NVIDIA Corporation vs Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd.
WatchlistNVDA / TSMPrices through Nov 10, 2026
Why these are rivals: #1 and #2 by market value ($4981B vs $2099B) in Nasdaq's "Semiconductors" industry; SEC SIC 3674 / 3674 (same major group); #1 and #2 by market value ($4981B vs $2099B) with SEC SIC 3674 (Semiconductors & Related Devices).
Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.47 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Business leadership
Business size
Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.
| Year | NVDA | TSM | Larger |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $215.9B | - | - |
| 2024 | $130.5B | - | - |
| 2023 | $60.9B | - | - |
| 2022 | $27.0B | - | - |
| 2021 | $26.9B | - | - |
| 2020 | $16.7B | - | - |
Market value: NVDA $4.98T, TSM $2.10T.
Stock leadership
TSM is ahead now
Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.
TSM leads NVDA by 2.39 standard deviations: +24.3% over its usual price ratio. 0 lead switches in the last year.
| Price change | 3 mo | 6 mo | 12 mo |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | -24.6% | -23.5% | -10.2% |
| TSM | -7.6% | -0.2% | +38.4% |
Relationship
Not a measured twin today
Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.
- Pass
- Aligned sessions: 2534 (needs >= 254)
- Pass
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.68 (needs >= 0.60)
- Fail
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.47 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
- Pass
- Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 21.33 (needs <= 63)
- Data
- Both stocks current
The twins over two years
Prices side by side, and the gap between them
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd.Price index, 100 = 2024-11-06. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
Spread z-score: NVDA relative to TSM, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: NVDA ahead; below 0: TSM ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
Data table (504 sessions)
| Date | NVDA index | TSM index | z | Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-10 | 115.99 | 205.20 | -2.39 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-11-09 | 122.70 | 201.13 | -1.56 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-11-06 | 128.18 | 194.31 | -0.71 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-11-05 | 124.72 | 182.75 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-11-04 | 137.44 | 204.82 | -0.53 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-11-03 | 141.95 | 209.50 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-11-02 | 138.77 | 206.31 | -0.52 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-10-30 | 140.54 | 210.19 | -0.59 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-10-29 | 146.73 | 223.48 | -0.78 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-10-28 | 147.92 | 227.47 | -0.88 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-10-27 | 149.67 | 226.10 | -0.71 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-10-26 | 148.34 | 219.63 | -0.51 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-10-23 | 144.88 | 216.60 | -0.61 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-10-22 | 145.74 | 213.41 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-21 | 152.44 | 223.52 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-20 | 148.66 | 220.00 | -0.53 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-10-19 | 149.09 | 217.48 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-16 | 147.06 | 213.54 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-15 | 149.19 | 218.53 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-14 | 151.98 | 222.54 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-13 | 156.94 | 230.37 | -0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-12 | 155.43 | 229.97 | -0.56 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-10-09 | 157.46 | 234.61 | -0.63 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-10-08 | 158.29 | 237.03 | -0.69 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-10-07 | 163.09 | 244.38 | -0.70 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-10-06 | 164.30 | 249.61 | -0.84 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-10-05 | 164.07 | 251.42 | -0.93 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-10-02 | 160.67 | 244.68 | -0.87 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-10-01 | 158.55 | 237.66 | -0.73 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-30 | 156.84 | 236.10 | -0.78 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-29 | 156.04 | 236.49 | -0.85 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-28 | 157.17 | 234.39 | -0.70 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-25 | 154.57 | 233.21 | -0.82 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-24 | 154.23 | 233.49 | -0.85 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-23 | 154.87 | 231.12 | -0.73 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-22 | 157.18 | 233.93 | -0.71 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-21 | 156.16 | 230.38 | -0.64 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-18 | 152.65 | 224.96 | -0.63 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-17 | 150.64 | 222.68 | -0.67 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-16 | 146.90 | 216.19 | -0.63 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-15 | 145.71 | 214.13 | -0.63 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-14 | 144.88 | 216.34 | -0.77 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-11 | 149.91 | 224.22 | -0.79 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-10 | 149.96 | 221.52 | -0.69 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-09 | 153.61 | 225.32 | -0.64 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-08 | 155.02 | 227.20 | -0.64 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-04 | 158.20 | 221.98 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-03 | 156.89 | 215.82 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-02 | 154.12 | 215.04 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-01 | 149.33 | 214.26 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-31 | 151.62 | 214.95 | -0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-28 | 149.41 | 216.09 | -0.55 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-08-27 | 156.57 | 221.15 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-26 | 143.99 | 216.17 | -0.85 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-08-25 | 146.32 | 216.03 | -0.73 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-08-24 | 143.18 | 212.26 | -0.76 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-08-21 | 147.46 | 216.83 | -0.71 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-08-20 | 148.93 | 215.30 | -0.58 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-08-19 | 149.41 | 213.28 | -0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-18 | 150.91 | 213.96 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-17 | 154.53 | 223.05 | -0.59 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-08-14 | 154.63 | 220.66 | -0.51 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-08-13 | 154.73 | 222.80 | -0.58 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-08-12 | 153.90 | 222.10 | -0.60 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-08-11 | 149.37 | 218.43 | -0.70 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-08-10 | 149.41 | 216.58 | -0.65 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-08-07 | 153.81 | 217.39 | -0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-06 | 150.39 | 216.44 | -0.61 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-08-05 | 150.55 | 214.26 | -0.54 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-08-04 | 145.55 | 215.90 | -0.83 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-08-03 | 141.91 | 210.18 | -0.82 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-31 | 137.87 | 209.22 | -1.00 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-30 | 133.95 | 208.73 | -1.19 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-29 | 130.49 | 193.91 | -0.87 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-28 | 135.30 | 203.04 | -0.94 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-27 | 134.96 | 206.55 | -1.09 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-24 | 142.05 | 208.78 | -0.82 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-23 | 143.37 | 215.08 | -0.96 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-22 | 145.64 | 218.00 | -0.96 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-21 | 142.36 | 219.75 | -1.17 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-20 | 139.61 | 208.21 | -0.95 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-17 | 139.28 | 206.17 | -0.91 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-16 | 142.44 | 212.06 | -0.95 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-15 | 145.94 | 217.10 | -0.95 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-14 | 145.46 | 217.57 | -1.00 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-13 | 139.78 | 218.19 | -1.29 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-10 | 144.88 | 224.67 | -1.26 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-09 | 139.26 | 226.15 | -1.58 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-08 | 140.18 | 226.16 | -1.55 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-07 | 135.24 | 223.87 | -1.74 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-06 | 134.30 | 233.82 | -2.10 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-02 | 133.80 | 224.70 | -1.88 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-01 | 135.69 | 229.91 | -1.96 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-30 | 137.42 | 247.16 | -2.40 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-29 | 133.90 | 235.53 | -2.28 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-26 | 132.22 | 223.76 | -2.04 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-25 | 134.43 | 225.13 | -1.99 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-24 | 136.67 | 228.15 | -1.99 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-23 | 137.38 | 225.85 | -1.90 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-22 | 143.29 | 242.04 | -2.12 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-18 | 144.69 | 239.17 | -1.99 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-17 | 140.55 | 223.66 | -1.74 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-16 | 142.44 | 220.39 | -1.55 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-15 | 145.90 | 228.44 | -1.65 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-12 | 140.92 | 219.40 | -1.63 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-11 | 140.70 | 217.92 | -1.60 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-10 | 137.64 | 211.55 | -1.56 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-09 | 142.98 | 221.47 | -1.64 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-08 | 143.29 | 220.89 | -1.62 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-05 | 140.86 | 214.87 | -1.55 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-04 | 150.17 | 230.27 | -1.61 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-03 | 147.48 | 226.01 | -1.62 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-02 | 153.03 | 231.18 | -1.52 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-01 | 154.08 | 225.46 | -1.29 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-29 | 145.00 | 216.57 | -1.46 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-28 | 147.14 | 219.88 | -1.48 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-27 | 146.01 | 218.78 | -1.51 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-26 | 147.56 | 213.39 | -1.26 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-22 | 147.88 | 209.36 | -1.10 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-21 | 150.75 | 210.72 | -1.01 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-20 | 153.47 | 207.86 | -0.78 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-19 | 151.51 | 203.19 | -0.71 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-18 | 152.68 | 204.92 | -0.73 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-15 | 154.74 | 209.27 | -0.79 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-14 | 161.90 | 216.19 | -0.70 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-13 | 155.09 | 206.91 | -0.70 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-12 | 151.62 | 205.61 | -0.83 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-11 | 150.70 | 209.37 | -1.02 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-08 | 147.79 | 213.06 | -1.31 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-07 | 145.25 | 214.34 | -1.50 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-06 | 142.73 | 217.11 | -1.75 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-05 | 134.95 | 204.12 | -1.72 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-04 | 136.31 | 207.85 | -1.81 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-01 | 136.29 | 205.81 | -1.75 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-30 | 137.06 | 204.98 | -1.69 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-29 | 143.71 | 203.82 | -1.28 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-28 | 146.40 | 203.05 | -1.12 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-27 | 148.76 | 209.60 | -1.25 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-24 | 143.03 | 208.29 | -1.53 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-23 | 137.11 | 198.04 | -1.47 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-22 | 139.07 | 200.52 | -1.47 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-21 | 137.27 | 190.50 | -1.18 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-20 | 138.77 | 189.55 | -1.06 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-17 | 138.51 | 191.75 | -1.17 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-16 | 136.22 | 188.05 | -1.16 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-15 | 136.58 | 194.13 | -1.41 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-14 | 134.96 | 196.61 | -1.62 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-13 | 130.01 | 191.27 | -1.72 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-10 | 129.54 | 191.80 | -1.79 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-09 | 126.30 | 189.16 | -1.91 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-08 | 125.05 | 189.37 | -2.02 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-07 | 122.31 | 178.72 | -1.74 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-06 | 122.00 | 176.88 | -1.70 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-02 | 121.83 | 175.47 | -1.66 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-01 | 120.70 | 176.74 | -1.82 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-31 | 119.77 | 174.90 | -1.81 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-30 | 113.43 | 163.80 | -1.73 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-27 | 115.05 | 169.10 | -1.91 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-26 | 117.60 | 168.78 | -1.72 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-25 | 122.71 | 179.98 | -1.93 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-24 | 120.32 | 177.65 | -2.01 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-23 | 120.62 | 175.16 | -1.89 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-20 | 118.60 | 170.40 | -1.81 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-19 | 122.63 | 175.34 | -1.79 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-18 | 123.89 | 175.74 | -1.74 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-17 | 124.94 | 179.06 | -1.85 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-16 | 125.83 | 176.08 | -1.65 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-13 | 123.79 | 175.09 | -1.77 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-12 | 125.77 | 174.26 | -1.59 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-11 | 127.76 | 183.50 | -1.94 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-10 | 126.89 | 179.63 | -1.83 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-09 | 125.44 | 180.47 | -2.00 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-06 | 122.12 | 175.39 | -2.01 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-05 | 125.91 | 183.14 | -2.16 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-04 | 125.71 | 184.99 | -2.30 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-03 | 123.65 | 182.76 | -2.38 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-02 | 125.32 | 191.03 | -2.73 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-27 | 121.69 | 193.86 | -3.25 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-26 | 126.98 | 195.02 | -2.94 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-25 | 134.30 | 200.67 | -2.71 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-24 | 132.44 | 199.64 | -2.86 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-23 | 131.55 | 191.51 | -2.53 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-20 | 130.36 | 191.77 | -2.69 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-19 | 129.04 | 186.52 | -2.54 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-18 | 129.10 | 187.49 | -2.64 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-17 | 127.03 | 188.49 | -2.94 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-13 | 125.55 | 189.61 | -3.21 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-12 | 128.38 | 190.51 | -3.08 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-11 | 130.52 | 193.61 | -3.14 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-10 | 129.48 | 187.30 | -2.89 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-09 | 130.51 | 183.94 | -2.61 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-06 | 127.33 | 180.55 | -2.72 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-05 | 118.04 | 171.17 | -3.05 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-04 | 119.63 | 168.59 | -2.72 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-03 | 123.85 | 173.77 | -2.68 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-02 | 127.47 | 176.67 | -2.55 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-30 | 131.26 | 171.08 | -1.76 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-29 | 132.21 | 175.73 | -2.04 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-28 | 131.53 | 177.16 | -2.24 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-27 | 129.47 | 175.11 | -2.33 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-26 | 128.06 | 172.19 | -2.28 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-23 | 128.89 | 173.31 | -2.31 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-22 | 126.94 | 169.43 | -2.24 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-21 | 125.90 | 168.78 | -2.33 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-20 | 122.29 | 169.32 | -2.83 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-16 | 127.90 | 177.21 | -2.90 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-15 | 128.46 | 176.81 | -2.86 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-14 | 125.77 | 169.29 | -2.57 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-13 | 127.61 | 171.42 | -2.59 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-12 | 127.01 | 171.71 | -2.73 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-09 | 126.96 | 167.49 | -2.40 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-08 | 127.08 | 164.58 | -2.14 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-07 | 129.87 | 164.93 | -1.85 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-06 | 128.59 | 169.46 | -2.47 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-05 | 129.19 | 166.78 | -2.18 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-02 | 129.70 | 165.41 | -2.01 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-31 | 128.08 | 157.28 | -1.41 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-30 | 128.80 | 155.05 | -1.09 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-29 | 129.26 | 155.74 | -1.11 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-26 | 130.85 | 156.73 | -1.03 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-24 | 129.53 | 154.64 | -0.98 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-23 | 129.94 | 153.68 | -0.83 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-22 | 126.15 | 151.79 | -1.12 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-19 | 124.30 | 149.54 | -1.12 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-18 | 119.59 | 147.33 | -1.52 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-17 | 117.40 | 143.34 | -1.38 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-16 | 122.05 | 148.47 | -1.33 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-15 | 121.07 | 148.92 | -1.53 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-12 | 120.20 | 151.14 | -1.92 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-11 | 124.26 | 157.77 | -2.11 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-10 | 126.21 | 160.51 | -2.16 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-09 | 127.03 | 157.03 | -1.70 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-08 | 127.43 | 156.23 | -1.57 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-05 | 125.27 | 152.53 | -1.47 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-04 | 125.94 | 151.60 | -1.28 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-03 | 123.34 | 152.91 | -1.80 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-02 | 124.62 | 151.17 | -1.44 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-01 | 123.56 | 148.89 | -1.33 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-11-28 | 121.56 | 150.87 | -1.86 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-11-26 | 123.80 | 150.07 | -1.46 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-11-25 | 122.12 | 147.33 | -1.39 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-11-24 | 125.37 | 147.31 | -0.95 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-11-21 | 122.85 | 142.36 | -0.72 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-11-20 | 124.06 | 143.62 | -0.71 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-11-19 | 128.10 | 146.14 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-18 | 124.55 | 143.83 | -0.67 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-11-17 | 128.15 | 145.95 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-14 | 130.60 | 147.41 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-13 | 128.33 | 146.05 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-12 | 133.10 | 150.41 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-11 | 132.66 | 150.69 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-10 | 136.70 | 152.82 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-07 | 129.22 | 148.28 | -0.60 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-11-06 | 129.17 | 149.69 | -0.77 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-11-05 | 134.06 | 151.97 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-04 | 136.45 | 152.18 | -0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-03 | 142.08 | 157.78 | -0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-31 | 139.06 | 155.49 | -0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-30 | 139.34 | 156.93 | -0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-29 | 142.19 | 157.90 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-28 | 138.06 | 156.06 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-27 | 131.51 | 154.36 | -0.99 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-24 | 127.92 | 152.66 | -1.27 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-23 | 125.10 | 150.47 | -1.40 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-22 | 123.81 | 149.51 | -1.48 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-21 | 124.41 | 152.42 | -1.72 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-20 | 125.43 | 154.07 | -1.79 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-17 | 125.83 | 152.72 | -1.61 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-16 | 124.86 | 155.18 | -2.02 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-15 | 123.50 | 157.70 | -2.50 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-14 | 123.64 | 153.16 | -2.02 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-13 | 129.33 | 156.76 | -1.68 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-10 | 125.79 | 145.25 | -0.88 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-09 | 132.25 | 155.20 | -1.15 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-08 | 129.87 | 157.60 | -1.73 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-07 | 127.08 | 152.17 | -1.52 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-06 | 127.42 | 156.51 | -1.97 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-03 | 128.85 | 151.22 | -1.20 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-02 | 129.72 | 149.11 | -0.85 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-01 | 128.59 | 149.30 | -1.03 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-09-30 | 128.14 | 144.55 | -0.53 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-09-29 | 124.89 | 141.41 | -0.60 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-09-26 | 122.37 | 141.48 | -0.96 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-09-25 | 122.03 | 143.18 | -1.22 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-09-24 | 121.54 | 145.28 | -1.55 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-09-23 | 122.54 | 146.32 | -1.54 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-09-22 | 126.10 | 141.10 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-19 | 121.33 | 137.08 | -0.58 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-09-18 | 121.04 | 139.03 | -0.88 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-09-17 | 116.95 | 136.01 | -1.10 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-09-16 | 120.10 | 135.63 | -0.59 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-09-15 | 122.07 | 135.28 | -0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-12 | 122.12 | 134.21 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-11 | 121.67 | 134.00 | -0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-10 | 121.78 | 134.79 | -0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-09 | 117.27 | 129.86 | -0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-08 | 115.59 | 127.93 | -0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-05 | 114.70 | 125.98 | -0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-04 | 117.89 | 121.73 | +0.99 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-09-03 | 117.18 | 119.75 | +1.17 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-09-02 | 117.29 | 118.20 | +1.42 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-29 | 119.62 | 119.49 | +1.58 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-28 | 123.73 | 123.32 | +1.62 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-27 | 124.72 | 123.84 | +1.68 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-26 | 124.83 | 123.55 | +1.75 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-25 | 123.49 | 121.93 | +1.79 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-22 | 122.24 | 120.58 | +1.82 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-21 | 120.17 | 117.65 | +1.96 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-20 | 120.46 | 118.31 | +1.92 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-19 | 120.62 | 120.43 | +1.64 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-18 | 125.00 | 124.94 | +1.64 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-15 | 123.93 | 123.63 | +1.69 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-14 | 125.01 | 124.73 | +1.70 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-13 | 124.71 | 124.96 | +1.64 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-12 | 125.79 | 126.43 | +1.60 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-11 | 125.03 | 125.29 | +1.67 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-08 | 125.47 | 125.16 | +1.77 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-07 | 124.15 | 125.57 | +1.53 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-06 | 123.22 | 119.74 | +2.29 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-05 | 122.42 | 120.31 | +2.11 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-04 | 123.62 | 123.69 | +1.79 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-01 | 119.30 | 121.73 | +1.43 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-31 | 122.16 | 125.05 | +1.38 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-30 | 123.12 | 125.72 | +1.43 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-29 | 120.53 | 124.90 | +1.16 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-28 | 121.39 | 125.63 | +1.19 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-25 | 119.15 | 127.11 | +0.61 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-24 | 119.32 | 125.04 | +0.94 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-23 | 117.29 | 124.38 | +0.72 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-22 | 114.71 | 121.42 | +0.75 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-21 | 117.70 | 123.62 | +0.91 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-18 | 118.41 | 124.42 | +0.90 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-17 | 118.81 | 127.11 | +0.56 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-16 | 117.69 | 122.95 | +1.02 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-15 | 117.23 | 122.63 | +1.00 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-14 | 112.68 | 118.35 | +0.93 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-11 | 113.26 | 119.24 | +0.88 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-10 | 112.70 | 118.91 | +0.84 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-09 | 111.86 | 119.99 | +0.53 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-08 | 109.88 | 117.93 | +0.52 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-07 | 108.67 | 118.61 | +0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-03 | 109.43 | 121.52 | -0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-02 | 107.99 | 120.90 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-01 | 105.28 | 116.28 | -0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-30 | 108.50 | 117.22 | +0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-27 | 108.34 | 118.30 | +0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-26 | 106.46 | 115.94 | +0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-25 | 105.97 | 115.28 | +0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-24 | 101.57 | 113.91 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-23 | 99.01 | 108.85 | +0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-20 | 98.79 | 108.43 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-18 | 99.91 | 110.50 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-17 | 98.98 | 110.70 | -0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-16 | 99.37 | 111.62 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-13 | 97.50 | 109.25 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-12 | 99.58 | 111.49 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-11 | 98.09 | 110.81 | -0.53 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-06-10 | 98.87 | 109.96 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-09 | 97.95 | 107.13 | +0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-06 | 97.33 | 106.19 | +0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-05 | 96.14 | 105.24 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-04 | 97.47 | 104.75 | +0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-03 | 96.99 | 102.27 | +0.68 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-06-02 | 94.35 | 100.84 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-30 | 92.80 | 100.05 | +0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-29 | 95.59 | 102.03 | +0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-28 | 92.58 | 101.51 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-27 | 93.06 | 102.31 | -0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-23 | 90.17 | 99.36 | -0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-22 | 91.22 | 101.54 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-21 | 90.52 | 99.24 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-20 | 92.29 | 100.12 | +0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-19 | 93.10 | 100.14 | +0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-16 | 92.99 | 100.52 | +0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-15 | 92.60 | 100.52 | +0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-14 | 92.95 | 100.80 | +0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-13 | 89.23 | 100.40 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-12 | 84.47 | 96.77 | -0.66 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-05-09 | 80.11 | 91.36 | -0.58 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-05-08 | 80.61 | 90.68 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-07 | 80.39 | 90.33 | -0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-06 | 77.98 | 89.16 | -0.61 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-05-05 | 78.17 | 91.29 | -0.95 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-05-02 | 78.63 | 92.79 | -1.11 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-05-01 | 76.65 | 89.39 | -0.92 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-04-30 | 74.80 | 86.27 | -0.73 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-04-29 | 74.87 | 85.13 | -0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-28 | 74.67 | 84.57 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-25 | 76.24 | 85.45 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-24 | 73.09 | 84.97 | -0.82 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-04-23 | 70.54 | 81.67 | -0.75 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-04-22 | 67.91 | 78.36 | -0.69 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-04-21 | 66.55 | 76.52 | -0.62 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-04-17 | 69.70 | 78.53 | -0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-16 | 71.76 | 78.50 | +0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-15 | 77.06 | 81.43 | +0.70 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-04-14 | 76.03 | 80.65 | +0.64 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-04-11 | 76.18 | 81.30 | +0.56 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-04-10 | 73.88 | 78.22 | +0.68 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-04-09 | 78.52 | 82.16 | +0.87 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-04-08 | 66.14 | 73.17 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-07 | 67.06 | 75.65 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-04 | 64.77 | 75.98 | -0.82 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-04-03 | 69.91 | 81.45 | -0.72 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-04-02 | 75.83 | 88.18 | -0.69 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-04-01 | 75.65 | 87.28 | -0.58 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-03-31 | 74.43 | 85.91 | -0.58 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-03-28 | 75.32 | 85.52 | -0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-27 | 76.53 | 87.07 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-26 | 78.13 | 89.79 | -0.52 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-03-25 | 82.89 | 93.62 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-24 | 83.38 | 93.76 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-21 | 80.83 | 91.47 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-20 | 81.40 | 91.85 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-19 | 80.71 | 89.93 | -0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-18 | 79.27 | 89.60 | -0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-17 | 82.09 | 91.21 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-14 | 83.56 | 90.10 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-13 | 79.38 | 88.81 | -0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-12 | 79.49 | 91.69 | -0.54 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-03-11 | 74.69 | 88.48 | -0.92 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-03-10 | 73.47 | 88.32 | -1.14 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-03-07 | 77.39 | 91.66 | -0.92 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-03-06 | 75.94 | 91.01 | -1.09 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-03-05 | 80.56 | 95.37 | -0.91 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-03-04 | 79.66 | 93.16 | -0.72 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-03-03 | 78.33 | 89.52 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-28 | 85.79 | 93.43 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-27 | 82.51 | 93.72 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-26 | 90.16 | 100.72 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-25 | 86.97 | 98.01 | -0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-24 | 89.47 | 99.19 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-21 | 92.32 | 102.60 | +0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-20 | 96.22 | 103.56 | +0.50 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-02-19 | 95.62 | 104.00 | +0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-18 | 95.74 | 104.93 | +0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-14 | 95.36 | 105.53 | +0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-13 | 92.91 | 104.46 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-12 | 90.06 | 106.81 | -0.71 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-02-11 | 91.20 | 108.03 | -0.68 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-02-10 | 91.73 | 107.62 | -0.54 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-02-07 | 89.17 | 106.68 | -0.78 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-02-06 | 88.37 | 108.94 | -1.14 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-02-05 | 85.73 | 107.94 | -1.39 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-02-04 | 81.48 | 105.61 | -1.73 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-02-03 | 80.12 | 103.41 | -1.67 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-01-31 | 82.46 | 108.33 | -1.87 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-01-30 | 85.61 | 107.73 | -1.33 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-01-29 | 84.95 | 104.71 | -1.06 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-01-28 | 88.59 | 104.75 | -0.56 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-01-27 | 81.33 | 99.53 | -0.94 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-01-24 | 97.95 | 114.83 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-23 | 101.11 | 116.25 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-22 | 101.00 | 115.52 | -0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-21 | 96.72 | 113.19 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-17 | 94.57 | 109.46 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-16 | 91.73 | 111.16 | -0.71 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-01-15 | 93.57 | 107.03 | -0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-14 | 90.49 | 104.26 | -0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-13 | 91.50 | 104.21 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-10 | 93.34 | 107.84 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-08 | 96.22 | 107.19 | +0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-07 | 96.24 | 109.42 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-06 | 102.62 | 113.87 | +0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-03 | 99.22 | 107.97 | +0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-02 | 94.99 | 104.33 | +0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-31 | 92.23 | 102.21 | +0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-30 | 94.42 | 103.71 | +0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-27 | 94.09 | 104.35 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-26 | 96.10 | 105.09 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-24 | 96.30 | 106.79 | +0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-23 | 95.92 | 107.32 | +0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-20 | 92.51 | 102.07 | +0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-19 | 89.75 | 100.73 | +0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-18 | 88.53 | 101.21 | +0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-17 | 89.55 | 103.85 | +0.00 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-16 | 90.65 | 104.66 | +0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-13 | 92.20 | 104.02 | +0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-12 | 94.32 | 99.09 | +0.80 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-12-11 | 95.67 | 100.71 | +0.79 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-12-10 | 92.76 | 99.34 | +0.66 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-12-09 | 95.33 | 103.08 | +0.59 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-12-06 | 97.82 | 105.07 | +0.65 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-12-05 | 99.62 | 105.73 | +0.74 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-12-04 | 99.68 | 103.87 | +0.88 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-12-03 | 96.33 | 102.93 | +0.70 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-12-02 | 95.21 | 100.61 | +0.79 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-29 | 94.95 | 95.57 | +1.14 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-27 | 92.95 | 93.77 | +1.14 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-26 | 94.03 | 95.15 | +1.12 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-25 | 93.41 | 95.79 | +1.03 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-22 | 97.49 | 98.37 | +1.15 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-21 | 100.73 | 98.98 | +1.35 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-20 | 100.19 | 97.48 | +1.43 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-19 | 100.96 | 98.16 | +1.45 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-18 | 96.25 | 97.03 | +1.20 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-15 | 97.51 | 96.27 | +1.36 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-14 | 100.79 | 97.56 | +1.51 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-13 | 100.45 | 96.60 | +1.56 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-12 | 101.84 | 99.25 | +1.48 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-11 | 99.76 | 100.43 | +1.27 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-08 | 101.39 | 104.13 | +1.14 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-07 | 102.25 | 104.12 | +1.20 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-06 | 100.00 | 100.00 | +1.34 | NVDA ahead |
No one-day company-specific move of 4+ standard deviations in this window. Upcoming earnings: NVDA Nov 17, 2026 (after-hours).
Paired trades
The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart
Forward paper record
No paper position on this pair yet.
Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)
1 simulated trade to Nov 3, 2026: +10.60% per trade on average after costs, 1 won.
| Legs | Entered | Exited | Why | Days | Before costs | Costs + borrow | After costs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long TSM · Short NVDA | Aug 6, 2025 | Sep 9, 2025 | converged | 34 | $1,088.86 | -$28.60 | $1,059.97 (+10.60%) |
Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.
The companies
NVDA and TSM at a glance
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation
- Listing
- Nasdaq · SEC CIK 1045810
- Industry
- Semiconductors · SIC 3674 Semiconductors & Related Devices
- Market value
- $4.98T
- Price history
- 2,534 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Nov 10, 2026
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd.
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 1046179
- Industry
- Semiconductors · SIC 3674 Semiconductors & Related Devices
- Market value
- $2.10T
- Price history
- 2,534 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Nov 10, 2026
Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.
Related
All pairs →Other rivals of NVDA and TSM
| Pair | Status | Ahead now | Industry |
|---|---|---|---|
| TSM / AVGO | Watchlist | TSM by 0.98 sd | Semiconductors |
| NVDA / AVGO | Watchlist | AVGO by 0.86 sd | Semiconductors |
Follow the research behind the paper book
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Explore the private betaPaper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.
