 | 98.00 | +1.46 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-31 | 106.08 | 99.35 | +1.24 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-30 | 106.73 | 100.87 | +0.91 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-29 | 106.45 | 100.00 | +1.09 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-28 | 107.84 | 101.02 | +1.16 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-27 | 109.40 | 102.56 | +1.12 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-24 | 106.73 | 100.18 | +1.07 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-23 | 106.70 | 99.84 | +1.16 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-22 | 105.60 | 98.57 | +1.22 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-21 | 107.74 | 101.00 | +1.08 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-17 | 105.41 | 99.74 | +0.78 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-16 | 105.40 | 98.87 | +1.03 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-15 | 104.56 | 98.09 | +1.03 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-14 | 101.14 | 95.97 | +0.67 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-13 | 100.21 | 95.01 | +0.69 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-10 | 100.39 | 94.72 | +0.83 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-08 | 99.70 | 94.33 | +0.75 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-07 | 98.93 | 94.21 | +0.55 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-06 | 100.26 | 95.42 | +0.56 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-03 | 100.21 | 94.94 | +0.69 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-02 | 100.02 | 94.36 | +0.81 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-31 | 100.16 | 94.30 | +0.88 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-30 | 100.27 | 94.27 | +0.92 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-27 | 101.16 | 94.88 | +0.99 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-26 | 101.74 | 95.30 | +1.03 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-24 | 102.00 | 95.60 | +1.02 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-23 | 101.05 | 94.51 | +1.08 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-20 | 101.09 | 94.65 | +1.06 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-19 | 99.14 | 93.42 | +0.86 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-18 | 101.40 | 95.45 | +0.90 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-17 | 105.18 | 98.48 | +1.06 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-16 | 105.75 | 99.38 | +0.95 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-13 | 107.37 | 100.25 | +1.14 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-12 | 106.71 | 100.68 | +0.83 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-11 | 108.50 | 102.36 | +0.83 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-10 | 108.81 | 103.20 | +0.67 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-09 | 110.51 | 104.75 | +0.69 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-06 | 111.07 | 104.47 | +0.92 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-05 | 109.83 | 103.19 | +0.95 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-04 | 110.18 | 104.03 | +0.81 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-03 | 110.55 | 104.84 | +0.68 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-02 | 109.94 | 103.94 | +0.77 | HD ahead |
| 2024-11-29 | 110.50 | 104.09 | +0.88 | HD ahead |
| 2024-11-27 | 110.00 | 104.38 | +0.66 | HD ahead |
| 2024-11-26 | 110.60 | 104.87 | +0.68 | HD ahead |
| 2024-11-25 | 110.38 | 105.19 | +0.53 | HD ahead |
| 2024-11-22 | 108.14 | 101.13 | +1.10 | HD ahead |
| 2024-11-21 | 105.69 | 101.33 | +0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-20 | 102.99 | 100.50 | -0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-19 | 104.75 | 99.06 | +0.77 | HD ahead |
| 2024-11-18 | 105.68 | 103.84 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-15 | 105.10 | 102.93 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-14 | 104.47 | 103.29 | -0.55 | LOW ahead |
| 2024-11-13 | 105.62 | 104.05 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-12 | 103.79 | 103.12 | -0.69 | LOW ahead |
| 2024-11-11 | 105.13 | 104.88 | -0.82 | LOW ahead |
| 2024-11-08 | 104.51 | 103.58 | -0.62 | LOW ahead |
| 2024-11-07 | 102.85 | 101.75 | -0.57 | LOW ahead |
| 2024-11-06 | 100.00 | 100.00 | -0.89 | LOW ahead |
One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Nov 19, 2024 (HD -0.9%, LOW -4.6%); Nov 20, 2024 (HD -1.7%, LOW +1.4%); Nov 18, 2025 (HD -6.0%, LOW -2.4%); Nov 19, 2025 (HD -0.6%, LOW +4.0%); Feb 25, 2026 (HD -2.3%, LOW -5.6%). Upcoming earnings: HD Nov 17, 2026 (pre-market); LOW Nov 18, 2026 (pre-market).
Paired trades
The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart
Forward paper record
No paper position on this pair yet.
Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)
1 simulated trade to Nov 3, 2026: -6.22% per trade on average after costs, 0 won.
| Legs | Entered | Exited | Why | Days | Before costs | Costs + borrow | After costs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long HD · Short LOW | Jan 14, 2022 | Feb 23, 2022 | divergence stop | 40 | -$600.26 | -$27.69 | -$622.12 (-6.22%) |
Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.
The companies
HD and LOW at a glance
HD The Home Depot Inc.
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 354950
- Industry
- RETAIL: Building Materials · SIC 5211 Retail-Lumber & Other Building Materials Dealers
- Market value
- $332.9B
- Price history
- 2,534 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Nov 10, 2026
LOW Lowe's Companies Inc.
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 60667
- Industry
- RETAIL: Building Materials · SIC 5211 Retail-Lumber & Other Building Materials Dealers
- Market value
- $119.7B
- Price history
- 2,534 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Nov 10, 2026
Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.
Related
All pairs →Other rivals of HD and LOW
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Explore the private betaPaper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.
